Cali politics are pretty left. I'm more interested in how he is doing in PA or Fl

A recent poll (Jan 14-16) by A rated SurveyUSA had Biden leading by 10%. SurveyUSA is best pollster in the country.. imo.

Change Research tends to produce odd numbers. I dont trust them.

Survey usa looks to be a outlier because all other California polls have Sanders in the lead. Also, survey usa was off by 11 points in their final prediction in the 2016 California democratic primary, so not a great track record in California.

Things changed considerably in that last 2 weeks. Almost everyone had Clinton leading by 10+ points at the time SurveyUSA did their last poll on May 23 then something happened about 10 days prior which closed the gap in the polling but Survey USA had no additional poll.

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/ca/california_democratic_presidential_primary-5321.html#polls

Polling is a snapshot in time. I think they were accurate at the time they did the poll but things change in politics.. sometimes very rapidly.

Survey USA is known to be one of the best if not the best polling outfit in the country.

And was within 5 points of the final outcome, so i would say there is evidence that polling company is currently more accurate then survey USA in California and they have Sanders by 3 currently which falls more in line with other current polls.

Also, their polling was 2 weeks prior to the actual election so its a snapshot at the time. No pollster can predict the final outcome that far out. It's like predicting the weather weeks ahead. Almost impossible.

I think there is going to be another Survey USA survey coming soon. That one should tell the story better that anything else we have now.

I can be patient.

Thanks for the thread Donkees.

Now he's got a handsome lead which helps him two other important early states aside from California. Nevada and Texas.

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