So this is how the Iraqi election on Thursday might turn out. Two opinion polls this week suggest when the votes are counted, the results will look something like:
Shiite Islamic Coalition: 30 to 35 percent
Ayad Allawi (secular nationalist slate): 20 percent
Kurdish parties: 16 percent
Sunni Parties: 16 percent
Other small parties will fight for the scraps.
The game to watch: How will the government be formed? The slates will have to create a two-thirds majority to forge a government...but how will they do it?
Watch Allawi try to split the Shiite coalition and break away some of the moderates.
http://onthescene.msnbc.com/baghdad/2005/12/predicted_elect.html
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