Reply #6: Larry Johnson was also skeptical of terrorist threats, in July 2001 [View All]

His analysis has been right on many issues/events, and he missed by a mile on on the mother of all terrorist attacks.

http://afghanlaw.de/The%20Declining%20Terrorist%20Threat.htm

New York Times
July 10, 2001

The Declining Terrorist Threat

By LARRY C. JOHNSON

WASHINGTON -- Judging from news reports and the portrayal of villains in our popular entertainment, Americans are bedeviled by fantasies about terrorism. They seem to believe that terrorism is the greatest threat to the United States and that it is becoming more widespread and lethal. They are likely to think that the United States is the most popular target of terrorists. And they almost certainly have the impression that extremist Islamic groups cause most terrorism.

None of these beliefs are based in fact. While many crimes are committed against Americans abroad (as at home), politically inspired terrorism, as opposed to more ordinary criminality motivated by simple greed, is not as common as most people may think.