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Rossi Wins Recount (WA Governor race); Lead Drops To 42 Votes

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kurtyboy Donating Member (968 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-24-04 04:23 PM
Original message
Rossi Wins Recount (WA Governor race); Lead Drops To 42 Votes
Edited on Wed Nov-24-04 05:12 PM by kurtyboy
http://www.komotv.com/stories/34102.htm


There will be at least a partial hand recount, according to the State Democratic Chair, Paul Berendt

On Edit--this is not yet confirmed as official. Kitsap County is still haggling over ONE vote--the canvassing board will make a decision soon. Secretary of State Sam Reid has called a press conference for 3 PM Pacific Time--It'll be close to official by then.

(The SecState officially certifies on Dec 2, I believe)

2nd Edit: The State Website is now listing Kitsap's count--here's what will get certified:

Christine Gregoire Democrat 1,372,442 votes 48.8702% +1289
Dino Rossi Republican 1,372,484 votes 48.8717% +1070
Ruth Bennett Libertarian 63,416 votes 2.2581% +70
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BamaLefty Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-24-04 04:28 PM
Response to Original message
1. The Dem is Down?
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kurtyboy Donating Member (968 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-24-04 04:54 PM
Response to Reply #1
8. Down, yes, but far from out.
Gregoire's campaign began positioning for a hand recount as soon as the manual recount was ordered by the Secretary of State.

If she requests a partial recount (even down to the precinct level), she must provide a deposit of 25 cents per vote. BUT, if the partial she requests actually reverses the outcome (she picks up 42+ votes), then a recount is ordered for the entire state, at state expense. She gets her money back, and we have something to taalk about besides football on New Year's Day.

I think she can pick up 40-50 votes in almost any county with a vote total of 70,000 or more, but she might well pick up as many in one of the dinky counties---like say Adams, which had a huge error rate between the counts (nearly 1%!).

It will be interesting to see which areas she picks for recount....
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WI_DEM Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-24-04 04:28 PM
Response to Original message
2. good grief, 42 votes out of how many total cast?
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kurtyboy Donating Member (968 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-24-04 04:55 PM
Response to Reply #2
9. Out of nearly 2.9 million votes
A difference of about 0.0015%
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spotbird Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-24-04 04:28 PM
Response to Original message
3. Bush v. Gore requires a state-wide recount.
Supposedly necessary on equal protection grounds.

Please don't let the Democrats request less than that.
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bobbieinok Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-24-04 05:01 PM
Response to Reply #3
10. SCOTUS said Bush vs Gore CAN NOT BE USED AS PRECEDENT
one of the major proofs that this was an unconstitutional, illegal decision
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spotbird Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-24-04 05:26 PM
Response to Reply #10
19. So in the alternative they overrule themselves less than four
years later? That isn't going to happen.
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SeattleDem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-24-04 04:29 PM
Response to Original message
4. dupe, although the title here is better!
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DoYouEverWonder Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-24-04 04:30 PM
Response to Original message
5. This should get interesting
Here's the tally from this morning that was posted in the Seattle Times:



Almost every county has had to adjust their totals. This should not happen in any county, no less almost all of them that are using electronic voting systems. We were told that these systems were totally reliable. That they were certified and tested and that they worked better than anything we've used before. Obviously that is not true.

It is time for a HAND RECOUNT in WA and every place else in the country that used these systems. Anything less is unacceptable.

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kurtyboy Donating Member (968 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-24-04 04:45 PM
Response to Reply #5
6. I think you are right about NEEDING a recount
In Adams County, one out of every 124 votes was ignored on the first machine count. In Walla Walla County, one out of every 224, and in Skagit (my county), one out of every 310. Statewide (w/o Kitsap's report yet) the number was one out of every 1025. This kind of error rate would have turned the Presidential in Iowa and New Mexico, and probably Ohio.

Damned straight we need to recount--lets get with it.
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kurtyboy Donating Member (968 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-24-04 05:27 PM
Response to Reply #6
20. Here's the whole table on differences between counts
I'm calling the differences an "error rate" although that is not perfectly accurate. I took the absolute value of vote changes in each county to get these percentages--if a county added 5 for one candidate and took 5 from another, that's an absolute error total of ten-- In any event, some of these numbers are pretty astonishing.

County Error-Rate One-error-per:
Adams 0.805% 124
Asotin 0.023% 4311
Benton 0.006% 16460
Chelan 0.014% 7259
Clallam 0.006% 17989
Clark 0.006% 16282
Columbia 0.048% 2078
Cowlitz 0.169% 591
Douglas 0.053% 1892
Ferry 0.152% 659
Franklin 0.019% 5271
Garfield 0.155% 647
Grant 0.275% 363
Grays Harbor 0.040% 2522
Island 0.013% 7540
Jefferson 0.033% 3066
King 0.111% 902
Kitsap 0.035% 2852
Kittitas 0.294% 340
Klickitat 0.011% 8951
Lewis 0.019% 5307
Lincoln 0.018% 5636
Mason 0.016% 6244
Okanogan 0.012% 8008
Pacific 0.010% 10235
Pend Oreille 0.131% 764
Pierce 0.166% 603
San Juan 0.020% 4927
Skagit 0.323% 310
Skamania 0.000% XXXXXXXX
Snohomish 0.093% 1076
Spokane 0.130% 766
Stevens 0.000% XXXXXXXX
Thurston 0.005% 18490
Wahkiakum 0.046% 2154
Walla Walla 0.446% 224
Whatcom 0.003% 29404
Whitman 0.080% 1253
Yakima 0.000% XXXXXXXX
Totals 0.095% 1053

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oldtime dfl_er Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-24-04 05:11 PM
Response to Reply #5
11. King County?
I think King County is still counting -- it can't be right that there's no change at all in the largest county in the state??
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DoYouEverWonder Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-24-04 05:13 PM
Response to Reply #11
12. The ones with dashes
were the ones that hadn't finished their recounts yet. Unfortunately, the chart is misleading in that respect.

