Reply #29: some numbers: 2004 swing state vote differences and 2008 primary results [View All]

5% or less:
Wisconsin, Kerry, 0.38%
Iowa, Bush, 0.67%
New Mexico, Bush, 0.79%
New Hampshire, Kerry, 1.37%
Ohio, Bush, 2.11%
Pennsylvania, Kerry, 2.50%
Nevada, Bush, 2.59%
Michigan, Kerry, 3.42%
Minnesota, Kerry, 3.48%
Oregon, Kerry, 4.16%
Colorado, Bush, 4.67%

5%-10%:
Florida, Bush, 5.01%
New Jersey, Kerry, 6.68%
Washington, Kerry, 7.18%
Missouri, Bush, 7.20%
Delaware, Kerry, 7.60%
Virginia, Bush, 8.20%
Hawaii, Kerry, 8.75%
Maine, Kerry, 8.99%
Arkansas, Bush, 9.76%
California, Kerry, 9.95%

2008 Primary Results/remaining:

Wisc 2/19 open primary
Iowa 1/3 Obama (caucus)
NM 2/5 Clinton (closed primary)
NH 1/8 Clinton (primary, dems +indeps)
Ohio 3/4 open primary
PA 4/22 closed primary
Nev 1/19 Obama (caucus)
Mich 1/15 ??
Minn 2/15 Obama (caucus)
Oregon 5/20 closed primary
Colo 2/5 Obama (caucus)
FL 1/29 ??
NJ 2/5 Clinton (open primary)
WA 2/9 Obama (caucus)
Mo 2/5 Obama (open primary)
Virginia 2/12, open primary

I cobbled this from a few places, so sorry for any mistakes! I thought it was interesting to have the real swing state info in one place.