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Rate Bernies state chances on 3/15 (Original Post) Funtatlaguy Mar 2016 OP
OK, I'll play... mak3cats Mar 2016 #1
mine bernbabe Mar 2016 #2
Okay, I'll bite RoccoR5955 Mar 2016 #3
OK Robbins Mar 2016 #4
This is my order as well n/t SheenaR Mar 2016 #5
i am from Missouri so some may think i am biased Robbins Mar 2016 #6
My fiance SheenaR Mar 2016 #7
OH, NC, MO, FL, IL MisterP Mar 2016 #8
I'll say djordan Mar 2016 #9
Illinois, Ohio, Missouri, N. Carolina, Florida dana_b Mar 2016 #10
1-4 Uglystick Mar 2016 #11

mak3cats

(1,573 posts)
1. OK, I'll play...
Wed Mar 9, 2016, 11:00 AM
Mar 2016

1. Ohio
2. Illinois
3. Missouri
4. Florida
5. North Carolina

Nothing other than gut feeling (don't know what current polls are saying in these states). But methinks HRC should beware the Ides of March (plus that's the day I was born, so I'm adding birthday mojo for luck for Bernie).

 

RoccoR5955

(12,471 posts)
3. Okay, I'll bite
Wed Mar 9, 2016, 11:45 AM
Mar 2016

Bernie takes Ohio, Missouri and Illinois.
Clinton gets N.Carolina and Floriduh.
Just my gut feelings.

Robbins

(5,066 posts)
4. OK
Wed Mar 9, 2016, 11:56 AM
Mar 2016

1:Missouri
2:Ohio
3:Illinois
4:Florida
5:NC

I feel bernie has chance to win missouri,Ohio,and Illinois.NC is likely clinton's.while florida i feel is wildcard.my thinking is if there is southern state bernie can surprise in it is florida.

Robbins

(5,066 posts)
6. i am from Missouri so some may think i am biased
Wed Mar 9, 2016, 12:10 PM
Mar 2016

but i see great poential for another michigan here.back in 2008 obama pulled upset in primary.

Under 40 blacks could join with whites in supporting bernie.

BLM could be sleeper issue in both Missouri and Illinois.

Trade could help bernie in ohio.although that could be sleeper issue through midwest.

also we have open primary In Missouri.

MisterP

(23,730 posts)
8. OH, NC, MO, FL, IL
Wed Mar 9, 2016, 02:44 PM
Mar 2016

but after that will be a TRAIN of Sanders wins stabbing westward--AZ ID UT AK WA (HI Clinton); WI looks very favorable and then comes WY before NY (and industrially-abandoned Upstate looks very good)

Sanders' biggest obstacle is people unsure if he can "win"--but his numbers don't go down and a string of wins makes him look like "the candidate" as Clinton falters and makes real (rather than mediatized) gaffes and slings mud and commits voter-booth shenanigans; both the FBI indictment and a campaign purge are on the schedule for the next few months, we just can't tell when yet

dana_b

(11,546 posts)
10. Illinois, Ohio, Missouri, N. Carolina, Florida
Wed Mar 9, 2016, 03:35 PM
Mar 2016

I'll take a chance on Illinois. I know that Chicago is in it for Clinton BUT I am hoping that it's by a smaller margin than predicted. Maybe her friendship with Rahm will hurt.

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