Reply #16: don't count your chickens [View All]

so soon. Sweep the primaries? I think not. Dean will win in NH, but I don't think he'll win here in SC, and Gep will take Iowa.

I actually hope we go to our convention with no clear winner, i.e. no nominee-apparent so that the convention is not just a confirmatory formality. Rather, Dean will have many delegates, Clark will have many delegates, Gep will a few delegates, and maybe Edwards or Kucinich and perhaps Kerry will have a few delegates. Then the decision will be made peacefully behind the scenes in July in Boston, and everyone will unite behind a Clark-Dean ticket which can defeat Bush.

Why do I hope this? I want a continued moving target so that there is no one Rove can single out for attack early and often. Yes, the GOP will spin this as evidence that the Dems don't know who they want, they're indecisive, yada, yada, yada ... But I'll bet they'll be quaking in their boots at the uncertainty. And all our guys can continue pounding on the administration's failures with the gravitas of still being in the running.

Remember, conventions used to be about determining the nominee not merely anointing the guy with the requisite number of delegates based on primary wins.