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Reply #18: The change in EV's [View All]

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Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion: Presidential (Through Nov 2009)

louis c

(1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore

Tue Oct-19-04 07:13 PM
Response to Original message

18. The change in EV's

favors Bush, so the same states add up to more votes than NH going Kerry.

Kerry has to carry all gore's states and either Florida or Ohio.

He can also tie if he carries all of the Gore states plus NH and Nevada, but a tie losses.

Pennsylvania, Ohio, and Florida. The winner needs two of three. Pennsylvania is getting to be safe Kerry. Ohio and Florida are tied (Rasmussen). I still think Ohio is a safer bet than Florida. If he takes Ohio and NH, and holds NM, he can lose either Iowa or Minnesota, but not both.

So, Hold all of Gore's and add Ohio and NH, that is the safest route. Florida would be just insurance.

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