Democratic Primaries
Related: About this forumDemocrats court doom by backing Bernie Sanders. His ideas are toxic outside blue America.
Link to tweet
In fact, Sanders lost to Clinton by more than 200,000 votes in the nine states of the Midwest. In the three onetime Blue Wall battleground states, she topped him by over 45,000 votes, though he beat her in Wisconsin and edged her by a point in Michigan. In Ohio, Clinton won by 14 points and nearly 166,000 votes. The best you can say about this Sanders argument is that he didnt lose as badly in the Midwest as he did elsewhere.
Indeed, in the Sunbelt, the other area that Democrats hope to make a general election battleground in 2020, Sanders got absolutely crushed. He lost Florida 64-33%, Arizona 58-40%, North Carolina 55-41% and Texas 65-33%. Taken together, Clinton trounced Sanders in those four states by more than 1.2 million votes.
And of course, those were only primary voters. What would the general electorate make of Sen. Bernie Sanders, I-Vt.? We know that the Trump campaign will seek to label any Democratic nominee a socialist a regular Republican tactic that usually goes nowhere because Democratic nominees have never really been socialists.
The charge would stick, because this is an identity that he himself has proudly trumpeted. And most Americans view socialism negatively, by a margin of 42-55%. That would be quite a weight around a nominees neck in a general election.
The potency of this pending attack is also underscored by Sanders central policy proposal: "Medicare for All." His plan would hand the government control over nearly a fifth of the American economy. It doesnt take much Trumpian demagoguery to label that socialized medicine.
Candidate Bernie Sanders: America must end high-stakes testing, finally invest in public education
When voters outside the liberal base learned more about this plan over the course of last year, initial curiosity, driven by its bumper-sticker name, collapsed. November polling from the Kaiser Family Foundation and the Cook Political Report found that large shares of swing voters in Michigan, Minnesota, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin" say a national Medicare for All plan is a bad idea.
And we dont have to speculate about the political impact of Medicare for All. It was tested in the 2018 midterms when, as a University of Virginia study recently found, it cost Democrats in swing districts who embraced it nearly 5 points.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Sloumeau
(2,657 posts)Joe Biden is the way to go!
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Cha
(297,029 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
DanTex
(20,709 posts)Not "third way", but the actual Third Way group, the one that keeps trying to get Dems to cut Social Security.
Of course, an advocacy group that wants to see Social Security cut is going to do anything it can to stop Bernie Sanders.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin
(107,839 posts)Care to name names?
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
DanTex
(20,709 posts)policies. The people who wrote this article are from Third Way. I don't know what names you mean.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin
(107,839 posts)You can't answer my question.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
DanTex
(20,709 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin
(107,839 posts)No Democrat had been in the Whitehouse for 12 years so it was somewhat of a gimmick.
No Democrat has used it since except as a label to malign those they feel are not pure enough.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
DanTex
(20,709 posts)https://www.thirdway.org/about/staff/lanae-erickson
So I don't mean "Third Way" as a catchphrase, I mean the actual advocacy group named Third Way, that tries to get Democrats to move to the center and do things like cut Social Security.
These authors attacking Bernie aren't metaphorical "third-wayers". They're the real thing. Attacking progressives is their job. They get paid to do it.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin
(107,839 posts)If they're still around they don't have much pull
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
DanTex
(20,709 posts)They also write articles for places like Washington Post, also attacking Bernie.
I don't know how much pull the really have, but they are getting exposure in the media. So people should know that articles like this one are written by professionals who get paid to try to keep Democrats from adopting progressive goals.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
H2O Man
(73,524 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
flotsam
(3,268 posts)I like that you act as a quiet hammer that sits until you see a chance to drive your point home.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
The Valley Below
(1,701 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
DanTex
(20,709 posts)https://www.crfb.org/blogs/third-way-introduces-new-social-security-reform-plan
This is what Third Way stands for. If people think we should cut Social Security, then by all means listen to what Third Way has to say. But people who don't want to cut Social Security should be aware of just who it is that's attacking Bernie.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
mopinko
(70,069 posts)rly? reach much?
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Hassin Bin Sober
(26,319 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
InAbLuEsTaTe
(24,122 posts)Bernie/Elizabeth or Elizabeth/Bernie 2020!!
Either way, they're stronger together & can't be bought!!
Jump on the Bernie Bandwagon & join The Revolution!!
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
ahoysrcsm
(787 posts)Bernie promised us a pony!!!!YAY!!!!
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
DanTex
(20,709 posts)Yes, that's their position on Social Security. They've wanted to cut it they entire time they've been in existence.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
mopinko
(70,069 posts)get real.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
DanTex
(20,709 posts)Jonathan Cowan is still president of Third Way, and the people writing these anti-Bernie smears work for him on his quest to cut Social Security and get the Democrats to adopt all kinds of other Republican policies.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
InAbLuEsTaTe
(24,122 posts)Bernie/Elizabeth or Elizabeth/Bernie 2020!!
Either way, they're stronger together & can't be bought!!
Jump on the Bernie Bandwagon & join The Revolution!!
