Reply #7: In the upper 20's within a month. [View All]

I think there is now a sea change occuring. Lots of reasons for it.

Ever since his election, I've seen Bush as a convenient figure head for those who wanted to use the power of the Presidency. He was just smart enough, trainable enough, to get elected, and just dumb enough to be unable to defend himself when the real power brokers see the scheme falling apart and use him as a patsy.

Why now?

Iraq is obviously a quagmire, and an albatross around everyones neck. Even Cheney can't avoid being tripped by it.

Scandals too numerous to list here are no longer fading away. Republican culprits are being dragged reluctantly into courtrooms, being actually indicted, perhaps actually charged, perhaps even convicted.

The news media is beginning to actually LOOK INTO stories, rather than just regurgitating Administration handouts. Worse, the public is beginning to PAY ATTENTION.

For a long time things were held together by the actions of Karl Rove and his staff. But now that Rove himself is in hot water, that's no longer a strong factor.

The whole deal is threatening to unravel explosively, uncontrollably. And that makes the REAL powers nervous. So it's time for them to pull the plug.

For me, the first true sign of this was todays story of Bush secretly ordering the NSA to spy inside the US on US citizens. That's a story that Rove would NEVER have allowed to leak. But now, it points a steady finger straight at Bush. It aligns EVERYTHING against Bush. Secret acts. Domestic spying against the people. Abusing 9/11 powers. It generates the kind of noise that can cover a multitude of sins by others. Cheney ordered torture? That was against foreign terrorists. But BUSH illegally SPIED on YOU! This story has been held back for this exact moment.

Another recent sign. He's been taking reporters QUESTIONS. First time in years. Because, it was early discovered, when he adlibs, he shoots himself in the foot. Well, he'd better by some armored shoes.

Bush has already been pushed off the plank. He just doesn't know it. Yet.

"His" cabinet wants him in the headlines as the Fit hits the Shan. So everthing sticks to him, and not them. Republicans who want seats in Congress and the Senate NEED Bush out of the way. When they see the feeding frenzy start they'll dive right in. I see Bush being impeached by Spring, momentarily replaced by a "reluctant" Cheney, who will immediately have a poor, grandfatherly heart problem and have to step down, leaving the House Speaker in charge. (Unprecedented.) This will get Bush and all this administrations scandels out of the way for the 2006 election season, give the power shuffling Republicans no end of chances to speak with the press, and most likley leave the Democrats to wave election banners in the background of news clips, unless they do something spectacular.

But Bush? He's toast.

I would celebrate, but we're still in Iraq, still in debt up to our craniums, and still under Republican thumbs.

Who knows. I could very well be wrong?