Reply #17: Dissenting view: this is a bluff, a military attack won't work [View All]

The Pentagon wargamed this many times, and by the summer of 2004 came to the conclusion that any scenario following a preemptive US and/or Israeli strike on Iran resulted in quick escalation into a generalized regional war involving chemical, biological and nuclear weapons. Such a war would have a devastating economic and political impact on the US and its relationship with allies.

In the end, after millions of casualties on all sides, the Iranians would go back and redouble their efforts to develop the bomb, and likely use it on us.

Lose-lose. Ain't going to happen. This is largely a domestic political ploy by BushCo and another effort to destabilize Iran for a while we disengage from Iraq.