Democratic Underground - Latest link to 45 to 1

Reply #41: Latest link to 45 to 1 [View All]

ThoughtCriminal

(1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore

Sun Dec-26-04 03:19 AM
Response to Original message

41. Latest link to 45 to 1

Edited on Sun Dec-26-04 03:24 AM by ThoughtCriminal

Update, Dec. 25, 9:47 p.m. ET: The risk of an impact by asteroid 2004 MN4 went up slightly on Saturday, Dec. 25. It is now pegged at having a 1-in -45 chance of striking the planet on April 13, 2029. That's up from 1-in-63 late on Dec. 24, and 1-in-300 early on Dec. 24.

Astronomers still stress that it is very likely the risk will be reduced to zero with further observations. And even as it stands with present knowledge, the chances are 97.8 percent the rock will miss Earth.

http://www.space.com/scienceastronomy/asteroid_risk_041224.html

On edit:
NASA also seems to have revised the mass estimates upward to 8.3e+10 kg and the impact energy to 1600 Megatons of TNT

http://neo.jpl.nasa.gov/risk/2004mn4.html

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Reply #41: Latest link to 45 to 1 [View All]