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Look how BAD the state poll results vs reality were from 2000 [View All]

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Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion: Presidential (Through Nov 2009) Donate to DU
59millionmorons Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Sep-21-04 07:26 AM
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Look how BAD the state poll results vs reality were from 2000
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This from a poster at dailykos.com

Below is an analysis of polls over time before the 2000 election.
NOTE THE LARGE SWINGS IN A MATTER OF DAYS, BLUE STATES "TREDING RED" ONLY TO ACTUALLY STAY EXTREMELY BLUE, AND RASMUSSEN'S INCREDIBLY INACCURATE POLLS.

Seems pretty similar to today.

Diaries :: israelfox87's diary ::

NEW JERSEY

June 22, 2000....Al Gore 44%, George Bush 41%

Headline: New Jersey is a Tossup

http://slerp.rutgers.edu/retrieve.php?id=126-3

September 5, 2000...Al Gore 39%, George Bush 32%

October 17, 2000....Al Gore 46%, George Bush 38%

Headline...Gore's lead trimmed, but still solid going into final debate

http://slerp.rutgers.edu/retrieve.php?id=128-1

Gore won New Jersey by 16 percent

-----------------------------------------------

ARIZONA

March 30, 2000...George Bush 41%, Al Gore 37%

BUSH AND GORE IN TIGHT RACE IN ARIZONA

http://www.kaet.asu.edu/horizon/poll/2000/3-30-00.htm

May 24, 2000...George Bush 45%, Al Gore 31%

BUSH "PULLS AHEAD" OF GORE

September 20...Al Gore 46%, George Bush 36%

GORE LEADS BUSH IN ARIZONA

http://www.kaet.asu.edu/horizon/poll/2000/9-20-00.htm

Bush won Arizona by 5.5 percent

----------------------------------------------

OREGON

September 5, 2000...Gore 42%, Bush 41%

September 20, 2000....Gore 45%, Bush 39%

September 20, 2000....Bush 45%, Gore 36%

October 21...Bush 43%, Gore 38%

Gore won by .4 percent

-------------------------------------------
PENNSYLVANIA

October 4...Bush 43%, Gore 41%

October 9...Gore 42%, Bush 36%

October 18...Bush 43%, Gore 42%

Gore won by 4 percent

---------------------------------------------
WISCONSIN

September 20, 2000...Gore 43%, Bush 38%

October 14, 2000...Bush 44%, 38%

Gore won by .18

-----------------------------------------------
WASHINGTON

September 12...Gore 45%, Bush 41%

September 21...Gore 44%, Bush 37%

October 12...Bush 47%, Gore 36%

Gore won by 6

--------------------------------------------
CALIFORNIA

September 20...Gore 50%, Bush 38%

October 10...Gore 45%, Bush 39%

October 14...Gore 44%, Bush 40%

Gore won by 12

Link for all without one...
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/Polls/polls-BATTLE.html

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