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Reply #3: Write any scenario [View All]

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Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion: Presidential (Through Nov 2009) Donate to DU
Kurt_and_Hunter Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Feb-04-08 05:53 PM
Response to Reply #1
3. Write any scenario
We don't know what will happen, but we have an idea what won't happen.

Assume 60-40 popular vote for one or the other tomorrow, which would be CRUSHING, and the delegate difference will still be small... 100? 200?

Hard to see where either candidate goes on to pick up another 500 delegate margin in the second half of the country.

The role of Super Delegates can be diminished, depending on the delegate lead after the states vote, but since nobody is going to get a majority it will still be SDs that provide the margin.
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