Reply #115: Nice attempt to spin, but the MOE was stated as 1.0%. Period. [View All]

Mitofsky can't have it both ways.

If the MOE was 1.0% for the National, then it was also under 2.0% (1.87%) for Florida, using the same simple formula based on sample size - and which applies to every poll I have ever seen. Pick up any text on statistical sampling theory. Furthermore, this was an EXIT poll. And exit polls are more accurate than pre-election polls, although the naysays claim otherwise.

And Mitofsky is being disingenuous as he tries to back away from his own numbers and camouflage the true results when he says that the deviations were due to "reluctant Republican responders" at the exit polls. That is pure BS which has been thoroughly debunked mathematically. Go to the Mystery Pollster site if you want the details.