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Reply #17: sample size [View All]

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liam_laddie Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Apr-12-05 11:27 AM
Response to Reply #13
17. sample size
Maybe I've got this wrong; I'm not a number-cruncher. The sample size nationwide was actually about 70,000; 0.057% of 122MM voters, about 3/5 of the "one percent sample" mentioned above. The "national" exit poll sample of 13,047 (two initial reports)
was derived from the 70,000, based on E/M's selection. Recall,
the NEP poll was conducted by TWO experienced research firms, in a joint venture. This would seem to result in an accurate selection procedure. Their experience would indicate that the 13k sample would accurately predict results within acceptable MOE. If election was corrupted, the results indicate that the thieves have cleverly determined just how much, and where, to alter the results to avoid detection. Or certainly make it difficult, what with their friends making DRE's and tabulators and wireless modems. FWIW, HTH.

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