Trump's Chances Of Winning Reelection Are Way Worse Than We Thought

Allan Lichtman interview. Allan Lichtman has predicted who would win the Presidency every time.

Allan Lichtman has predicted who would win the Presidency every time. He isn't ready to predict yet but he thinks Biden is the best person to go up against Trump.

He has some nice points like the number of Muslims in Michigan is not as much of a concern as some are making it out to be. That's around the 26 minute mark.

"Trump's an Addict, I've Seen It Firsthand!" Noel Casler

'There's an avalanche about to hit him': Fmr. Trump insider on massive legal bills

Good lord! Is this a parody account? LMAO!

I looked this guy up and he worked for the Daily Caller so I'm not sure what to think of this? Can someone really be this stupid or is this satire?

https://twitter.com/ScottMGreer
https://substack.com/@highlyrespected

https://twitter.com/ScottMGreer/status/1751789235181691273

God Smelled Trump

Federal Reserve staff estimates there is no chance for recession in the next 12 months but some forecasters

think there is a good chance???

Who in the list below has the best track record? If we can avoid a recession before the election, Biden will almost for sure win.

Snip:

Probability of U.S. Recession
The probability of a U.S. recession in 2024 varies widely depending on the source and methodology. The Federal Reserve staff estimates that there is no chance of a recession in the next 12 months, while the yield curve model by the New York Fed suggests that there is a 61% chance of a recession in the same period. The yield curve model is based on the historical relationship between the spread between long-term and short-term Treasury yields and recessions. A negative or inverted yield curve, where short-term rates are higher than long-term rates, has preceded every U.S. recession since 1959.

Other sources have different estimates of the U.S. recession risk. A survey of economists by Wolters Kluwer shows that 48% of them expect a recession in 2024, while a survey of consumers by The Conference Board indicates that 69% of them think that a recession is likely in the next year. Among Wall Street firms, Goldman Sachs gives a 15% probability of a recession in 2024, while Bank of America assigns a 35-40% likelihood. Among CEOs, 84% of them are preparing for a recession in the next 12-18 months.

Link: https://www.noradarealestate.com/blog/is-a-recession-coming-in-2024/

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