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How Hillary Might Still Win It [View All]

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Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion: Presidential (Through Nov 2009) Donate to DU
Austinitis Donating Member (726 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 01:29 PM
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How Hillary Might Still Win It
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Edited on Tue May-13-08 01:34 PM by Austinitis
So they're talking on TV about how West Virginia might have 500,000 people turn out to vote today (for example 76,000 people voted early). They're also talking about how Clinton might win by as much as 40%. If she does that, and has a moderately good day in Kentucky next week, she could pull ahead in the popular vote.

See http://www.realclearpolitics.com/horseraceblog/2008/05/not_quite_yet_1.html">this (fascinating) article (from HorseRaceBlog) for a description of how this might play out. See http://www.realclearpolitics.com/horseraceblog/chooseyourown.html">this spreadsheet to calculate today's impact on the popular vote (if you set turnout high enough to get 500,000 votes Hillary takes the lead on the popular vote w/Florida).

I mean, just look at this map. The blue areas are places Hillary dominated, and WV is right in the middle of that:



And that fact that Obama hasn't really gotten that flood of super-delegates means that count MI and FL, plus pushing on super-delegates, could pull this off for us.

So if you're a Hillary supporter, https://contribute.hillaryclinton.com/form.html?sc=3">click here to keep her going through June.
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