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
DanTex
(20,709 posts)https://www.wsj.com/articles/economic-populism-is-a-dead-end-for-democratseconomic-populism-is-a-dead-end-for-democrats-1386019787
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
LanternWaste
(37,748 posts)On the other hand, we can also pretend civility is important to us and invoke it in a fit of peevish self-righteousness, yet ignore it when convenient to our own narrative. Holding others to a higher standard than we hold ourselves to is simply part of politics.
"Amiright?"
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
TheRealNorth
(9,474 posts)They would be attacking Warren like they are attacking Bernie.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Voltaire2
(12,990 posts)"are probably dead"? seriously? that is your argument?
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
The Valley Below
(1,701 posts)One would think Bernie's followers would love that.
You are presenting half-truths in a way that entirely misleads.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
DanTex
(20,709 posts)And all the other ways that people try to cut Social Security. Third Way is basically a smorasbord of Social Security cutting.
Which, look, if you or anyone else is actually in favor of these Social Security cuts, then, by all means, listen to what Third Way says!
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
InAbLuEsTaTe
(24,122 posts)Bernie/Elizabeth or Elizabeth/Bernie 2020!!
Either way, they're stronger together & can't be bought!!
Jump on the Bernie Bandwagon & join The Revolution!!
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
DanTex
(20,709 posts)And like I said, I'm fine with people having different opinions. Just let's be honest about it. Yeah, if you're into using Social Security cuts to reduce the deficit, then Third Way is your kind of joint!
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
InAbLuEsTaTe
(24,122 posts)Bernie/Elizabeth or Elizabeth/Bernie 2020!!
Either way, they're stronger together & can't be bought!!
Jump on the Bernie Bandwagon & join The Revolution!!
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
The Valley Below
(1,701 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
DanTex
(20,709 posts)It's obvious to everyone that there's a contingent of centrist Dems that want to cut SS and Medicare. This isn't a purity test, it's a fact. It's a big tent, and some people in the tent want to cut SS. Fine! I'd rather have a Dem that wants to cut SS than a Republican any day. Just everyone should be honest about it. The Dem voters that want SS cuts would probably appreciate that.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
InAbLuEsTaTe
(24,122 posts)Unless it involves changing the eligibility requirements of SS and Medicare... or freezing spending on these programs.
Bernie/Elizabeth or Elizabeth/Bernie 2020!!
Either way, they're stronger together & can't be bought!!
Jump on the Bernie Bandwagon & join The Revolution!!
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
ahoysrcsm
(787 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
markpkessinger
(8,392 posts). . . "feeding off the government teat" (in the minds of Republicans), and makes the program more vulnerable to future cuts.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
The Valley Below
(1,701 posts)but when means testing is raised we suddenly care what Republicans think?
We've entered the silly season.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
markpkessinger
(8,392 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
The Valley Below
(1,701 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
markpkessinger
(8,392 posts). . . NOT!.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
The Valley Below
(1,701 posts)Spare me.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
ehrnst
(32,640 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
ehrnst
(32,640 posts)Goodness me!
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Cha
(297,029 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Gothmog
(145,046 posts)If. Sanders is the nominee, trump will win 45 states and Kevin McCarthy will be speaker of the House
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
DanTex
(20,709 posts)But I do think its important that everyone knows who Third Way is. And that Third Way is strongly in favor of cutting Social Security.
The people who wrote this article work for Third Way. They literally get paid to try to stop Dems from taking progressive positions. That is their job.
And people should know that.
Maybe youre right about Bernie losing in a landslide. I dont think so. But whatever I think, Im not going to give much weight to people who get paid to drag the Democratic Party to the right.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Gothmog
(145,046 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
ehrnst
(32,640 posts)"a chunk" of the Democrats, which you seem to define as anyone who doesn't back Bernie for the nomination.
Your posts indicate that you think that anyone even an inch to the right of Sanders is 'dragging the party to the right.'
I think you should know that.
You're welcome.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Butterflylady
(3,539 posts)This poster, well I'm really starting to wonder who or what is it. Just wondering
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
LanternWaste
(37,748 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Thekaspervote
(32,750 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Vivienne235729
(3,381 posts)He's REALLLLLLY making a splash. And I know nothing much outside of the stuff that most people know of Bloomberg. It's just he comes in at 12%??!?!! Whoa.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Voltaire2
(12,990 posts)In case their current fave fails.
But right now all he is doing is pulling JBs polling numbers down.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
The Valley Below
(1,701 posts)to be the nominee.
He will only widen the gap.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Vivienne235729
(3,381 posts)now. JB needs to assess this situation and make adjustments. There is a reason why bloomberg is at 12%. People want to see a good fight and after all these debates, I think people are tired of dem on dem infighting. People want to see a fighter. And right now, Bloomberg looks refreshing as he is throwing punches at trump. I think the other democratic candidates need to take notes here.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
emmaverybo
(8,144 posts)any other candidate in calling it a battle for the soul of the nation and went on to develop this theme by pointing out exactly how Trump threatens our very democracy. Did you miss his speech after El Paso?
I dont think anything Bloomberg has said comes close to drawing such a substantive study of Trumps unfitness to lead our country while further he has connected Trump and the rise of fascism in Europe, showing how Trump destabilizes our alliances and our role in the world as a beacon of democracy.
