October 31, 2015

Fivethirtyeight: Bush's Problem is Jeb Bush

My colleague (and boss) Nate Silver believes Jeb Bush is “probably toast.” He isn’t alone: A bunch of pundits are saying Bush is finished. I’m not sure I would go that far; there is no clear front-runner in either the endorsement race (which Bush nominally leads) or the money race (which Bush also leads, if you count super PAC money). With the Republican field in such disarray, I’m hesitant to predict anything with certainty.

But while I don’t think Bush’s demise is a fait accompli, I definitely agree that he’s in serious trouble. Bush isn’t going to win any primaries if his popularity among Republicans continues to plummet.

No candidate’s net favorability — the share of Republicans who view a candidate favorably minus the share who view him or her negatively — has fallen more than Bush’s since mid-June, when Bush and Donald Trump entered the race. Here are all the candidates’ net favorability ratings over that span, in a chart we put together before Wednesday’s Republican debate.


More: http://fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/jeb-bushs-problem-is-jeb-bush/?ex_cid=538fb

October 25, 2015

It needs to be asked. Is Ben Carson self-medicating?

This has been suggested several times inside threads and I think it needs its own thread. I was just listening to him in this video and he sounds high as a kite:

October 25, 2015

Dupe

Already posted here: http://www.democraticunderground.com/1017303261

October 25, 2015

Really revealing comments from Jeb Bush in South Carolina

From Forward Progressive:

“If this election is about how we’re going to fight to get nothing done, then I don’t want any part of it,” Bush said. “I don’t want to be elected president to sit around and see gridlock just become so dominant that people literally are in decline in their lives.”

“I’ve got a lot of really cool things I could do other than sit around, being miserable, listening to people demonize me and me feeling compelled to demonize them,” he continued. “That is a joke. Elect Trump if you want that.”

That, ladies and gentlemen, is what you call a political meltdown. It’s clear that Trump has gotten under his skin and he’s completely frustrated with the entire process. That’s what happens when you let crazy people take over your party. So at the end of the day, Bush can whine all he wants, but he only has the Republican party and conservative voters to blame for the rise of Trump and the madness that’s seized the GOP.

I think these comments really put the final nail in the coffin of his campaign. Those are not words of a man many serious donors are going to get behind. With poll numbers that are almost certainly going to get worse, money that seems to be drying up and his candidacy becoming more and more irrelevant by the day – I would be fairly surprised to see him stay in much longer unless something completely unexpected happens.

http://www.forwardprogressives.com/jeb-bush-embarrassing-weekend-could-be-final-nail-campaigns-coffin/



https://twitter.com/jaketapper/status/657954623202963456

October 25, 2015

Does Hillary have a chance to take Arkansas or any other Southern states in the General?

I was just thinking that Bill, a Southerner, was pretty competitive in the South winning states like AR, LA, KY, TN, GA, FL etc. From what I have heard GA is shifting Blue and with AR being her home state we could see some southern states beyond the Carolina's turning blue again. Anyone with any in-depth knowledge of what is expected down there this time around?

October 24, 2015

911 Foreknowledge - Bin Laden Determined to Strike in U.S.

Jeb Bush seems to have forgotten all of this. Donald Trump needs to hit him harder on his brothers failures.

October 24, 2015

Condoleezza Rice asserts 'Bin Laden Determined To Attack' wasn't a warning.

October 24, 2015

Alaska: State of Emergency - Why is Alaska Sinking?

October 22, 2015

Police: Man confesses to I-40 Road Rage Shooting

Source: ABC KOAT News 7 Albuquerque

ALBUQUERQUE, N.M. —A man has confessed to shooting and killing a 4-year-old girl during a road rage incident earlier this week, according to police.

A person of interest was detained around 3:45 p.m. Wednesday near Sunset and Central Avenue, police said.


Tony Torrez, 32, confessed to the killing and has been arrested, according to police.

Torrez has been charged with an open count of murder, aggravated battery with a deadly weapon, assault with the intent to commit a violent felony, shooting at or from a motor vehicle, child abuse, child abuse resulting in death and tampering with evidence.


Read more: http://www.koat.com/news/heavy-police-presence-closes-i40-west-at-unser/35947470

October 21, 2015

4-year-old killed in road rage shooting

Source: ABC KOAT Channel 7 Albuquerque

ALBUQUERQUE, N.M. —A 4-year-old girl has died after she was shot during a road rage incident Tuesday afternoon on Interstate 40.


A father, mother and child were in the car, but only the child was hit by the gunfire. It’s unclear how many shots were fired.

An off-duty Bernalillo County deputy pulled over to help shortly after the shooting. At first he thought the child had fallen out of the car, but then he learned she'd been shot.

"This is a complete disrespect of human life. This is something that should not be happening in Albuquerque, New Mexico," APD Chief Gorden Eden said.

Police do not believe the family knew the shooter. They’re calling it a road rage case.

"We are begging for information"


Read more: http://www.koat.com/news/heavy-police-presence-closes-i40-west-at-unser/35947470

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The road rage incident was posted earlier but this is late breaking because the child has now passed away.