Reply #22: Substitute votes for approval ratings -- the point still holds [View All]

You might want to read "The Demographics of Clarkism"

http://www.emergingdemocraticmajorityweblog.com/donkeyrising/archives/000295.html

It's somewhat dated, and I'm not sure if there's a newer analysis that breaks down demographics, but as you can see, having a gender gap doesn't mean he gets less support from women that another candidate without a gender gap.


While Clark receives more support than Dean among both men and women, his margin over Dean among women is just 3 points (16 percent to 13 percent), but an impressive 12 points among men (29 percent to 17 percent).


Clark -- 16% support from women, 29% support from men, gender differnce of 13pts (noticeable gender gap)

Dean -- 13% support from women, 17% support from men, gender difference of 4pts (i.e, no significant gender gap)

Although Dean has no gender gap, Clark still has more female support than Dean.


Note: these numbers are from October, I don't know if anyone has done a demographical breakdown of any newer poll. And this was with a crowded field, not a head to head match up with Bush.