His comments on Trumps immigration policies, coddling racists, betraying ideals enshrined in our founding have not been made more sharply and he has challenged Trump with out let up, even in the face of criticism earlier for doing so during a primary.
You seem to have missed Booker and Harris too. Actually, though Biden has dedicated the most energy to fighting Trump as opposed to his rivals, all candidates, pre-dating Bloombergs arrival have landed some real punches at Trump and the folks who brought him, Republicans.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2019/08/07/joe-biden-reminded-all-us-what-presidential-president-would-sound-like/
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Vivienne235729
(3,381 posts)Bloomberg came in later and hasn't veered from attacking trump. He's stayed focued. He's really smart in how he's handling this campaign so far. Policy wise, I love Warren. But I wish she'd take a page out of Bberg's book.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
InAbLuEsTaTe
(24,122 posts)which would be a nightmare scenario for Joe.
Bernie/Elizabeth or Elizabeth/Bernie 2020!!
Either way, they're stronger together & can't be bought!!
Jump on the Bernie Bandwagon & join The Revolution!!
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
InAbLuEsTaTe
(24,122 posts)It's time to nominate Bernie, who has the only true aggressive progressive vision that looks after the workin class on Main Street!!
Bernie/Elizabeth or Elizabeth/Bernie 2020!!
Either way, they're stronger together & can't be bought!!
Jump on the Bernie Bandwagon & join The Revolution!!
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Jakes Progress
(11,122 posts)Check out 1972.
We lost until we got moderate.
I'm a lifelong socialist. Starting when is was a rebellious teen in the sixties. All my feistyness never did a thing. We were on a long losing streak until "third way" (please notice the lower case) candidates got in to actually make progress. Did they make as much progress as I would have liked? Nope. Did they make more progress than a losing candidate? Yep.
It is a short-sighted and parochial view to believe that all of a sudden the majority of Americans have become wild-eyed radicals. It comes from people who spend too much time with people who think just like they do. Yes, all your friends at the local wine bar think like you. But that doesn't extrapolate to the whole country.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
InAbLuEsTaTe
(24,122 posts)Bernie/Elizabeth or Elizabeth/Bernie 2020!!
Either way, they're stronger together & can't be bought!!
Jump on the Bernie Bandwagon & join The Revolution!!
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
NYMinute
(3,256 posts)He will lose by 45 states, we'll lose the house and republicans will have 60+ in the senate.
However, people wearing blinders are oblivious to reality.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
grantcart
(53,061 posts)Devastating.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Dream Girl
(5,111 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
grantcart
(53,061 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Gothmog
(145,046 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
markpkessinger
(8,392 posts)In fact, McGovern did NOT lose among Baby Boomers (those who were old enough to vote in 1972). His loss occurred primarily because of the WWII generation, and was because of his anti-war stance. It was inconceivable to WWII generation voters (most of them anyway) that their government would have lied to them about the reasons for going to war in Vietnam. To them, if a war was on, then it must be WWII all over again. Boomers should know better, as they knew better in 1972.
The notion that 1972 is a better indicator of what is likely to happen in 2020 than 2016 is kind of absurd on its face.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
OneMoreCupOfCoffee
(314 posts)was filled with political dirty-tricksters who were ready to spread any lie, fabricate narratives, steal DNC information, and were unburdened by principles.
The field day the dirty-tricksters had with the Tom Eagleton fiasco didn't help.
Dear sweet George McGovern had may wonderful qualities--chief among them integrity--but he did not have the street toughness necessary to prevail against Nixon and his band of dirty-tricksters.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
grantcart
(53,061 posts)McGovern lost 49 states by proposing fantastical economic plans that would turn the US into a fantastic benefit state that would be financed with a. 100% inheritance tax or every family with assets over $ 500,000. The Democratic primary didn't critically examining the cost and a landslide was guaranteed in the first week of the campaign and we lost 49 states.
Bernie Sanders is creating exactly the same dynamic.
Let's do some quick math on Bernie's plans. The total cost of his plans are way north of $30 trillion increase for 10 years ( his green plan calls for $ 17 trillion plus "Medicare for all" plus universal free college, etc)
That is equivalent to an increase of $ 100,000. In taxes per person over 10 years or an average cost of $10,000 per person per year .
Your assertion that he lost because of his antiwar stance is beyond ridiculous, by 1972 a large majority was against the war, including quite famously Walter Chronkite.
In the first week of the campaign McGovern kicked Thomas Eagleton off the ticket and offered the position to every major politician and had to settle with Shriver who never held public office.
You can try and rewrite history but public support for the war didn't exist ( Nixon actually ran against the war with his "secret plan to end the war", there was no pro war candidate in 72).
Sanders will deliver the 2nd largest landslide for Republicans in history.
Warren's plans are much more sensible than Bernie's except when she tries to outrank him (a la MFA). Her tax plan on 2% over 50 million on assets is brilliant but unfortunately requires an electorate that will read and consider and the American electorate didn't bother to read the Muller Report.
