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magical thyme

(14,881 posts)
Tue Oct 6, 2015, 06:57 PM Oct 2015

Reuters tracking poll *with filters removed* Hillary: 38.4% Bernie: 21.5%

The filters that show Hillary in the mid-upper 50s only includes 23% of respondents. They included only likely primary voters and democrats, which was a total of only 228 responses.

With 100% of respondents (928), Bernie is within 17 points, which keeps it in line with other polls.

http://polling.reuters.com/#!response/TR131/type/smallest/dates/20150808-20151002/collapsed/false

With GOP and Indies filtered out, choosing only Democrats (589 respondents), Hillary gets 49.5% to Bernie's 25.6%.

http://polling.reuters.com/#!response/TR131/type/smallest/filters/PARTY_ID_:1/dates/20150808-20151002/collapsed/false

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Reuters tracking poll *with filters removed* Hillary: 38.4% Bernie: 21.5% (Original Post) magical thyme Oct 2015 OP
So you're saying if you include Republicans, Hillary will fare worse. Cali_Democrat Oct 2015 #1
Not only that, but if you restrict to Democrats that are likely to vote in the primaries, DanTex Oct 2015 #2
Uh no. 99Forever Oct 2015 #3
Thank you for your words of wisdom. Cali_Democrat Oct 2015 #4
If only. 99Forever Oct 2015 #5
likely Democratic primary voters are the only Lil Missy Oct 2015 #6
You've got that completely wrong... catnhatnh Oct 2015 #7
They probably wont even show up to vote moobu2 Oct 2015 #9
First the word is "College"... catnhatnh Oct 2015 #10
Your second one is how Reuters reports roll ups each week Godhumor Oct 2015 #8
kicking for the hell of it magical thyme Oct 2015 #11
 

Cali_Democrat

(30,439 posts)
1. So you're saying if you include Republicans, Hillary will fare worse.
Tue Oct 6, 2015, 07:00 PM
Oct 2015

No surprise there. Hillary is hated by GOPers almost as much as Obama.

However, I think filtering out Republicans will give a more accurate depiction of the Democratic primary race because these are the folks who will be voting in the primaries.

Not sure I understand the point of your post.

DanTex

(20,709 posts)
2. Not only that, but if you restrict to Democrats that are likely to vote in the primaries,
Tue Oct 6, 2015, 07:04 PM
Oct 2015

Hillary's lead grows even larger.

99Forever

(14,524 posts)
3. Uh no.
Tue Oct 6, 2015, 07:05 PM
Oct 2015

I think what's being said is that figures lie and liars figure.

or in othe words...


There are lies, damn lies, and then statistics.

 

Cali_Democrat

(30,439 posts)
4. Thank you for your words of wisdom.
Tue Oct 6, 2015, 07:09 PM
Oct 2015

I am now infinitely smarter after having read your brilliant post.

Lil Missy

(17,865 posts)
6. likely Democratic primary voters are the only
Tue Oct 6, 2015, 09:16 PM
Oct 2015

relevant ones to include in any poll to measure Hillary vs. Sanders.

catnhatnh

(8,976 posts)
7. You've got that completely wrong...
Tue Oct 6, 2015, 10:23 PM
Oct 2015

...if you read any article about Sanders supporters you will learn that most are NOT what the polls are calling "likely Democratic primary voters". Rather they are a varied group of extremely motivated people many of whom have not voted recently or young people who have never voted. And polls will never pick up on this until Clinton catches her first drubbing...

Godhumor

(6,437 posts)
8. Your second one is how Reuters reports roll ups each week
Wed Oct 7, 2015, 12:28 AM
Oct 2015

Democrats only.

Reuters is useless as a whole, but if we're going to quote numbers from them, we might as well keep it consistent with how the organization itself does.

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