Reply #57: God I hope so [View All]

As it stands right now Dean IS poised to win the nomination. Although I'm a Clark supporter, those of you know me know I was a Dean supporter and still support him to some extent.

Anyway, none of us should kid ourselves. Dean is a gamble, but despite the long shot it may look like, there are some cards in Dean's hand that could just win the entire kitty.

- Old Fashioned Republican support. Exactly as was mentioned, the "Dean Republicans" could give us the biggest edge on this one. If this is to be true, expect the Northeast to be his biggest bump. I actually see Dean taking the ENTIRE Northeast. Including PA and NH.

- Neo-Libertarian support. Some of these guys supported Perot. A lot of them backed Bush I. They're pissed about the Patriot act and the budget.

- The 18-25 set. Although not *the* straw that broke the Camel formerly known as Bush I's back, they did help in getting Clinton elected. Every little bit counts in this election, and IF these guys surpassed the numbers they did in '92 they could very well be that straw.

Of course, part of me fears the worst - that the Republicans are supporting Dean because they think he'll pull a McGovern - and they want to ensure that.


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