Those of us who lived through the McGovern disaster never want to repeat it and Sanders is McGovern 2.0. The war had nothing to do with it.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
greatauntoftriplets
(175,729 posts)And to think that it re-elected "I am not a crook" Nixon. It still galls me to this day.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
lees1975
(3,845 posts)https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/us/general_election_trump_vs_biden-6247.html
Not a lot of difference, especially with a larger number of undecideds as far out as we are. Nomination, convention bump, either of these guys beats the buffoon by 10 going away and sweeps in 5 senators and another dozen representatives.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
NYMinute
(3,256 posts)Trump and republicans would eviscerate, pulverize and decimate Bernie in a few days with massive oppo with his essays, videos, out of wedlock child that he did not support and his not having any gainful employment until he was well in his 30s.
They must have tons of stuff on him which is why they want him to be the nominee.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
redstatebluegirl
(12,265 posts)If you dare to question him you get nailed by his "loyal followers" who think if you don't love him you aren't a democrat.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Jirel
(2,017 posts)Im pretty sick of hearing this, as are many other thinking Democrats.
Gore. Kerry. Clinton. All supposedly moderate with crossover appeal. Look how that worked out.
Trump. A loose cannon weirdo even by GOP standards. Look how that worked out.
I am utterly done listening to claims by scared centrists about how this candidate or that cant win because they dont match the profile that hasnt won since 1996.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Scurrilous
(38,687 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
InAbLuEsTaTe
(24,122 posts)Bernie/Elizabeth or Elizabeth/Bernie 2020!!
Either way, they're stronger together & can't be bought!!
Jump on the Bernie Bandwagon & join The Revolution!!
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
StevieM
(10,500 posts)Gore actually did win. And he would have won by a lot more had the media not torpedoed him during the debates.
Kerry lost after the country rallied around Bush after 9/11. It is amazing that he did as well as he did, especially since a majority of Americans still supported the Iraq War at that point. I think he benefited from the trust that the Clinton/Gore years gave most Americans in the Democrats' ability to manage the economy.
Clinton would have destroyed Trump if it had not been for the fake email scandal. James Comey dominated that election from start to finish. And no matter what the media likes to claim, HRC was the candidate most trusted to manage the economy.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Cha
(297,029 posts)the Country in a BLUE WAVE VICTORY in 2018.
You Do Remember that, don't you?
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
EveHammond13
(2,855 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
lutherj
(2,496 posts)this forum has been overtaken by trolls.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
tiredtoo
(2,949 posts)but, i think the rules have been loosened a bit during the primaries and the discussion is limited to this forum. IMHO a message from 2011 does not serve us correctly. Heard a commentator mention 1972 election a few days ago. Come on friends this is 2020!
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
lutherj
(2,496 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Dream Girl
(5,111 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
tiredtoo
(2,949 posts)The voters are screaming for change. The country has been drifting right for the last 40-50 years. Today's Democrats are further right than Dwight D. Eisenhower. The TEA party wanted change, unfortunately they were taken over by the republicans. The occupy wall street folks wanted change, unfortunately they had no actual goal.
The Democrats must offer real change or they are doomed to fail again.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Scurrilous
(38,687 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
yaesu
(8,020 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Jedi Guy
(3,184 posts)Because if it's the former, that bot sure has been playing the long game. Gothmog's been a member since April 2004.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
LS_Editor
(893 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Response to Gothmog (Original post)
Name removed Message auto-removed
LongtimeAZDem
(4,494 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
lees1975
(3,845 posts)So what?
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
comradebillyboy
(10,135 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Recursion
(56,582 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Bettie
(16,083 posts)count on it.
Every one of our candidates from the first time I was aware of it was blasted as "the most liberal".
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
MasonDreams
(756 posts)My candidate can win. At least he doesn't tell people to go vote for Rump. I'm not gonna do that.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Perseus
(4,341 posts)Disgusting to say the least.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
R B Garr
(16,950 posts)it 5 points in swing districts. This article isnt about 10-year old musings on social security. Its about the losses that supporting Bernies current plans have cost Democrats.
Lets not help Republicans win again.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
napi21
(45,806 posts)DT and all his lies & antics, but if we nominate Bernie, we'll never get them. In 2015 I was a firm Bernie supporter. I even voted for him in our primary. Now I feel he's too LW for the moderate voters to support. Lots of them hated Hillary, mainly because the Pubs spent YEARS berating her. Now, AFAIK there's no hate of any of our candidates so we just need to nominate a candidate that will appeal to the most voters to win!
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
heckles65
(548 posts)but the title of the article is dead on. He'd get crushed in a national election. The past British election should have buried the idea that "to beat a crazy faux-populist we should try an unapologetic socialist."
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
comradebillyboy
(10,135 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Chicago1980
(1,968 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
DanieRains
(4,619 posts)Better messaging.
Go ahead and use it.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
James48
(4,429 posts)You say: In the three onetime Blue Wall battleground states, she topped him by over 45,000 votes, though he beat her in Wisconsin and edged her by a point in Michigan. In Ohio, Clinton won by 14 points and nearly 166,000 votes. The best you can say about this Sanders argument is that he didnt lose as badly.
I say: In 2016, Sanders got MILLIONS MORE VOTES than Bidan got.
Jesus- instead of cutting down your competition, how about you tell us why we should consider your candidates positions?
