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Reply #166: absentee is absentee plus early voters [View All]

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gercohen Donating Member (11 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Nov-13-04 12:11 PM
Response to Original message
166. absentee is absentee plus early voters
One of the problems with the absentee analysis is that the absentee/early vote are two different demographics. Absentee mail-ins are lumped in together with early voters on most of the state, but mail-ins are heavily Republican.
For instance, in Wake County NC the mail-ins went
Absentee Mail Kerry 4533 Bush 5676
while the early votes went Kerry 47,878 Bush 40,635
(Bush carried the county by 7500 votes)

was the analysis just early voters or all absentees? if they are lumped in together it makes it not as clean as it looks, because you are lumping in absent military and business travelers with an early voting base that was more Democratic
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