WA SEN: Cantwell (D) 48%, McGavick (R) 44% (Strategic Vision) [View All]

http://www.strategicvision.biz/political/washington_poll_072606.htm

This poll is in line with last month's Rasmussen poll, which had Cantwell at 44% and McGavick at 40%. Last month, Strategic Vision had Cantwell with a five point lead, and before that, she had an eight-to-ten point lead.

Clearly, Cantwell is in more danger now than she was six months ago.

This race has been slowly trending towards McGavick, though Cantwell has always maintained a small lead. Meanwhile, Minnesota has slowly been trending towards Klobuchar. I'm nearly to the point where I'm prepared to move Minnesota away from the "Vulnerable Democrat" category and move Washington into its place as a top-tier race.

Cantwell still faces a primary challenge from an anti-war activist, as well as a third-party challenge in the general election, both of which are expected to help McGavick.