Threads like this simply tell me why I made the correct decision to go with BERNIE.
P.S.- Im from Michigan, and I know LOTS of republicans who will vote Sanders instead of Trump, but would hesitate if Biden is the nominee.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
thenelm1
(852 posts)I don't post here often, but there is something no one seems to ever say - Sanders is a Democrat only when it is convenient for him. Mind you, I agree with some/many of his ideas that he states publicly, but he only declares himself a Dem when he wants to run for president. That alone should make Dems wonder what the heck he's up to. In the last election, once he lost to Hillary in the primary, he immediately switched back to whatever it is he is. Why is that?
Why the hell would anyone who has seen his waffling between 'democrat/independent/socialist' trust him to stick to the Dem platform? If he happened to get nominated whose to say he doesn't go so far left that he dooms any chance of unseating our current a-hole? Especially once the pubbie machine goes all in on the "he's a socialist" thing. (Don't get me wrong, we do really need to do that, but let's be realistic, the majority of the electorate will never follow. Our first priority needs to be dumping the current a-hole - I won't even say his name.)
Basically, I don't trust Sanders. Why should I trust some mook who declares himself a Democrat only when it serves his political aspirations. Is he a Trojan horse candidate? I don't necessarily think so given his history, but do you really want to stake our future on some knob who only will declare himself a Dem when convenient?
And even though he caucuses with the Dems now, how much support would he actually have among the Dems in Congress once he starts proposing legislation outside of the Dem comfort zone. (And again, I wouldn't necessarily disagree with what he might propose, but, in the end, he does need Dem support to get anything passed.) Somehow I think we may end up with a more dysfunctional gov't than we already have. Much as I might like an independent thinking person leading the country, there's idealistic aspirations versus reality. You know damned well the pubbies will never go along with any of his ideas. The Congress needs to be in Dem control for any action for the people to pass muster. It really is that simple. While I might admire the idealism of the Bernie folks - please stop and think about the reality of what the electorate, as a whole, will accept. Small steps, small steps, painfully slow as they may be.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
comradebillyboy
(10,135 posts)than others in expressing them. Don't be intimidated by a post count.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
MFM008
(19,803 posts)Are very worried about the medicare for all.
They are Democrats against it.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Gothmog
(145,046 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Tarc
(10,476 posts)Sanders still got less support than Trump in the poll, but he did win 47 percent compared to Trumps 50 percent, a result within the poll's margin of error.
- https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign-polls/480643-poll-sanders-best-challenge-to-trump-in-texas
How interesting.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
TwilightZone
(25,453 posts)I'm not sure what you think it proves.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Gothmog
(145,046 posts)Link to tweet
Via The Economist:
This research suggests, then, that Mr Biden could perform better than his competitors against Mr Trump. He is more moderate than Mr Sanders, so both more likely to attract swing voters and less likely to motivate Republicans to vote against him. His strength with both black and racially conservative white voters could make a big difference in swing states. Recent polling from the New York Times and Siena College suggests that 6% of the electorate would vote for Mr Bidenbut not for Elizabeth Warrenagainst Mr Trump.
His advantage is evident in polls. According to The Economists analysis of publicly released polling data, Mr Biden performs better against Mr Trump than his competitors, nationwide and in swing states. Although polls of the general election conducted this early before a contest are not perfect, they are still helpful.
Mr Biden is not faultless. He is uninspiring on the stump and in debates. His Washington ties may inspire resentment from voters skeptical of elites. His candidacy would also represent a safety-first strategy for the Democrats at a time when many in the party desperately want to push a much more progressive economic, racial and social agenda. Yet for all that he still appears to be the Democrats best option in a contest against Mr Trump.
Trump is attacking Biden because he is the Democrat who poses the biggest threat
Joe Biden is the example used in the article, but the same principle applies to all of the moderate Democrat. Trump is extreme. The formula for beating a political extremist isnt to navigate to the opposite extreme.
Trump has abandoned the political middle, and it would be a foolish mistake for Democrats to believe that they could nominate any of their candidates and beat Trump. If Trump runs against someone on the far left, he will wrap himself in patriotism, and paint his opponent as the extremist.
Election Day turnout will be smaller because people in the middle will stay home instead of choosing between a candidate on the right, and a candidate on the left. A base election helps Trump and the Republican Party.
A moderate can beat Trump with a promise to end the crazy and bring the presidency and the nation back to normal. Beating an incumbent president is difficult, but according to the research, a moderate gives Democrats their best chance to win in 2020.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Scotch-Irish
(464 posts)Push Bernie to the side at your own risk.
Check out this youtube video:
Krystal Ball: Why establishment scramble to stop Bernie will fail
She makes important points about the cross-over votes and the young voters coming up.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Gothmog
(145,046 posts)In addition to the well written 101 page memorandum with oppo on sanders with a 1000 pages of backup from the Clinton campaign trump has his own oppo file on sanders that would destroy such a weak and divisive candidate like sanders. Trump had a two foot thick book of oppo research on Sanders http://www.newsweek.com/myths-cost-democrats-presidential-election-521044
So what would have happened when Sanders hit a real opponent, someone who did not care about alienating the young college voters in his base? I have seen the opposition book assembled by Republicans for Sanders, and it was brutal. The Republicans would have torn him apart. And while Sanders supporters might delude themselves into believing that they could have defended him against all of this, there is a name for politicians who play defense all the time: losers....
