Reply #14: I think NW Florida Panhandle is the curret forecast target: [View All]

I know we all worry about N.O. (even though coastal Mississippi was far more devastated (and far more people lost their homes and died than N.O.) from Katrina (ie, Waveland, Bay St Louis, Pass Christian, Long Beach, Gulfport, Biloxi, Pascagoula) - anyway, right now the track is very similar to Ivan from Sept. '04:



See the Florida panhandle right above the estimated eye position? That's 3 states away from Louisiana (Florida, Alabama, Mississippi, the Louisiana moving from East-West).

Also the NHC 5 day cone puts it right under the Florida-Alabama line next Thursday (same as the Ivan track):

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT05/refresh/AL0506W5+gif/204939W_sm.gif

Naturally, just because we (Pensacola) are in the crosshairs of the cone doesn't mean it could well hit either far off the East or West of us. And of course this track WILL change as the storm enters the Gulf. But for now, this is very much like Ivan.