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Edited on Sun Nov-21-04 09:19 AM by theHandpuppet
... is precisely what has happened throughout the history of countries and governments -- civil war. Freedom and democracy can only succeed where there exists the will of the people to sustain it, and that journey must be an internal one. It cannot be imposed upon a people, it must be embraced and championed by them and FOR them. This holds true whether you're talking about Russia or France, America or Iraq.
I fear that civil war is inevitable in Iraq. Saddam, much like Tito in old Yugoslavia, merely postponed that inevitability by sheer force, keeping opposing religious factions subdued only via brutal dictatorship. Those warring factions still exist, however, and the animosities have simmered for generations beyond measure. They will not disappear simply because we have marched into their streets and imposed a template of false democracy on a society still reeling from the shock of "freedom", or at least our brand of it, which consisted solely of deposing Saddam.
"Democracy", unlike Saddam, exists as an abstract ideal, a concept which to many Iraqis now (and who can blame them) seem like an ironical farce compared to reality of Saddam. They no longer have Saddam's secret police to fear, but our tanks in their streets, our helicopter gunships over their homes, our bombers over their skies. American-style "democracy" has brought them a Vichy government perfectly willing to slaughter entire cities of its own citizens, children who have less to eat now than they did under sanctioning, and a re-emergence of old sectarian rivalaries as each jostles in a power grab to fill the vaccuum. Little wonder Sistani responded with such resounding silence at the slaughter of Sunnis in Fallujah.
For all of these reasons and more we will never succeed in Iraq by military might alone. We thumbed our noses at the U.N. and even the voices of reason among old allies, those very parties the Iraqis will truly need to mediate between rival factions within the country. I fear it is now too late for that, so whether we stay or leave tomorrow we have not prepared the ground for what will follow, January elections aside. Who will now clean up the mess we have made, the humantiarian crises we have created, the future generations of terrorists we have fostered?
As we so painfully learned during our own wars of revolution and civil war, the birth of a nation can be a monstrous and painful experience, but it must be an indigenous one just as it has been here or in so many other nations throught the world. Perhaps it is also part of a national evolution that must be experienced before it can truly be tested. At some point the compassionate observer will want to either turn away or abort that process by intervention, but do we have that right? If we do, then at what point does intervention and mediation become a necessity, even a moral duty? We could look to Israel and Palestine as examples, and the failures there are not encouraging.
I truly don't have any answers nor would I presume to suggest any -- I have only questions and an increasing dread. We can only hope there are men and women of great wisdom out there who can help us to find our way. Unfortunately, the re-selection of George Bush has not given me any hope that the American people are the least bit interested in wisdom -- and I'm sure that message has been received loud and clear in the Middle East and around the world.
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