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Why Clinton needs Edwards to do well in Iowa: [View All]

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cali Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Dec-31-07 07:27 AM
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Why Clinton needs Edwards to do well in Iowa:
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Surging Edwards may be blessing for Clinton
BY GLENN THRUSH | glenn.thrush@newsday.com
December 31, 2007

VINTON, Iowa - Meet John Edwards, Hillary Clinton's baby-faced tormenter - and the guy who just might be her last, best hope to stop Barack Obama in the early primary states.

Edwards, who is enjoying a late surge in the New Hampshire and Iowa polls, has staked his candidacy on a strong showing in the Hawkeye State, where his grassroots support is the envy of the Democratic field. But he's also gaining ground in the Granite State - New Hampshire - where he's moved from the low teens in early December polling into the low 20s this week.

Edwards has hammered Clinton on campaign finance and for her refusal to recant her Iraq war vote, but his rise, perversely, helps Clinton by dividing the anti-Clinton vote among two candidates.


"Clinton needs a viable John Edwards - her worst-case scenario is that Obama takes first place and Edwards comes in third here," said University of Iowa pollster David Redlawski. "If Edwards falls into irrelevance, that really hurts her because he's splitting the vote against her."

Clinton's advisers worry what will happen if Edwards were to falter in Iowa, according to sources in the campaign. His collapse could deliver his supporters, overwhelmingly anti-Clinton, to Obama in numbers great enough to push deadlocked New Hampshire and South Carolina into the Illinois senator's column.

<snip>

this article also has some interesting info about how Clinton's support is limited.

http://www.newsday.com/news/nationworld/ny-ushill315521016dec31,0,202428.story
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