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Cali_Democrat

(30,439 posts)
Tue Oct 27, 2015, 01:21 PM Oct 2015

BREAKING: New Loras poll gives Hillary 38 point lead over Sanders in Iowa

This seems to confirm the Monmouth poll that Bernie supporters are trying to unskew.

-----------------------


Hillary Clinton grew her Iowa lead over Bernie Sanders in the most recent Loras College Poll, which was released today.

Clinton holds a 38-percentage-point lead over Sanders with 61.6 percent support from likely Democratic Iowa voters surveyed
.

Sanders takes second with 23.6 percent support. That’s a 4.4-percentage-point increase for Clinton and a 2.7-percentage-point decrease for Sanders compared to recalculated August poll results accommodating for Joe Biden’s decision to not run.

Martin O’Malley holds on at 3.2 percent support in the new poll, down 2.4 percentage points compared to the recalculated August results.

Jim Webb and Lincoln Chafee, both of which have suspended their campaigns, each garnered less than 1 percent support.

http://www.thonline.com/news/tri-state/article_bd7cdc4c-7cca-11e5-bb0c-e787ca5840ab.html

13 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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BREAKING: New Loras poll gives Hillary 38 point lead over Sanders in Iowa (Original Post) Cali_Democrat Oct 2015 OP
But I don't understand. MohRokTah Oct 2015 #1
Or it used similar methodology. What's their screen for "likely voter"? winter is coming Oct 2015 #2
I'm about to eat my words about Monmouth being an outlier tishaLA Oct 2015 #3
They used the same methodology. HerbChestnut Oct 2015 #5
They were weighted. Cali_Democrat Oct 2015 #6
yeah, I saw your purported unskewing tishaLA Oct 2015 #7
Were you... brooklynite Oct 2015 #9
Is there another option? tishaLA Oct 2015 #11
Whatever your answer, feel free to vote as many times as you want brooklynite Oct 2015 #12
. Cali_Democrat Oct 2015 #4
These polls don't count because...reasons workinclasszero Oct 2015 #8
I do think much of the lead is because of the Benghazi hearing. Cali_Democrat Oct 2015 #13
Party train! BooScout Oct 2015 #10

winter is coming

(11,785 posts)
2. Or it used similar methodology. What's their screen for "likely voter"?
Tue Oct 27, 2015, 01:27 PM
Oct 2015

It's no surprise that Hillary has an advantage among people most likely to be labeled "likely voters". The question is, how many unlikely voters are there that will turn out for the caucus?

tishaLA

(14,176 posts)
3. I'm about to eat my words about Monmouth being an outlier
Tue Oct 27, 2015, 01:27 PM
Oct 2015

that's interesting and, to me, somewhat surprising to see this break that hard, that fast

 

Cali_Democrat

(30,439 posts)
6. They were weighted.
Tue Oct 27, 2015, 01:43 PM
Oct 2015

Just like how most political polls in 2012 were weighted for race, gender, party affiliation etc.

Makes perfect sense.

brooklynite

(93,834 posts)
9. Were you...
Tue Oct 27, 2015, 01:47 PM
Oct 2015

1. Very unimpressed?
2. Partly unimpressed?
3. Only slightly unimpressed?
4. Not at all unimpressed?
5. Don't Know/Other?

 

workinclasszero

(28,270 posts)
8. These polls don't count because...reasons
Tue Oct 27, 2015, 01:47 PM
Oct 2015

Go Hillary!!!!

She is cruising towards the nomination!!

OMG I bet Trey Gowdy and the RNC are on suicide watch this morning!!

 

Cali_Democrat

(30,439 posts)
13. I do think much of the lead is because of the Benghazi hearing.
Tue Oct 27, 2015, 02:30 PM
Oct 2015

The GOP tried to hurt Hillary, but it appears they actually helped her.

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