Does anyone still believe the Democratic party is the odds on favorite to win in November? [View All]

We have two "camps" now, where each group increasingly hates the other candidate. Polls increasingly show that a higher and higher percentage will vote for McCain if their candidate loses. Ill-will abounds. Worse, while the Democratic party has the headlines, the level of discourse has sunken to discussions over which surrogate is worse, questioning of patriotism, pandering political gestures, and childlike behavior on both sides in abundance. Meanwhile, McCain can gaffe away, while still coming across as adult-like.

Back in January, I think if you took a poll, most everyone in the country would have said this election was pretty much a sure Democratic victory. Does anyone still believe we have sure Democratic victory at this point? If not, can we forgo the ridiculous Kumbaya bullshit that this race has not hurt our chances?

But I ask a more basic question. Does anyone believe the Democratic party is still the odds-on favorite to win in November? (this is of course a lessor standard than a "sure Democratic victory) 'Cause I sure don't. If I was truly independent, I would have a real hard time looking at the Democratic party and conclude, "Yeah, these guys look like they are the grown-ups I'm looking for to fix things..."

Yeah, the Republicans have truly fucked up our country, both foreign policy and domestic. Yeah, McCain wants to keep the war going, and has little insight on the economy. Regardless, we've set up the Republican playbook for both candidates, and have validated it. The MSM has already had a field day discussing how Hillary is a lying sack of shit who will say anything to win, and how Obama is an inexperienced, unpatriotic elitist. All the while they tout McCain as a "Maverick" who bucks party establishment.

So please, if you still "Believe", tell me why the democrats are still the odds-on favorite. Do you really think the youth vote and black people will come out in droves for Hillary? Will single white women and redneck working class will be casting their votes for Obama? I'm really interested to hear the rationale.