Reply #3: Think about it. He's going after Arlen Specter's seat. He's going to be LIKE ARLEN, [View All]

only with a label that says "...BUT DIFFERENT."

I invite your attention to the Jim Webb-Macaca contest. Same deal--Jim Webb planted himself amongst the voters of Virginia as a guy who was LIKE a Republican (after all, he worked for REAGAN and used to BE one), only "different." Different in that he planned to caucus with the Dems, because the GOP had gone batshit-racist-crazy. He was also "different" in that he wasn't stupid like Macaca, but that's a story for another day!

It's rarely a SCREAMING liberal who replaces a slight-right-but-often-centrist moderate, which is what Arlen is. It's usually someone who stands just a notch over on the issues who is even competitive--and that's where Sestak is trying to position himself.

When people say they want change, the truth is, they want INCREMENTAL change. Not scary change. At least that's what the election process demonstrates, more times than not. There's always an exception to prove the rule.

All that said, I think Sestak has a very tough row to hoe. Unless something dramatic happens, like say, Arlen getting sick and dropping out, I think it will be a miracle if Sestak wins that seat. I do know he wants it--and that letter you got from him shows how carefully he is calibrating his positions to win it.

To preempt anyone who suggests I don't like the guy (because I am theorizing that he will have a hard time winning PA SENATE), all I have to say is just hush. I've met him, he's a fine fellah with a good mind. I just think he has an uphill battle, made worse because he doesn't have the backing of the party.