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Bernblu

(441 posts)
Sat Oct 17, 2015, 03:21 AM Oct 2015

Sanders won 44%-29% in a poll of people who actually watched the debate

https://www.google.com/insights/consumersurveys/view?survey=6z4jimxu674gg&question=2

These poll results reflect the focus group results favoring Sanders immediately after the debate:

Other polls that showed Clinton winning included people who who watched only clips or merely heard about the debate in the news and were, therefore, subject to influence by media coverage claiming that Clinton won.

These poll results indicate that Sanders' message was well received by actual debate viewers.
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Sanders won 44%-29% in a poll of people who actually watched the debate (Original Post) Bernblu Oct 2015 OP
When We Stand Together - No Citizen Need Settle For The Lesser Of Two Corporate Evils - Go Bernie Go cantbeserious Oct 2015 #1
Finally results based on actual facts. ZM90 Oct 2015 #2
Well, what matters is how people vote in their primaries. Erich Bloodaxe BSN Oct 2015 #13
K&R! marym625 Oct 2015 #3
I think this was not limited to registered Democrats. DCBob Oct 2015 #4
Independent is a huge category now. cprise Oct 2015 #7
Well normally respondents are restricted to registered Democrats.. DCBob Oct 2015 #10
Not true. HerbChestnut Oct 2015 #19
Do you have any proof of that? DCBob Oct 2015 #21
Yeah just look at the internals of polls. HerbChestnut Oct 2015 #22
I have.. I still dont think most include Independents. DCBob Oct 2015 #24
Yeah, this poll doesn't seem very good. HerbChestnut Oct 2015 #25
I think I know why the polls are only concerened with registered Democrats. Baitball Blogger Oct 2015 #26
Each state has their own election laws. HerbChestnut Oct 2015 #28
Well, there's the problem. The numbers from the polls are the result of a process Baitball Blogger Oct 2015 #30
Well, most pollsters break their polls down into subgroups. HerbChestnut Oct 2015 #31
Doesn't seem like anyone is taking advantage of that information. Baitball Blogger Oct 2015 #32
No, not normally. Fawke Em Oct 2015 #34
Exactly, the media... CoffeeCat Oct 2015 #5
Consumer Surveys solutions? ucrdem Oct 2015 #6
According to Nate Silver's 538, the polling firm Google Consumer Surveys Bernblu Oct 2015 #9
A majority of respondents were under 35 femmedem Oct 2015 #8
The most technical generation in American history will be in favor of Bernie Baitball Blogger Oct 2015 #27
Well let's hope that matters. That people aren't afraid to speak out. delrem Oct 2015 #11
Yargh... Erich Bloodaxe BSN Oct 2015 #12
The new NH one was conducted after the debate.. DCBob Oct 2015 #14
Post debate Hillary is gaining ground workinclasszero Oct 2015 #18
out of 500 dems/dem leaning only 18 voters polled under the age of 24 questionseverything Oct 2015 #35
The people claim Progressive dog Oct 2015 #15
One of the 'scientific' polls that had Hillary winning, 74% didn't watch the debate sabrina 1 Oct 2015 #16
people who actually watched the debate treestar Oct 2015 #17
There's no data to support that. HerbChestnut Oct 2015 #20
Because there wasn't weeks of posts from Clinton supporters jeff47 Oct 2015 #23
Non sequitur treestar Oct 2015 #33
Wow, are you saying Hillary supporters couldn't even be bothered to watch the debate??? reformist2 Oct 2015 #29

cantbeserious

(13,039 posts)
1. When We Stand Together - No Citizen Need Settle For The Lesser Of Two Corporate Evils - Go Bernie Go
Sat Oct 17, 2015, 03:26 AM
Oct 2015

eom

ZM90

(706 posts)
2. Finally results based on actual facts.
Sat Oct 17, 2015, 03:28 AM
Oct 2015

All polls about the debate should be scientific and should poll *ONLY* people who actually watched the debate otherwise the data is mostly junk.