The Republicans had at least four other damning Sanders videos (I dont know what they showed), and the opposition research folder was almost 2-feet thick. (The section calling him a communist with connections to Castro alone would have cost him Florida.) In other words, the belief that Sanders would have walked into the White House based on polls taken before anyone really attacked him is a delusion built on a scaffolding of political ignorance.
sanders was such a weak primary candidate that the Clinton campaign did not use its oppo but trump would have fun destroying such a weak candidate like sanders
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Scotch-Irish
(464 posts)Newsweek. The conservative rag that's been around forever. Establishment. Same ole, same ole. It's a new world, and Bernie gets it. AOC, Michael Moore, millions and millions and hundreds of millions of Americans get it. The Democratic establishment may really hate the Sanders/Warren majority in the alternative party (alternative to the establishment), but they will burn Bernie at their own peril.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Gothmog
(145,046 posts)sanders has n chance against trump in the real world. trump would love to run against a sad and weak candidate like sanders. Negative ads work and trump would destroy sanders easily
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Scotch-Irish
(464 posts)who was not a standard bearer. Now many of them hate trump. Bernie would have not only the progressives, but the disillusioned trump voters that aren't just batshit crazy.
Are you saying you wouldn't vote for Bernie if he was the major vote getter in the primaries?
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Gothmog
(145,046 posts)I will vote for the nominee of the party but I doubt that the party will nominate a weak and unelectable candidate like sanders. There are far too many real Democrats who have good memories and who will not forgive or forget
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Scotch-Irish
(464 posts)"very weak candidate" "unelectable candidate". Propaganda comes easily for you.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Gothmog
(145,046 posts)I live in the real world and was a delegate to the national convention. I and a large number of real Democrats are working to make Texas blue. A very weak candidate like sanders would kill down ballot candidates in Texas
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Response to Gothmog (Reply #115)
Post removed
Gothmog
(145,046 posts)Normally going to a national convention is a once in a life time experience. I have worked really hard inside the party on campaigns and voter protection issues for a very long time to earn this trip. Too bad that sanders and his vetted delegates ruined that experience and did their best to help trump. A candidate has absolute approval rights over their pledged delegates because these delegates can change their votes and these delegates represent the candidate and campaign. I helped vet Clinton delegates and I know that I was vetted. The Clinton campaign told us that we represent her and that our actions would reflect on her and her campaign.
In contrast, sanders sent one very weak text the Sunday night before the convention and then did little or nothing to control his delegates. It was nasty I was there when the sanders delegates booed Congressman John Lewis. I was warned about this stunt 30 minutes before it happened by the Clinton campaign whip. According to my whip, sanders was asked to stop this event and declined. That incident will be used against sanders if he runs in 2020.
I was at the Texas delegation breakfast when a group of sanders delegates marched in and demanded that we condemn Clinton and change our votes to sanders.
sanders spoke to the Texas delegation the next morning and his speech was again solely about himself. There was a mini-riot due to his delegates the prior morning and the only thing that sanders talked about was himself. sanders did nothing to deal with the fact that his delegates were out of control and did nothing to try to help Hillary Clinton win the general election.
Finally a group of sanders delegates yelled at my daughter and called her the c-Word because she would not try to get me to change my vote. Again sanders was asked to tell his delegates to behave during the convention and sanders refused
I have seen enough of sanders
BTW, the 2020 convention has the Texas and California delegations in hotels at O'Hair and these delegations will have a 2.5 hour bus ride each way to the convention site. I am now happy to honor the tradition and let someone else be yelled at and called names by sanders delegates
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Hortensis
(58,785 posts)behavior. I'm hoping we can keep their numbers a lot lower this time. Let them scream insults from outside like the trumpster demonstrators. They can chant "lock him up" together.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Gothmog
(145,046 posts)Yelling at a lawyer is a waste of time but cursing at my child and calling her the c-word was unacceptable. I admit that I laughed at the sanders idiot delegate wearing an oversized cross standing outside the Jewish Democratic caucus yelling at us and telling us that we were bad Jews for not supporting sanders. Where does sanders find these people?
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Hortensis
(58,785 posts)And become like each other, followers like leaders, but also leaders like followers, according to studies. Sanders is a much older, more sophisticated version of his delegates with a very highly privileged senate seat to protect.
I'm greatly offended at the current redux,and very suspicious that he's doing as well as he is in the polls even as his legacy is tearing our nation apart. Only imagine if people had discarded him when they learned about Russia and his lies about election thefts, and we'd elected Hillary and the expected Democratic senate and even house on her coattails.
This would be a different world. Literally. As it is, I feel like I'm living in a later chapter of Steven King's 11/22/63 as the world's coming apart. And he's still in the middle.
I'm sorry they brought their ugliness and dysfunction to what should have been a wonderful and elevating event for both of you. I didn't know about the Democratic tradition of allowing new people to have that experience each election, but it's the kind of niceness that fits us.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Gothmog
(145,046 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Historic NY
(37,449 posts)See those people☝️ they gave us Trump with the bullshit they pulled....He wants to surround himself with them again.
