CO-Gov: Hickenlooper Leads McInnis by 11 Points [View All]

Public Policy Polling (pdf) (3/5-8, likely voters, no trend lines):

John Hickenlooper (D): 50
Scott McInnis (R): 39
Undecided: 11
(MoE: ±4.1%)

Well, these numbers are a little different from Rasmussen's, aren't they? PPP's first look at the Colorado governor's race since the tradeoff from retiring Democratic incumbent Bill Ritter (currently saddled with a 38/50 approval) to Denver mayor John Hickenlooper (51/27 favorable) finds that the upgrade looks poised to pay dividends. Hickenlooper has an 11-point lead on Republican ex-Rep. Scott McInnis, whose favorables are 28/27.

PPP's sample composition is 39 D/36 R/24 I, which is a little optimistic compared with the actual registration numbers of 34 D/35 R/31 unaffiliated (or 33 D/33 R/34 UAF if including inactive registrations). Still, the same sample broke 49/49 for Obama and McCain, so it's still not as Dem-favorable a sample as the actual voters who showed up in 2008.

http://www.swingstateproject.com/diary/6549/cosen-hickenlooper-leads-mcinnis-by-11-points