Erich Bloodaxe BSN

(14,733 posts)
13. Well, what matters is how people vote in their primaries.
Sat Oct 17, 2015, 07:25 AM
Oct 2015

So, sadly, people who didn't watch it matter too. Because who 'won the debate' doesn't matter, what matters is who wins the nomination, and they get to vote too. If that wasn't the case, the corporate wing wouldn't be pushing the 'Hillary Won!' line so hard.

The propaganda DOES matter in the long run, which is why they do it.

DCBob

(24,689 posts)
10. Well normally respondents are restricted to registered Democrats..
Sat Oct 17, 2015, 07:04 AM
Oct 2015

for polling regarding the Democratic primaries and the Democratic nomination.

DCBob

(24,689 posts)
21. Do you have any proof of that?
Sat Oct 17, 2015, 10:38 AM
Oct 2015

I see that mentioned sometimes in polls but not frequently. I suppose it depends on the state whether its open or not.

DCBob

(24,689 posts)
24. I have.. I still dont think most include Independents.
Sat Oct 17, 2015, 11:12 AM
Oct 2015

It doesnt really matter.. this poll is flawed due to including Republicans if nothing else.

Baitball Blogger

(46,698 posts)
26. I think I know why the polls are only concerened with registered Democrats.
Sat Oct 17, 2015, 11:40 AM
Oct 2015

Because many primaries are partisan. Democrats can only elect Democrats, Republicans get a sheet with only Republican candidates and everyone else is not allowed to vote for either main party during the primaries.

If there really are that many Indies that are on board with Bernie, perhaps you should take polls to find out how committed they are to electing him. If their votes will make a difference in the primaries, convince them to register as Democrats just for the primaries. They can always switch back. Give this short political dalliance a quirky marketing term and it might catch on.

 

HerbChestnut

(3,649 posts)
28. Each state has their own election laws.
Sat Oct 17, 2015, 11:47 AM
Oct 2015

Some have closed primaries where only registered Democrats or Republicans can vote. Some have open primaries where anyone can vote regardless of party affiliation. Some have somewhere-in-between primaries where Dems and Independents can vote for the Democratic nominee and Repubs and Independents can vote for the Republican nominee. Some states have caucuses, which are completely different than primaries. The Bernie group has a sticky that explains how each state works.

When polling, it's typical to include Independents along with registered party voters because of the variation across the country. Just makes things easier for the pollster.

Baitball Blogger

(46,698 posts)
30. Well, there's the problem. The numbers from the polls are the result of a process
Sat Oct 17, 2015, 12:03 PM
Oct 2015

that is easier for the pollster. In other words, they do not accurately portray what is really going on. If I were a candidate running for office, would I allow this gazpacho approach to frame my political viability? No. I would not.

What I would do is look to the states with a heavy Indie population that have CLOSED primaries. I would poll those Indies directly to determine their passion for the candidate. And then, if their numbers are considerable, I would begin a marketing strategy to convince them to switch parties, just to vote in the primaries.

Here, I'll throw a state in that probably fits the description: Florida.

 

HerbChestnut

(3,649 posts)
31. Well, most pollsters break their polls down into subgroups.
Sat Oct 17, 2015, 12:11 PM
Oct 2015

So you can get that information without having to do your own polls.

Baitball Blogger

(46,698 posts)
32. Doesn't seem like anyone is taking advantage of that information.
Sat Oct 17, 2015, 12:25 PM
Oct 2015

I'm an Indie and I would be a Switch hitter if I thought it would make a difference.

Fawke Em

(11,366 posts)
34. No, not normally.
Sat Oct 17, 2015, 12:50 PM
Oct 2015

There are 16 states with open primaries. I live in one of them.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Open_primaries_in_the_United_States

I vote Democratic, but, since it's not required, I've never registered with the party and I don't know any average person who does.

I guess I'm probably listed as an "independent" on voter polls, even though I'm not.

CoffeeCat

(24,411 posts)
5. Exactly, the media...
Sat Oct 17, 2015, 03:38 AM
Oct 2015

...was saturated with countless stories about how Clinton won the debate. Whether she won or not is a moot point.

The issue is that this overwhelming "Hillary won" consensus saturated the airwaves and of course, people assumed she won because of those constant media messages.