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SeattleDem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-24-04 05:21 PM
Response to Reply #5
15. only Yakima used electronic voting machines
other places used optical scanners, but Diebold-type concerns aren't much of an issue out here. Of course, it also explains why Yakima has no changes in the recount - there is nothing to recount!
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DoYouEverWonder Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-24-04 05:42 PM
Response to Reply #15
23. I consider optical scanners and touch screens
to be electronic voting systems. Both systems are easily hackable and problems are cropping up everywhere.

The most telling will be the optical scanner, if and when they ever actually do a hand count. At least with scanners there still is a paper ballot. However, the Repugs will jump through ever hoop in the book to prevent that from happening.



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kurtyboy Donating Member (968 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-24-04 05:45 PM
Response to Reply #23
24. Has anyone figure out how to do a hand recount on touchscreen?
I mean, if the Hand count becomes mandatory statewide (very possible), how will Yakima County do it? Seems like a violation of state law not to have an avenue to do such counts.

Will this head to the courts as well? Or does Yakima Co provide paper receipts (as if those are any easier to trust...)?
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DoYouEverWonder Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-24-04 05:47 PM
Response to Reply #24
26. There's the catch
that will could set of the constitutional crisis we are heading toward. You can't hand count a touch screen.
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govegan Donating Member (661 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-24-04 06:08 PM
Response to Reply #15
28. Snohomish also uses the touchscreen systems
They had a change because they "found" a box of uncounted absentee ballots somewhere.
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SeattleDem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-24-04 06:18 PM
Response to Reply #28
29. sorry, I forgot. But I think only parts of the county use DRE
http://www.secstate.wa.gov/elections/votingsystems.aspx

here's the list of what counties use what systems
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progressivebydesign Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-24-04 04:50 PM
Response to Original message
7. The repubs are trying to stop the recount...
.. they just can't win fair and square, really. I find it very interesting that Washington went well for Kerry, but you actually had Democrats supposedly voting for Rossi?? Rossi? The guy with that creepy, plastic, DeLay hairdo, and his anti-evolution - creepy rightwing Christian thing? Rossi? Who is a scummy developer with scummy ties? That guy?? Democrats supposedly voted for him?? We won't fucking recognize our STate when he gets thru with it.
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a new day Donating Member (333 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-24-04 05:25 PM
Response to Reply #7
18. It's because Gregoire was a least worst Democrat
Edited on Wed Nov-24-04 05:26 PM by a new day
In King County, the largest on in the state where Seattle is, Patty Murray got 65% of the vote. Gregoire got 58%, that's represents losing a lot of Democrats to third party candidates.
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kurtyboy Donating Member (968 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-24-04 05:35 PM
Response to Reply #18
22. Actually, It also means a lot of GOPers crossed over to Murray
Nethercutt was just unacceptable to our moderate Republicans. Geez, I wish there were a few like them in Ohio and Florida....
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a new day Donating Member (333 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-24-04 05:55 PM
Response to Reply #22
27. We're both wrong, it represents Dems voting for Rossi
Edited on Wed Nov-24-04 06:15 PM by a new day
Third party totals for both Murray and Gregoire were 19,000, rounded to nearest 000.

Kerry's margin in King County was the same as Murray, 65%.

But, my point is still valid, it was voters who were inclined to vote for Democrats, but didn't.

Another factor, the Federal offices recieved 888,000 votes in King, but the race for Guv received only 874,000. Just getting 58% of those that were so disgusted with their choice that they didn't vote at all would easily swing this race.

Run candidates that people want to vote for, least worst is the worst strategy.
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sonias Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-24-04 05:15 PM
Response to Original message
13. Count the votes
Or recount them by partial hand count in this case. Never give up a race when you know the votes are out there to win. Nothing is going to happen with the state government if the race is not decided till Dec. Big deal. You either have the current governor hold over or have the next in line temporarily take over until it's decided.

Hand in there Christine Gregoire. Keep the faith.

Sonia
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high density Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-24-04 05:17 PM
Response to Original message
14. So is it possible to do a hand recount of 2.8 million votes?
:)
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Hard Attack Donating Member (264 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-24-04 05:24 PM
Response to Original message
16. George Carlon - Comedian Not Funny Anymore
George CArlon was on TV a week before the elections pimping his latest book and explaining why he doesn't vote, and why peoples votes don't count.

I wonder how many people in Washington Followed his lead?

George Carlon == You're Not Funny Anymore.

Funny how is website has no 'contact George' link.

http://www.georgecarlin.com/home/home.html

The Guys a Jerk Off in on My November Calender.
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NurseLefty Donating Member (489 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-24-04 05:27 PM
Response to Reply #16
21. Obligatory spell check: It's "Carlin"
:-)
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NurseLefty Donating Member (489 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-24-04 05:24 PM
Response to Original message
17. I hope Gregoire gets a hand recount
It's one thing about Bush's reelection and republican domination in DC, but holy shite, Rossi winning in my Washington?! He is a bible-thumper, with a shady past no less!
He is going to wreak havoc here.
(One little tidbit: In a situation I cannot mention, I was within earshot of a conversation of our republican AG-elect. He said that if he and Rossi won, there would be would be a major push for tort reform.)
This makes me want to :puke: !!!
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Johnyawl Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-24-04 05:47 PM
Response to Reply #17
25. the Democrats control both state houses...

...so any tort reform is going to have to be cleared by the Dems.
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schultzee Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-24-04 09:29 PM
Response to Original message
30. I hope she wins!
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