Reply #3: Ron Baiman - Univ. of IL - Exit Polls in Ohio [View All]

Refers to ESI report "No Smoking Gun" - and shows ESI data graphed that shows smoking gun in Ohio 2004.

49 Precincts - where exit polls conducted. Shows non random distribution of votes in Kerry and Bush precincts indicating vote shifting.

Looking at the data from the exit polls confirms 1 in 187 Billion.

Emails from Mitofsky - Baiman: ESI and UMich/Roper discrepancies. ICPSR was a subset of "the real data" - actual raw data with precinct vote tallies linked to exit poll vote tallies. Never released. ESI got more than anyone else, Baiman et all went.

Baiman asked that data be released.

Kerry exit poll results - actually reduced from margins of 6% and 9% percent Kerry over Bush in Ohio to 3% to conform to election results.

7% of precincts have discrepancy between number of overs and officially certified number of votes.

Ron's blog is http://www.baiman.blogspot.com/|Actinomics].

Cleremont County examined. The county that gave Jean Schmidt her last minute victory over Paul Hackett in SW Ohio's special Congressional election. County resisted but Bob Fitrakis pushed through and got him in. Random ballot examination - pull ballot and told it's a "duplicate ballot" for the original. Some times necessary due to defacement, very occasional. There was NO matching procedure to find original ballots. Ron not allowed to handle ballots so he had to duplicate them. Asked for duplicates review. Very few ballots available.

Ron showed how Precinct 35 in Cleremont, typical of many others, had 44 votes more than those who signed the ballot book/were verified as having voted. That's about 9% and it's typical of what he and Richard Hayes Phillips found.

Ron called for paper ballots, period, follow up on charges of election fraud, and hand counting of paper ballots.