He will drive Democrats away and remember 1 in 10 of his people won't vote for a Democrat nominee who isn't BS.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
George II
(67,782 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Gothmog
(145,046 posts)I am active on the ground trying to turn Texas blue and there are significant ground to be worried about about a weak and unelectable candidate like sanders
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Cha
(297,029 posts)not helping your candidate.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Cha
(297,029 posts)We're in the Dem Party.. we don't Do "propaganda".
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Gothmog
(145,046 posts)It takes years of hard work to earn a slot at a national convention
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Cha
(297,029 posts)BS does not "appeal to".
This is the Primary.. not everyone wants him for the nom
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Cha
(297,029 posts)the "Establishment" ARE WINNERS! And, all the calling them "the Establishment in the World.. Is NOT going to Change that.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Cha
(297,029 posts)these are the FACTS.
Krystal Ball doesn't know what she's talking about.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Gothmog
(145,046 posts)The real democrats in this race have not started to go negative on him yet but trump has a ton to work with and will bury and destroy such a weak candidate like sanders
Link to tweet
Democrats face a classic collective-action problem. The party has a strong interest in publicly vetting Sanders before he becomes its nominee, but no candidate wants to be the one to go negative on him. Instead, as with Donald Trumps Republican opponents in 2016, other Democratic candidates are seemingly hoping to pick off Sanders voters during the primary season, or at least attract their support in November, without doing the dirty work of criticizing his record. Attacks that appear to echo potential Republican talking points are especially likely to go unsaid. As a result, large numbers of voters may not learn about Sanderss vulnerabilities and how they might be exploited in a general election until much later in the race.
The lack of scrutiny of Sanders dates back to 2016. Despite his long career in politics, Sanders was a little-known outsider before his presidential campaign against Hillary Clinton. His unexpectedly strong showing in that race made him a national figure with an unusually positive public image. Why? Few politicians ever criticized him. Sanders never seriously threatened Clintons hold on the nomination, so she mostly held her fire, preferring to try to keep his voters in the fold for November. Republicans largely withheld criticism as well, presumably appreciating his refusal to withdraw from the race and hoping to run against him rather than Clinton in the general election.
These attacks will come, however, if Sanders is the Democratic nominee. Any candidate will face attacks, of course, but for contenders like Sanders who have been insulated from previous criticism, the potential for damage is especially great.,,,,
Moreover, though Democratic candidates dont want to make this point in the primary race, attacks on Sanderss praise of socialist and communist governments are likely to be especially damaging when paired with criticism of his policy proposals as big-government socialism. Even Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.), who once assiduously sought to prevent Sanders from getting to her left, has realized the risks of Sanderss plan to move all health care to a single-payer system and has started to edge away from the idea. Only 20 percent of voters and just 37 percent of Democrats say they would be enthusiastic about voting for a socialist for president.
Labels like socialist are abstract and poorly understood by most voters, of course; some of Sanderss policies are indeed popular. But the penalty for extremism is real. When ideologically extreme candidates narrowly defeat moderates for a party nomination, the political scientists Andrew Hall and Daniel Thompson find, they perform more poorly in the general election, in part because they inspire the other partys base more than their own. For instance, former Kansas secretary of state Kris Kobach, a hard-right conservative, barely beat the Republican governor in the 2018 gubernatorial primary before losing the general election to a Democrat by five percentage points.
Trump might seem to be a counterexample, but Sanders will struggle to replicate his success. Its true that Trump won the White House despite having unusually high unfavorable ratings and a personal background that many voters considered disqualifying. Like Trump, Sanders would surely benefit from the strong pull of party loyalty, which can help counter the doubts of some potential supporters. But Trump had a key advantage: Voters in 2016 saw him as unusually moderate, which helped him overcome those record unfavorable numbers. Though the public now sees Trump as more conservative than in the last election, it views Sanders as even more distant from the center.
Besides his socialist positions, Sanders also has a long paper trail of writings and statements about sex, gender and race that have received relatively little attention but are likely to provoke far more controversy if he wins the nomination. In one 1969 essay, for instance, Sanders wrote that the manner in which you bring up your daughter with regard to sexual attitudes may very well determine whether or not she will develop breast cancer, among other things. And does his diverse coalition of young supporters know he once compared workers in Vermont to slaves?
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Tweedy
(628 posts)People want a wealth tax. Most like Senator Warren's better (higher numbers when her name is omitted). We want that in red states, in blue states, in high hollers and lowlands everywhere
Our kids want some help so their lives are not indentured. Kids want that in Thayer, Kansas and Broken Arrow, Oklahoma as much as they want it in NYC or LA
People want their health care to be secure. Isn't it wild how Frank Luntz-y so many have gone on this one? Reminds me of the debate before Obamacare passed.
All of the rest of the candidates, including and most especially the current president, who is in court to take what we have now away, need to be pressed on how their ideas do that.
VP Biden does have half a plan; although it is not half baked. It is the original Obamacare, before Senator Lieberman balked at Medicare buy in. He still has some 'splaining to do. Yet, so does the former VP.