So, when people are polled--sure, more people will say she won the debate.

If a pollster called here and asked me who won the debate, I'd say Hillary. So what. I'm still voting for Bernie Sanders.

ucrdem

(15,512 posts)
6. Consumer Surveys solutions?
Sat Oct 17, 2015, 03:38 AM
Oct 2015
"Like what you see? Get $50 off your first survey."


Sorry, more BS clickbait, no pun intended. Nice "solution" though.

Bernblu

(441 posts)
9. According to Nate Silver's 538, the polling firm Google Consumer Surveys
Sat Oct 17, 2015, 06:54 AM
Oct 2015

has an equal or higher rating (C+) than than two of the polling firms with polls showing Clinton winning the debate: YouGov (C+) and Gravis Marketing (C). Clinton supporters can't tout the polls that they like while mocking the polls they don't like.

http://fivethirtyeight.com/interactives/pollster-ratings/

femmedem

(8,201 posts)
8. A majority of respondents were under 35
Sat Oct 17, 2015, 06:45 AM
Oct 2015

and they also skewed male, but it's still some good news for us Bernie supporters.

Baitball Blogger

(46,698 posts)
27. The most technical generation in American history will be in favor of Bernie
Sat Oct 17, 2015, 11:45 AM
Oct 2015

because they have access to information. With a touch of a button they can review each candidate's platforms and history.

That's quite amazing when you combine their strength with people who lived through the era and are voting based on their experience, especially if both groups reach the same conclusions.

delrem

(9,688 posts)
11. Well let's hope that matters. That people aren't afraid to speak out.
Sat Oct 17, 2015, 07:08 AM
Oct 2015

Because the video editing started happening before the debate was over.

There are teams of pros going over it frame by frame.

This is a $billion$ election and we're just seeing the beginning of it.

Erich Bloodaxe BSN

(14,733 posts)
12. Yargh...
Sat Oct 17, 2015, 07:23 AM
Oct 2015

Could we quit talking about 'winning the debate'?

Look, the important part is how the voting is going to change. So let's see what regular who you gonna vote for polls run entirely after the debate come out. (I noticed the latest Reuters/Ipsos poll actually ran from 10/10 to 10/14, so most of the responses were probably from before the debate. So we probably need to wait a week or so to see polls that didn't start collecting data until AFTER 10/13.)

 

workinclasszero

(28,270 posts)
18. Post debate Hillary is gaining ground
Sat Oct 17, 2015, 10:12 AM
Oct 2015

So if Bernie backers want to call that a "win" I'm good with it

Progressive dog

(6,900 posts)
15. The people claim
Sat Oct 17, 2015, 09:47 AM
Oct 2015

they actually watched the debate. That poll was so bad, it had to infer their gender and region of the country.

treestar

(82,383 posts)
17. people who actually watched the debate
Sat Oct 17, 2015, 10:06 AM
Oct 2015

are likely to be disproportionately BS supporters. After all, they were the ones hoping the debate would bring BS to the public and cause everyone to swoon and change the polls to favor BS.

jeff47

(26,549 posts)
23. Because there wasn't weeks of posts from Clinton supporters
Sat Oct 17, 2015, 11:11 AM
Oct 2015

excited to see Clinton "destroy" everyone else in the debate.

treestar

(82,383 posts)
33. Non sequitur
Sat Oct 17, 2015, 12:44 PM
Oct 2015

A lot of Hillary supporters are not on DU and may not have watched it. They didn't think it would make or break Hillary.

It was Bernie's who relied on the debates to cause a huge BS surge once Bernie's wonderful magic was seen by the nation.

reformist2

(9,841 posts)
29. Wow, are you saying Hillary supporters couldn't even be bothered to watch the debate???
Sat Oct 17, 2015, 11:50 AM
Oct 2015

So let's see - Hillary supporters don't go to her rallies, don't vote in internet polls, and now they don't even watch TV programs where their candidate is appearing!??

And lord knows, they aren't here on DU in significant numbers. Where are they???? What do they do all day?? I'm seriously beginning to wonder...
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