Senator Sanders could win the general
of that there is no doubt
It would help if his campaign stopped bashing long time liberal democrats like Barney Frank. I know Mr. Frank supported the Senator's opponent last time. So what? That sounds very drumphian to me.
Any of our candidates could win.
Best chance we the people have is if we stick together.
E pluribus unum
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Bettie
(16,083 posts)is the only path forward.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Gothmog
(145,046 posts)Trump would easily beat a weak and unelectable candidate like sanders
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Bettie
(16,083 posts)can win.
I disagree.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Gothmog
(145,046 posts)I personally think that sanders is even weaker than McGovern (who was at least a proud member of the Democratic Party_
Link to tweet
Link to tweet
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Bettie
(16,083 posts)isn't strong enough. He's been tarred now, not for any wrong he has done, but in a way that the media will spin 24/7 as wrongdoing and corruption.
I don't want Sanders or Biden as the nominee, but, I'll happily vote for either of them if it comes to that.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Gothmog
(145,046 posts)He is more than strong enough. The GOP and trump are terrified of Joe which is why they are doing this. If sanders was the nominee, there is so much oppo on sanders that it is scary. trump could easily destroy sanders by playing clips of sanders praising Castro, the Soviet Union and participating in anti-American demonstrations in Central America. sanders participated in a rally where they shouted death to America. This would be a great negative ad that would be very effective against a weak candidate.
In 2016, Russia depressed the African American vote. At the National Convention, sanders delegates booed John Lewis, Elijah Cummings, Stacy Abrams and other African American speakers. Russia would use these clips to suppress the African American vote very effectively if a weak candidate like sanders was the nominee.
BTW, I stuttered until 4th grade. When my son was 4 we were told that he was developmentally delayed by the head of the Jewish day school (who was on the board of my Temple with me at the time). We tested my son and it was a language processing issue I evidently had the same issue and I showed by stuttering and son was just did not talk. My son went to be Phi Beta Kappa and is now a partner in a major law firm.
I told Joe this story and was hugged. Joe told me that he has 19 young people with stutters he calls once a week. I still stutter when I am too tired and Joe told me that this happens to him
I am convinced that Joe is the best person to beat trump. I have seen him up close and I have confidence.
Again, the GOP and trump are terrified of Joe. That is important.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Cha
(297,029 posts)Dems.. as much as some like to trot it out.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Cha
(297,029 posts)like to propagate.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
YOHABLO
(7,358 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Cha
(297,029 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
apcalc
(4,463 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Blue_Tires
(55,445 posts)But Berners screamed at me all last week that states like Arizona are just itching for the chance to vote for a socialist candidate...
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Gothmog
(145,046 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Dietz
(65 posts)I don't think Bernie's ideas are toxic. The problem is that they are mere ideas. He has no track record of realizing any of them.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Gothmog
(145,046 posts)Link to tweet
Sanders' plan would also increase the size of government far more than any modern Republican president, including Ronald Reagan, has sought to cut it, Summers' analysis concluded.
"On the spending side, ... this is far more radical than all previous presidencies, on either the right or the left," Summers said in an interview. "The Sanders spending increase is roughly 2.5 times the size of the New Deal and the estimated fiscal impact of George McGovern's campaign proposals. This is six times as large of a growth of government than any of the Ronald Reagan dismemberments. We are in a kind of new era of radical proposal."
Exact cost projections on all of Sanders' proposals aren't available, in part because he hasn't fully fleshed out some of the ideas he's embraced (such as universal pre-K and child care). But a wide variety of estimates put the likely cost of the single-payer health care plan he has endorsed around $30 trillion or more over the next decade. Depending on the estimates used, including projections from his own campaign, the other elements of the Sanders agenda -- ranging from his "Green New Deal" to the cancellation of all student debt to a guaranteed federal jobs program that has received almost no scrutiny -- could cost about as much, or even more than, the single-payer plan. That would potentially bring his 10-year total for new spending to around $60 trillion, or more.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Gothmog
(145,046 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
scipan
(2,341 posts)Let's see if voters' perceptions have changed. Bernie is doing quite well in head to head matchups with Trump. He is also probably the current front-runner. All strong indications that your opinion is wrong.
Me, I'm just going to vote for who I like best and believe would make the best president.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Gothmog
(145,046 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Gothmog
(145,046 posts)TX CD 22 is an open seat with Pete Olson retiring. The DCCC has targeted this seat for flipping. There are 15 candidates in GOP primary including the grandson of GHW Bush. Another candidate, Kathleen Wall, is running in the GOP primary and she spent $6 million in 2018 running in GOP primary for TX CD 2 and did not make GOP primary runoff. I have had Wall block walkers come to my house twice (I live in a very GOP neighborhood) and I have found Wall doorhanger on my door twice now.
Pierce Bush is running against socialism
Link to tweet
Sri Preston Kulkarni is the leading Democrat for this seat (Sri has a GOP type and another person running against him in the Texas Democratic Primary) I texted this ad to Sri and he knew about it already. Sri Preston Kulkarni is a great guy and we need to flip this seat
If sanders is the nominee, we can forget about this seat and we will have Kevin McCarthy as speaker
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden