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ozymandius Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-29-05 06:30 AM
Original message
STOCK MARKET WATCH, Tuesday 29 March
Tuesday March 29, 2005

COUNTING THE DAYS
DAYS REMAINING IN THE * REGIME 3 YEARS, 297 DAYS
DAYS SINCE DEMOCRACY DIED (12/12/00) 4 YEARS, 106 DAYS
WHERE'S OSAMA BIN-LADEN? 3 YEARS, 162 DAYS
DAYS SINCE ENRON COLLAPSE = 1220
Number of Enron Execs in handcuffs = 19
ENRON EXECS CONVICTED = 2
Other Arrests of Execs = 54


U.S. FUTURES & MARKETS INDICATORS
NASDAQ FUTURES-----------------------------S&P FUTURES




AT THE CLOSING BELL ON March 28, 2005

Dow... 10,485.65 +42.78 (+0.41%)
Nasdaq... 1,992.52 +1.46 (+0.07%)
S&P 500... 1,174.28 +2.86 (+0.24%)
10-Yr Bond... 4.62% +0.03 (+0.72%)
Gold future... 426.00 +1.20 (+0.28%)





GOLD, EURO, YEN, Dollars and Loonie




PIEHOLE ALERT

Heads Up!
Preliminary info on appearances by Bush & Co. throughout the country. Details & links are added as they become available so check back. And if you know more, are organizing something, or would like to, contact actionpost@legitgov.org

For information on protests and other actions Citizens For Legitimate Government





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ozymandius Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-29-05 06:37 AM
Response to Original message
1. Good morning all. Here's an alternate cartoon. Really spot-on.
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NMDemDist2 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-29-05 06:39 AM
Response to Original message
2. thanks for picking up Bensen's cartoon, I thought it was spot on n/t
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ozymandius Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-29-05 06:43 AM
Response to Reply #2
4. Thanks!
DeLay is an easy target these days. Benson skewers him well.
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ozymandius Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-29-05 06:41 AM
Response to Original message
3. WrapUp by Jim Puplava - The Confidence Game
Alright, now that the Fed has gotten everyone’s attention what happens next? Will the Fed begin raising interest rates aggressively abandoning its slow and easy approach to raising interest rates, or is this blustering on part of the Fed? The markets have been caught off guard and are now reacting to what was obvious all along. Inflation is on the rise and it should not surprise anyone, but it did. Certainly higher energy prices are a factor. Energy prices impact everything from the cost of factory output and the price of consumer goods, to the cost of food. Rising energy is only one factor. The costs of most raw materials have been rising for over three years. Since hitting a nadir in October of 2001 the CRB index went from 184 in October 2001 to 322 in March of this year. That represents a 75% increase in just three years.

-cut-

The Fed’s problem is that it has created myriad asset bubbles that are making it difficult for it to deflate, especially now given the huge debt burdens that keep building in the US economy. When asset values are appreciating faster than debt service costs as a result of declining real interest, not only are risk premia reduced but the incentive to borrow is magnified.

As long as real interest rates are kept below the rate of asset inflation, the debt pyramid will continue to grow. The only thing that could bring this to an abrupt halt would be a rise in real interest rates which now appears unlikely. As Stephen Roach has recently written, with inflation running at an annual rate of 3%, a neutral rate would be somewhere in the neighborhood of 5.75%. That is not going to happen. A federal funds rate of 5.75% would bring this debt-laden economy to its knees. It would end the “carry trade,” unwind the bond market bubble, send stock prices crashing, and puncture the real estate bubble.

-cut-

So where are we now? We are, in my opinion, in uncharted territory. Where we are heading is going to be a tough call to make precisely. My best guess is that it is stagflation that eventually turns into hyperinflation by the end of this decade. One reason I believe this is the “Law of exponential inflation.” It is a law of geometric progression. Every inflation must compound itself at a geometrically increasing rate in order to have the same beneficial effect as in the beginning. Once it begins it must get progressively worse. This can take place as long as paper wealth maintains its credibility. So far, monetary inflation has been reflected in rising paper wealth, rising stock prices and bond prices, and more recently, rising real estate prices. As long as this illusion persists with the people, all is well for the inflationist. As long as paper wealth continues to rise in value most individuals will see this as a bull market and not by its real identity, inflation. If confidence is maintained, then an exodus out of paper wealth can be forestalled temporarily. For if money wealth is repudiated then the supply of real values drops by the fall in paper wealth giving way to a rise in prices in real values. To some extent this is what has happened to real estate.

more...

http://www.financialsense.com/Market/wrapup.htm
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scarletlib Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-29-05 07:06 AM
Response to Original message
5. Just a morning hello to you and to say thank you for the
fine job you do with this everyday. I look for this post everyday.
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UpInArms Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-29-05 07:31 AM
Response to Original message
6. daily dollar watch
http://quotes.ino.com/chart/?s=NYBOT_DXY0

Last trade 84.33 Change -0.29 (-0.34%)

Dollar Drops as Technical Indicator Signals Gains Are Excessive

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=10000101&sid=aXD3cpCT7cRo&refer=japan

March 29 (Bloomberg) -- The dollar dropped against the euro in Asia after it last week had the biggest rally in 11, prompting some traders to bet the gain was excessive.

The currency fell the most in almost two weeks against the euro. It also erased a gain to a five-month high versus the yen as a technical indicator used to predict price swings pointed to weakness. The dollar is heading for its best quarter in more than three years versus the euro and yen on speculation U.S. growth is speeding up as the German and Japan economies struggle to expand.

``I wouldn't be a buyer of dollars at these levels,'' said Robert Rennie, a currency strategist in Sydney at Westpac Banking Corp. ``It's been a breathtaking move, and for the dollar to continue it's trend we're going to need continued better-than- expected U.S. economic data. There's a risk of getting ahead of ourselves.''

<snip>

The dollar is being buoyed by speculation that more investors see the Federal Reserve raising rates at all its meetings in 2005.

...more...


Majors Manage to Halt Dollar’s Advance

http://www.dailyfx.com/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=484&Itemid=39

EUR/USD - Euro managed to hold off the dollar advance as the price action paused around the 1.2900 figure with greenback bulls taking a break after a major move. Euro defenses remained intact with minor support remaining at 1.2890, created by the 78.6 Fib of the 1.2730-1.3482 euro rally. Euro maintained further defensive positions at 1.2850, an intermediate support formed by the Feb 10 -14 consolidation range low.

Major support at 1.2816, formed by the breakout of the Feb 7-10 consolidation, establishes the last line of defense for the euro before the dollar retests the 1.2730 level. A breakdown of the major support at 1.2730 may see the pair retest 1.2490, a 61.8 fib of the1.1760-1.3667 euro rally. Dollar bulls kept a tight lid on their defenses in case of the counter move by the euro. Euro bulls will encounter a minor resistance at 1.2923, a Feb 24-25 consolidation low, with further resistance seen at 1.3016, an intermediate resistance established by the 61.8 Fib of the Feb-Mar euro rally. If the single currency manages to push deeper into the dollar held territory, a major resistance at 1.3105, a 50.0 Fib of the 1.2730-1.3482 euro rally, will stand in the way of the advance. Oscillators are mixed with Stochastic oversold at 13.75 on the daily chart and is treading above the oversold level at 33.33 on the dealer (4HR) chart. RSI at 30.66 is moving closer to an oversold level on the daily and crossed above the oversold line at 33.09 on the 4-hour chart. MACD is crossing the zero line on the daily and is sloping toward the zero line on the dealer (4HR) chart.

<snip>

USD/JPY - Yen longs managed to halt the advancing dollar by putting up a minor resistance at 107.29, Nov 11 counter trend spike high, with intermediate resistance established at 107.58, a Jun 12 spike low. Major resistance remains intact at 108.38, a 50.0 Fib of the 114.51-101-68 yen rally. Dollar bulls established new lines of defense to protect captured territory with minor support seen at 106.58, Mar 24-25 consolidation high. Intermediate support at 106.34, a 5-day SMA, provides a further line of defense, with a major support at 105.63, a key 23.6 Fib of the 101.68-106.87 dollar rally, currently defending greenback's holdings. Indicators are signaling overbought conditions with Stochastic on the daily chart at 85.89 and continues to tread above the overbought level at 84.19 on the dealer (4HR) chart. RSI crossed into the overbought line on the daily at 72.93 and is dipping below the overbought line at 69.95 on the 4-hour chart. MACD continues to rise above the zero line on the daily chart and followed through with a bearish crossover above the zero line on the dealer (4HR) chart.

...more...


Awesome 'toon, Ozy! :thumbsup:

Nailed DeLay right where he exists :D

Have a Great Day Marketeers!
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UpInArms Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-29-05 07:48 AM
Response to Reply #6
13. Dollar up vs. yen, slips vs. euro
http://cbs.marketwatch.com/news/story.asp?guid=%7BFDE0EFC5%2D7F1D%2D4F9F%2D9139%2DF28152AED9DC%7D&siteid=mktw

LONDON (MarketWatch) -- The dollar rally against European currencies stalled on Tuesday as the British pound in particular gained after a U.K. bank said it sees an interest rate hike as soon as next week in Britain.

Still currency analysts largely expect the dollar to regain its strength against its major rivals if U.S. data lends support.

Markets will get an update on U.S. consumer confidence later in the day. The March Conference Board number is expected to decline to 103, following a decline in February amid rising energy prices, among other concerns. Dealers are positioning for the key March U.S. jobs report on Friday as well.

"Into the new month, the dollar uptrend should re-emerge with all the major currencies feeling the pressure, if the March non-farm payrolls report on Friday shows consolidation of U.S. economic strength," said Matthew Foster-Smith, currency analyst at Thomson IFR in London.

...more...
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UpInArms Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-29-05 08:51 AM
Response to Reply #6
21. Dollar weaker ahead of Consumer Confidence report
http://cbs.marketwatch.com/news/newsfinder/pulseone.asp?dateid=38440.3638883681-833639373&siteID=mktw&scid=0&doctype=806&

NEW YORK (MarketWatch) - The dollar softened ahead of the March Consumer Confidence report. The average forecast of economists polled by MarketWatch is for a March reading of 103, down from 104 in February. The euro was up 0.3 percent at $1.2915, while the dollar fell 0.05 percent to 107.31 yen. On Monday the dollar struck a five-month high against the yen and a seven-week high against the euro amid speculation the Federal Reserve could begin a program of bolder interest-rate hikes.
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spotbird Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-29-05 10:11 AM
Response to Reply #21
35. Gallup economic conditions poll
CNN/USA Today/Gallup Poll. March 21-23, 2005. N=1,001 adults nationwide. MoE ± 3.

"How would you rate economic conditions in this country today -- as excellent, good, only fair, or poor?"


Excellent Good OnlyFair Poor Unsure
3/21-23/05 2% 30% 43% 24% 1%

3/7-3/11 3% 32% 48% 16% 1%

http://pollingreport.com/consumer2.htm

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UpInArms Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-29-05 10:14 AM
Response to Reply #35
36. those people are just a "focus group"
and soon they will jump on the piratization plans - that's when you should see how happy they become /sarcasm
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UpInArms Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-29-05 07:40 AM
Response to Original message
7. Does Overseas Appetite for Bonds Put the U.S. Economy at Risk?
http://online.wsj.com/public/article/0,,SB111202112287190860,00.html?mod=todays_free_feature

Much has been said in recent months about the growing U.S. budget, but less has been said about how the U.S. is managing the deficit, keeping the government functioning by selling Treasury bonds -- lots of them. But will these IOUs keep things running smoothly?

In an appearance before the Council on Foreign Relations earlier this month, Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan warned that the federal budget shortfall is "a significant obstacle to long-term stability." Foreign central banks' readiness to buy up U.S. bonds, he said, is keeping interest rates artificially low, masking the dangerous market potentials and making it easy to ignore the deficit. And all this foreign buying adds to the current-account deficit, the shortfall on all trade and investment income between the U.S. and the rest of the world.

<snip>

On the current-account side, since 2002, about two-thirds of the U.S. current-account deficit (almost 6% of GDP in 2004) has been financed by foreign central banks. And because the current account deterioration since 2001 has been driven by the emergence of the fiscal deficit (the "twin" fiscal and current account deficits), from 2001 on foreign investors haven't been buying our stocks and capital stock (net foreign direct investment and equity portfolio flows were negative to the yearly tune of almost $200 billion in 2003 and 2004). Foreign financing of the U.S. current account is mostly from foreign central banks and directed to the purchases of U.S. Treasury issues.

By now 53% of U.S. Treasurys are held by non-residents, with 29% of them officially held by foreign central banks (unofficially, a much larger fraction). Worse, the public debt management of the U.S. has been reckless with the attempt to reduce the short-run cost of borrowing achieved by reducing the average maturity of Treasurys to 55 months and the marginal maturity to 33 months.

Since financing needs of the U.S. government (between issuance of net new debt due to the ongoing fiscal deficit and refinancing of the existing maturing debt) will be close to $800 billion in 2005 and above $1 trillion in 2006-2008, there is now a meaningful rollover or refinancing risk for the U.S., given this risky financing structure and the fact that most of the purchases of U.S. Treasurys is done by non-residents, especially central banks whose appetite for additional accumulation of U.S. dollar assets will shrink over time.

...more...
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UpInArms Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-29-05 07:40 AM
Response to Original message
8. AIG: Greenberg retires; Zarb named chairman
http://www.marketwatch.com/news/newsfinder/pulseone.asp?siteid=mktw&guid={345AD970-A6B6-4AF5-8E7F-E3681F87A32B}&dist=bnb

SAN FRANCISCO (MarketWatch) -- Insurer AIG (AIG) announced Monday evening that Hank Greenberg will formally retire as non-executive chairman on Wednesday or Thursday and director Frank G. Zarb will become chairman. The retirement comes as AIG's board was considering removing Greenberg, the insurance industry's most powerful figure for decades. AIG's board ousted Greenberg as chief executive earlier this month, but also installed him as non-executive chairman.
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UpInArms Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-29-05 07:57 AM
Response to Reply #8
15. Buffett is called in AIG probe -- report
http://cbs.marketwatch.com/news/story.asp?guid=%7BA82AEE84%2DD0A8%2D4FEE%2DADE1%2DED96AB936939%7D&siteid=mktw

NEW YORK (MarketWatch) -- Warren Buffett, the famed investor and chairman of Berkshire Hathaway Inc., reportedly has been called to answer investigators' questions in connection with their probe of a questionable transaction with American International Group Inc.

The Wall Street Journal, citing unnamed sources familiar with the matter, reported Tuesday that Buffett will be asked some time in April about any involvement he might have had in a controversial insurance deal between a unit of Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A: news, chart, profile) and AIG (AIG: news, chart, profile) .

AIG's board earlier this month accepted the resignation its longtime chairman, Maurice "Hank" Greenberg, after investigators raised questions about the transaction, in which AIG's accounting for a reinsurance deal may have improperly inflated its revenue. On Monday, Greenberg shed the last post he had retained, stepping down as chairman.

Investigators now believe that some 50 AIG transactions could have resulted in improper accounting on its financial statements totaling $1.5 billion, the Journal reported. See the Journal story.

The deal in 2000 between AIG and Berkshire's General Re unit caught regulators' attention earlier this year partly because it was initiated by Greenberg personally.

...more...
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UpInArms Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-29-05 01:24 PM
Response to Reply #15
62. Buffett wasn't briefed on structure of Gen Re, AIG deal
http://cbs.marketwatch.com/news/newsfinder/pulseone.asp?dateid=38440.554851088-833647617&siteID=mktw&scid=0&doctype=806&

SAN FRANCISCO (MarketWatch) -- Warren Buffett, the billionaire chairman of Berkshire Hathaway (BRKA) , said in a statement Tuesday that he wasn't briefed on the structure of a reinsurance transaction between Berkshire subsidiary General Re and American International Group (AIG) in late 2000 and early 2001. The statement, published on the Berkshire's Web site, refuted a Wall Street Journal story published Tuesday that said Buffett was involved in early discussions about the transaction. The deal is at the center of investigations by regulators including New York Attorney General Eliot Spitzer into whether so-called finite risk reinsurance has been used to manipulate companies financial statements. Buffett has agreed to be interview by the authorities investigating the transaction, Berkshire (BRKB) said.
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UpInArms Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-29-05 07:41 AM
Response to Original message
9. Kemet to cut 275 jobs
http://www.tuscaloosanews.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20050328/APN/503281018&cachetime=3&template=dateline

Kemet Electronics will cut nearly 275 jobs at two Greenville manufacturing facilities, company officials said Monday.

Many of the layoffs are effective immediately, and the rest will come on a case-by-case basis, Kemet spokesman John Warner said.

The facilities are in Fountain Inn and Simpsonville. Most of the 235 production workers laid off are from the Simpsonville plant. The rest of the job cuts will come from other operations, including headquarters and research, officials said.

...more...
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UpInArms Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-29-05 07:45 AM
Response to Reply #9
12. Delta Air affirms technical-job cut, sees $240M savings (6-7,000 jobs)
http://cbs.marketwatch.com/news/newsfinder/pulseone.asp?siteid=mktw&guid=%7B61543A13-2C0A-498F-A5B1-7F20F0749837%7D&

NEW YORK (MarketWatch) -- Delta Air Lines, (DAL) the Atlanta carrier, affirmed that it plans to cut 6,000 to 7,000 positions, including 1,600 to 2,000 in technical operations. In a Securities and Exchange Commission Form 8-K, the airline said it expects to save $240 million over five years through a number of steps. These include, among other things, contracting with Avborne of Miami and with Air Canada Technical Services in Vancouver for heavy-maintenance work; shifting some operations to Atlanta from Tampa, Fla., to fill capacity created by the move of technical operations to the two companies; and keeping in-house the maintenance of certain engines. Delta shares fell 9 cents, or 2.2 percent, to $3.98 on Monday.
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UpInArms Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-29-05 08:00 AM
Response to Reply #12
16. Delta to cut tech staff by 1,600 to 2,000
http://cbs.marketwatch.com/news/story.asp?guid=%7BBD80C352%2D1BC2%2D459B%2D8C6D%2DA7EC5BA56FE3%7D&siteid=mktw

NEW YORK (MarketWatch) -- Delta Air Lines outlined plans to reduce its technical operations staff by from 1,600 to 2,000 employees on Tuesday.

<snip>

It will also shift package service visits and letter checks operations to Atlanta from Tampa, Fla., and concentrate competitive work at its primary base in Atlanta, including the restart of two cabin condition program lines and continued in-house maintenance of its JT8D-219 engines.

The company, which has issued a string of warnings about its financial condition lately, is aiming to achieve cost savings of about $240 million from its technical operations over the next five years.

The job cuts are part of the restructuring Delta announced in September that calls for a total work-force reduction of between 6,000 and 7,000 positions.

...more...
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UpInArms Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-29-05 08:38 AM
Response to Reply #9
20. Bank of America's Fleet job cuts hit 1,400 in Mass.
http://cbs.marketwatch.com/news/newsfinder/pulseone.asp?dateid=38440.3567481597-833639199&siteID=mktw&scid=0&doctype=806&property=symb&value=&categories=&

BOSTON (MarketWatch) - Bank of America has cut some 1,400 workers in Massachusetts as part of its merger with FleetBoston Financial, double the number the bank disclosed earlier, the Boston Globe reported Tuesday. Several top Bank of America executives including Chief Executive Kenneth Lewis told the Globe in September the bank had cut 700 Massachusetts jobs in its Fleet merger. However, by December, the layoffs had jumped to about 1,400, Bank of America (BAC) said in response to a questionnaire from U.S. Rep. Barney Frank and the House Financial Services Committee, the paper said. Shares of Bank of America rose 54 cents Monday to $44.29.
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UpInArms Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-29-05 10:27 AM
Response to Reply #9
39. County bosses say they didn’t know job cuts were coming
http://www.zwire.com/site/news.cfm?BRD=386&dept_id=444919&newsid=14239383&PAG=461&rfi=9

LITTLE VALLEY — Department heads were not consulted by the Cattaraugus County Legislature Finance Committee prior to last week’s budget cuts that included 23 full-time and five part-time positions.
County lawmakers were looking to plug a $1.8 million hole in the $171 million county budget for 2005 from the County Legislature’s failure last month to approve a three-quarters of 1 percent increase in the county sales tax.

Job cuts were approved totaling $814,000 that included five assistant road section supervisors for the Public Works Department.
Public Works Commissioner David Rivet was in Albany when the County Legislature voted on resolutions to cut 8 1/2 DPW positions. “I was frankly stunned,” Mr. Rivet told The Times Herald today.

When Mr. Rivet met with the Finance Committee, he offered up $300,000 in proposed DPW cuts. No reduction in DPW personnel was included or discussed, he said.

“I have no idea right now what they have in mind for staffing next winter,” Mr. Rivet said, noting the assistant road supervisors supervise the second shift of snow plowing and often operate a plow themselves. “There was no talk about a drop in personnel like this.”

...more...


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UpInArms Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-29-05 10:41 AM
Response to Reply #9
43. Tower Semiconductor Board Approves 2005 Operating Plan Focused On Maximizi
Tower Semiconductor Board Approves 2005 Operating Plan Focused On Maximizing Operational Efficiencies

http://home.businesswire.com/portal/site/google/index.jsp?ndmViewId=news_view&newsId=20050329005566&newsLang=en

Tower Semiconductor Ltd. (NASDAQ: TSEM; TASE: TSEM), a pure-play wafer foundry, announced today that its board of directors approved the 2005 operating plan, which expects improvement in revenue during the second half of the year and reaching positive EBITDA through additional operating efficiencies and other cost reduction measures. The board is encouraged by the outlook for the company in the second half of the year and is fully supportive of the management's plan.

As part of the 2005 operating plan, Tower concluded a workforce reduction resulting in a cutback of approximately 70 employees. This staff reduction is part of the company's adjustment of the head count to its workload in specific areas and consolidation of certain departments between its two fabs. The company continues to implement additional cost-reduction measures focused on manufacturing efficiencies, materials usage and other cost savings.

...more...
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UpInArms Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-29-05 07:42 AM
Response to Original message
10. Today's Report:
Mar 29 10:00 AM
Consumer Confidence Mar
report -
briefing.com 101.0
market 103.0
last report 104.0
revised -
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UpInArms Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-29-05 08:58 AM
Response to Reply #10
22. U.S. Consumer Confidence Probably Fell This Month, Survey Shows
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=10000103&sid=aYFypZeA6btg&refer=us

March 29 (Bloomberg) -- U.S. consumer confidence probably fell for a second straight month in March as higher gasoline prices weighed on sentiment, economists said in advance of a report today.

The Conference Board's index most likely slipped to 103 from a previously reported 104 in February, according to the median forecast of 60 economists surveyed by Bloomberg News. The index averaged 96.1 in 2004, and January's 105.1 was the highest in six months.

The average price of a gallon of gasoline has exceeded $2 this month, eroding some of the spending power from job growth, economists said. Gasoline cost a record $2.19 as of March 28, the Energy Department said yesterday in a weekly report.

The cost of gasoline is ``seen as having a damping effect on consumer's moods, particularly after a consumer has spent over $50 to fill up his SUV's gas tank,'' said Joseph Abate, a senior economist at Lehman Brothers Inc. in New York, which forecast a 102. The report will show that ``household assessments of the labor market have improved,'' he said.

...more...
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UpInArms Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-29-05 10:02 AM
Response to Reply #10
33. U.S. consumer confidence dips for second straight month
http://cbs.marketwatch.com/news/newsfinder/pulseone.asp?dateid=38440.4170711806-833642349&siteID=mktw&scid=0&doctype=806&property=symb&value=&categories=&

WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) -- U.S. consumer confidence fell for the second straight month in March, the Conference Board said Tuesday. The consumer confidence index fell to 102.4 in March from 104.4 in February. Economists expected the index to inch lower to 103.0 from the earlier estimate of 104.0. The present situation index fell to 115.6 from 116.8, while the expectations index slipped to 93.7 from 96.1.

10:00am 03/29/05 U.S. MARCH CONSUMER CONFIDENCE JUST BELOW CONSENSUS 103

10:00am 03/29/05 U.S. MARCH CONSUMER CONFIDENCE 102.4 VS 104.4 IN FEB
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UpInArms Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-29-05 10:23 AM
Response to Reply #33
37. putting the spin in
http://cbs.marketwatch.com/news/newsfinder/pulseone.asp?siteid=mktw&guid=%7BE735B43D-F301-4A3D-8D0B-D5663343567A%7D&

NEW YORK (MarketWatch) - The dollar remained lower against the euro and higher against the yen Tuesday, after a slightly bigger-than-expected decline in monthly consumer confidence. The headline index fell to 102.4 in March from 104.4 in February. Economists forecast the index would inch lower to 103.0 from an earlier estimate for February of 104.0. The index reading decline did not impact trade strongly because it already was well-known that rising oil prices have damaged consumer sentiment. The euro was 0.2 percent higher at $1.2913, and the dollar was up 0.04 percent at 107.38 yen.
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UpInArms Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-29-05 10:59 AM
Response to Reply #33
46. Consumers Less Cheerful in March, Survey Finds
http://news.moneycentral.msn.com/breaking/breakingnewsarticle.asp?feed=OBR&Date=20050329&ID=4332270

NEW YORK (Reuters) - U.S. consumer confidence ebbed in March as higher gasoline prices dampened the moods of car-reliant Americans, a report said on Tuesday.

As gas pump costs soared, The Conference Board said its gauge of sentiment eased to 102.4 from a revised 104.4 in February. Analysts had looked for a dip to 103.0.

The worsening confidence came as consumers felt gloomier about the labor market, despite signs of increased hiring in recent government data. The proportion of consumers saying jobs were ``hard to get'' in The Conference Board survey rose to 23.8 percent from 22.4 percent.

<snip>

Well aware of the frequent discrepancy between confidence and spending, financial markets have come to mostly ignore sentiment data, and Tuesday was no different. The stock market opened flat while U.S. Treasury bond prices sustained early gains. The dollar slipped slightly on the figure.

...more...
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nolabels Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-29-05 07:44 AM
Response to Original message
11. Hello, does this ring any bells?
Why would all these folks be plowing all this money into this thing and taking it private?
Specializing in computer disaster recovery (could that also be man made disaster :scared: )?

Posted on Tue, Mar. 29, 2005

Deal valued at $11.3 billion

By Akweli Parker

Knight Ridder

SunGard Data Systems said Monday that it is returning to private ownership in part so it can make business decisions without having to worry about Wall Street's reactions to its business moves.

Seven investment firms confirmed that they agreed to buy SunGard for $36 a share, or $11.3 billion, including the assumption of $500 million in debt.

The group, led by Silver Lake Partners of Menlo Park, includes some of the biggest names in the business of leveraged buyouts: Bain Capital, The Blackstone Group, Goldman Sachs Capital Partners, Kohlberg Kravis Roberts, Providence Equity Partners and Texas Pacific Group.

The announcement of the deal sent SunGard shares up $2.81, or about 9 percent, to $34.36 in New York Stock Exchange trading Monday.

SunGard employs 13,000 people worldwide.

Although some leveraged-buyout firms have a reputation for breaking up their targets and cashing out for a quick profit, SunGard and the buyout firms tried to assure customers and employees Monday that that's not their intention.
(snip)
http://www.mercurynews.com/mld/mercurynews/business/11256230.htm
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UpInArms Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-29-05 09:02 AM
Response to Reply #11
23. I consider these corp buyout firms, at best, vultures
Carlyle Raises $7.85 Billion for Biggest Buyout Fund

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=10000103&sid=afJsfWOsR1LA&refer=us

March 29 (Bloomberg) -- Carlyle Group, an 18-year-old investment firm whose former advisers include George H.W. Bush, raised $7.85 billion for the world's biggest buyout fund.

Carlyle's fund eclipsed the $6.45 billion that New York- based Blackstone Group LP attracted in 2002. Blackstone, along with competitor Warburg Pincus LLC, are seeking more than $8 billion apiece for new funds.

Buyout firms, which finance corporate takeovers mostly with borrowed money, spent a record $180 billion on acquisitions last year, data compiled by Bloomberg show. The pace accelerated in the first quarter, led by the $10.4 billion takeover of U.S. software developer SunGard Data Systems Inc. by seven firms led by Silver Lake Partners.

``There are attractive buyout opportunities throughout the U.S.,'' said Allan Holt, a managing director of Washington-based Carlyle, in an e-mailed statement today.

...more...
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Sparky McGruff Donating Member (321 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-29-05 10:39 AM
Response to Reply #11
42. Why go private?
Perhaps because a private corporation can make some longer-term business decisions that the stock market wouldn't approve of?
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UpInArms Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-29-05 10:45 AM
Response to Reply #42
44. when I think of private corporations,
Bechtel is the first thing that comes to mind

http://www.publicintegrity.org/wow/bio.aspx?act=pro&ddlC=6

Bechtel Group Inc.

The Bechtel Group, one of the world's largest engineering and construction firms, comprises some 19 joint-venture companies and numerous subsidiaries. Its affiliates include Sequoia Ventures Inc., a private investment company; Bechtel Capital Partners LLC, which has formed other Bechtel ventures, such as energy consultants Nexant Inc.; and Bechtel National Inc., which handles U.S. government contracts. Because Bechtel is a private corporation, however, the total number of its branches and affiliated companies is not publicly disclosed. From 1990 to fiscal year 2002, the company received more than $11.7 billion in U.S. government contracts—the sixth largest amount received by any of the approximately 70 companies with contracts in Iraq and Afghanistan.

...more...


http://www.reachingcriticalwill.org/corporate/dd/bechtell.html

Bechtel Corporation
San Francisco, CA


"We are not in the construction and engineering business. We are in the business of making money."

--Steve Bechtel Sr.

From the most natural and essential resource on earth – water – to nuclear power and weapons that can potentially cause the extinction of all life, Bechtel Group has manipulated both elements to build a business empire. As one of the largest construction and engineering companies in the world, Bechtel Group develops, manages, engineers, builds and operates telecomunications projects, water systems, petroleum and chemical plants, pipelines, nuclear power plants, mining and metal projects and civil infrastructure projects.

Bechtel has offices in Argentina, Australia, Brazil, Canada, Chile, China, Egypt, France, India, Indonesia, Japan, Korea, Malaysia, Mexico, Oman, Peru, Philippines, Russia, Saudi Arabia, Singapore, Spain, Taiwan, Thailand, Turkey, United Arab Emirates, United Kingdom, the U.S. and Venezuela. Last year Bechtel booked $23.3 billion worth of new business and worked off $15.1 billion in revenue, increases of 75% and 20% respectively (1).

...more...

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nolabels Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-29-05 12:31 PM
Response to Reply #42
52. Perhaps so very few people get to look at the books to see what...........
they are really gearing up for. The Perhaps because a private corporation can make some longer-term business decisions that the stock market wouldn't approve of? is probably only the half of it. The principles involved do not sound like the most wholesome of a groups from what I could tell.

It might be small potatoes to some of them, but with enough pieces of small potatoes you can grow a whole field of them.
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UpInArms Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-29-05 01:35 PM
Response to Reply #52
63. private corps and venture capitalists are setting records
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=102x1350699

Bechtel sees record revenue in 2004 (and says it's not because of Iraq)

http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?file=/c/a/2005/03/29/BUGGABVRQ91.DTL&type=printable

Bechtel Corp., the San Francisco firm helping rebuild Iraq, on Monday reported record revenue of $17.4 billion in 2004, buoyed by the growing strength of the global economy.

The results mark Bechtel's second year in a row of record-setting revenue, topping the company's 2003 take by 6.4 percent. The privately held firm does not disclose its profit.

With projects scattered throughout the United States and the world, Bechtel appears to be profiting from improving economies around the world. Some of the businesses Bechtel serves, such as oil firms and power companies, are building new projects or expanding old ones. Governments, too, are spending both at home and abroad.

"We're seeing an upturn in mining and metals, a big upturn in oil and chemicals, a return in power," said Jude Laspa, Bechtel's executive vice president and deputy chief operating officer. "We're seeing a lot more development in areas that had cut back."

Bechtel did not provide details on the amount of revenue brought in by its work in Iraq, where the company's engineers have spent nearly two years trying to repair waterworks and electrical plants. Laspa said, however, that the job in Iraq did not significantly improve Bechtel's 2004 results and suggested that it represented no more than a low-single-digit share of the revenue.

...More…

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=102x1350122

(The)Carlyle (Group) Closes Record Capital-Raising

(If you don't know who The Carlyle Group is, you should find out. I wonder if this is where all the "missing" billions are going? Hint: George H.W. is one of the major players.)

Carlyle Closes Record Capital-Raising

http://www.reuters.com/newsArticle.jhtml?type=businessNews&storyID=8022866&src=rss/businessNews

Tue Mar 29, 2005 07:40 AM ET

LONDON (Reuters) - The Carlyle Group has completed the world's largest corporate buyout capital-raising at $10 billion to finance mega-sized deals on both sides of the Atlantic, the private equity firm said on Tuesday. Carlyle's latest capital-raising was through two funds. The U.S.-focused Carlyle Partners IV got $7.85 billion of commitments, and European fund Carlyle Europe Partners II received $2.2 billion of commitments.

The massive fundraising comes amid press reports that private equity firms Warburg Pincus and Blackstone also are looking to raise up to $8 billion each. With equity returns in public markets essentially flat for most of last year and bond yields at low levels, investors have been flocking to private equity and other alternative investments to boost returns.

"There are lots of pension funds and other institutions with large funds that want exposure to private equity investments," said Chris Davison, a consultant for Almeida Capital. Private equity firms' demand for capital, meanwhile, is growing as firms are able to invest productively in larger and larger deals, Davison added.

On Monday seven private investment groups banded together to buy financial technology company SunGuard Data Systems Inc. for $10.8 billion in cash in the biggest leveraged buyout in more than 15 years. "We believe we have a level of capital that we can invest well over the next five years," said David M. Rubenstein, co-founder and managing director of Carlyle in a statement. Carlyle invests in buyouts, venture capital, real estate and leveraged finance in the U.S., Europe and Asia in industries ranging from aerospace and transport to energy, telecommunications and healthcare.

(more at link above)
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Kenneth ken Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-29-05 03:56 PM
Response to Reply #11
74. yes, it includes man-made disaster
SunGard and businesses like it set up data centers for clients so that the client can essentially move the bare-bones operation to a remote site in cases of disaster, and be up ad running with very little or no time lost.

When I worked in banking, we did disaster recovery testing twice a year, every year. On a daily basis we would back up all of our data and send a copy off-site for variable term storage. Some data got sent off-site for permanent storage, some for ten years, some for about a week. For DR testing, we would get the necessary tapes from the off-site storage location, and have them delivered to the DR site, then a small group of people would load all the data onto the system, ensure we could get everything up and running, and that we were able to process and have customer information available and accessible with very minimal lost time.

Usually, a DR site will be located in a different city; the site provides all the necessary hardware and connectivity for its customers. The customers provide the data. A DR site will usually be able to host several customers at one time.

If your bank burned down, would you be content to just let them be closed for several weeks, with your money inaccessible, while they recovered from the fire?

Any intelligent business using computers as the primary means of keeping track of its business records has a DR plan in place. I think in banking, it is a requirement. The idea of computer disaster recovery is old, and nothing to be scared of.

I know nothing about privatized v publicly held businesses, so can't offer anything on that subject,

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UpInArms Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-29-05 07:53 AM
Response to Original message
14. Chamber Files Brief On Enron Losses
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/articles/A7921-2005Mar28.html?nav=rss_topnews

The U.S. Chamber of Commerce has submitted a friend-of-the-court brief essentially arguing for lighter sentences for top Merrill Lynch & Co. officials convicted last year of fraud for their role in helping Enron Corp. improperly meet profit goals.

The chamber filed a 24-page brief with a federal judge in Texas late last week, contending that prosecutors had incorrectly calculated shareholder losses stemming from an improper energy deal. The calculation could have a profound impact on how much time the former Merrill executives, including onetime investment banking chief Daniel H. Bayly, spend behind bars.

Legal experts said it is unusual for the chamber, the nation's largest business lobby, to weigh in on a criminal proceeding, though the group frequently has offered guidance to judges seeking to calculate shareholder losses in civil cases.

Robin Conrad, a senior vice president for the chamber's litigation center, said the group took the unusual step of weighing in because it believes judges should use the same standards to assess shareholder losses in both criminal and civil cases.

The controversial transaction allowed the struggling energy trading firm to meet ambitious earnings targets, according to testimony in last year's six-week criminal trial. Merrill agreed to buy three energy-generating Nigerian barges from Enron in the waning days of 1999. In return, Enron officials promised to buy them back within months and guaranteed the investment bank would not lose money on the deal. Prosecutors successfully argued that the deal served no business purpose for Merrill and helped mislead investors about Enron's performance.

...more...
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UpInArms Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-29-05 08:20 AM
Response to Original message
17. Fairchild Executives Agree to Pay Cuts
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/articles/A8526-2005Mar28.html?nav=rss_topnews

Jeffrey J. Steiner, chairman and chief executive of Fairchild Corp., has agreed to pay $1.5 million and cut his salary by 20 percent to settle a lawsuit alleging he received excessive compensation and improper payments.

Steiner's son, Fairchild President Eric I. Steiner, has agreed to a 15 percent pay cut, and both Steiners agreed that their employment terms will end sooner than they otherwise would have, according to a settlement document.

<snip>

The current lawsuit cited interest-free loans, advances on retirement benefits, the presence of other Steiner family members on the payroll, hundreds of thousands of dollars of business-entertainment expenses, payments for apartments in London and Paris, the use of Steiner-affiliated aircraft, and the construction and furnishing of a home office for Jeffrey Steiner.

The lawsuit protested millions of dollars of golden parachute or "change of control" payments that Jeffrey and Eric Steiner were awarded in connection with the sale of a major Fairchild subsidiary in 2002 though both executives remained at Fairchild.

The lawsuit also challenged $5.5 million that the company paid for Jeffrey Steiner's defense and for a bond posted on his behalf when he was investigated and prosecuted in France for allegedly facilitating and benefiting from the misuse of a French petroleum company's funds. In 2003, Steiner was given a suspended sentence and ordered to pay a fine of 500,000 euros, worth about $647,000 at today's exchange rates.

...more...
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UpInArms Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-29-05 08:30 AM
Response to Original message
18. Crude oil turns above $54 -Market awaits Wednesday's U.S. inventory report
http://cbs.marketwatch.com/news/story.asp?guid=%7BE35E122A%2DC6BA%2D47BF%2DB353%2D4BC66DFDD769%7D&siteid=mktw

LONDON (MarketWatch) -- May-dated crude oil futures turned higher Tuesday in thin trade awaiting U.S. inventory data on Wednesday expected to show increases in crude supplies.

Crude rose 13 cents to $54.24 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange, after trading below $54 a barrel for most of the morning session. The contract is still off record highs of $57.46 reach last week.

"We...foresee another 2 million to 3 million barrel build coming up in Wednesday's report, which will again make the market surplus that much more apparent for all to see," said Tim Evans, an energy analyst at IFR Markets.

With European markets closed Monday, light, sweet crude oil closed down 79 cents to $54.05. "Yesterday's action once again illustrates that markets are still very well bid, with declines proving deceptive and capable of sharp reversals," said Edward Meir, an analyst at Man Financial Energy Group.

...more...
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UpInArms Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-29-05 08:32 AM
Response to Original message
19. Globalization and the rise of Asia
http://cbs.marketwatch.com/news/story.asp?siteid=mktw&dist=mktwsnap&guid=%7BD4A23CE6-13A9-4518-90AD-D330D7DD9F35%7D

HEALDSBURG, Calif. (MarketWatch) -- The rise of Asia -- specifically China and India -- as the major challengers to American global dominance is no longer a matter of "if" but rather one of "when."

The purpose of this series of articles is to explore the role of the United States in abetting this explosive rise of economic power in Asia through capital exports and outsourcing, to compare the potential future roles of China and India in the global marketplace of the 21st century, and to assess what this might mean for the American investor who takes a long-term view.

There are those in the West who think of all this as the emergence of the long-feared "Yellow Peril" in its most extreme form, an evil force that we have ultimately brought down upon ourselves. That the dual process of "exporting America" and uncontrolled illegal immigration are undermining the very foundation of American prosperity and that, in the end, the only solution lies in our returning to a policy of economic isolation.

The other school of thought is that what we are experiencing today is a process of globalization that is as irreversible as it is inevitable. That we now live in an age when goods, capital, technology and people are free and able to move from continent to continent on a scale and at a speed unimaginable just a couple of decades ago and that it is those who take advantage of these realities who will be the prime producers of wealth in the 21st century.

...more...
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ozymandius Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-29-05 09:21 AM
Response to Original message
24. pre-open blather
9:00AM: S&P futures vs fair value: -2.0. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -4.0. Expectations for a sluggish start for stocks remain intact as futures trade still denotes a negative tone... With very little in the way of market-moving news to extend yesterday's rebound, buyers have been reluctant to jump into the market ahead of data that could show a decline in consumption patterns... Not even falling bond yields and stabilizing oil prices have been enough to bolster sentiment
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54anickel Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-29-05 09:25 AM
Response to Original message
25. The Fed and China (Roach) - Morning Ozy, UIA and all
http://www.morganstanley.com/GEFdata/digests/20050328-mon.html#anchor0

Because of its currency peg, China does not have an independent central bank. Having elected to fix the renminbi to the dollar, the People’s Bank of China has all but abdicated control over its emerging financial system to America’s Federal Reserve. As the Fed now moves into the serious stage of its tightening cycle, that could pose a serious problem for an unbalanced Chinese economy. China may be preparing for precisely this possibility.

Despite nine months of measured tightening, America’s central bank remains well behind the curve, in my view. That is apparent if the “curve” is defined to delineate the setting of the policy rate that would be consistent both with the Fed’s inflation concerns as well as America’s current-account adjustment imperatives. The real, or inflation-adjusted federal funds rate currently stands at just 0.35% if the nominal funds rate (2.75%) is “deflated” by the year-over-year increase in the core CPI (2.4%); it is still slightly in negative territory if the headline CPI (3.0%) is used. An average of the two readings works out to a “zero” real federal funds rate -- underscoring the persistence of extraordinary monetary accommodation.

A year ago, when the balance of economic risks evened out after a very rocky recovery, I suggested that it would have been appropriate for the Fed simply to reset its policy rate quickly to a more neutral level (see my 27 February 2004 dispatch, “An Open Letter to Alan Greenspan” also published in Newsweek). Unfortunately, since the Fed has taken its sweet time, its efforts to recalibrate monetary policy have been largely offset by deteriorating conditions on four fronts -- mounting inflation risks, a runaway current account deficit, an emerging property bubble, and a profusion of speculative carry trades in fixed income markets. As a result, the US central bank can no longer afford to play it cute and seek a neutral policy stance -- the federal funds rate now needs to be pushed into the restrictive zone. We can argue over what that translates into insofar as a specific target for the nominal federal funds rate is concerned; my own view is that might be as high as 5.75% (see my 23 March 2005 dispatch, “The Test”). But even if I am guilty of exaggerating the upside to the funds rate, suffice it to say that the appropriate level is a number well above the current reading. If that’s not behind the curve, I don’t know what is.

Of equally great interest, of course, is what the Fed gets for this noble effort. The primary goal is inflation control, of course. I would add a secondary objective -- pushing up real interest rates to levels that are more compatible with America’s outsize international funding requirements; with the US current account deficit exploding to 6.3% of GDP in late 2004, the US needs $2.9 billion of capital inflows per business day. It is difficult to attract flows of that magnitude with a policy rate that remains at zero in real terms. Fed tightening also reins in the excesses in asset markets -- especially residential property but also the profusion of carry trades in risky assets such as high-yield and emerging-market debt.

more...
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54anickel Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-29-05 09:31 AM
Response to Reply #25
27. China to boost refining capacity by a third to handle booming energy deman
http://story.news.yahoo.com/news?tmpl=story&cid=1518&ncid=1518&e=7&u=/afp/20050329/bs_afp/chinaenergyoil_050329104339

BEIJING (AFP) - China, whose booming economy is expected to see record demand for oil this year, plans to expand its refining capacity by more than a third within the next five years, state media said.

By 2010, the country aims to add 100 million tonnes to its refining capacity, on top of its current nearly 300 million tonnes, the Xinhua news agency said, citing the China Petroleum and Chemical Industry Association.

"Fast-growing domestic demand for finished oil products has given full play to the surplus refining capacity that had lain idle for a dozen years," said Tan Zhuzhou, president of the association.

"It has been top of the agenda for the country's oil giants to develop and expand oil refining capacity," Tan said.

China processed a record 273 million tonnes of crude oil last year, up 13.7 percent from the year before, marking the fastest growth rate in three decades.

more...
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54anickel Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-29-05 09:33 AM
Response to Reply #27
28. Asia bent on having own oil market despite warnings
http://story.news.yahoo.com/news?tmpl=story&cid=1518&ncid=1518&e=3&u=/afp/20050329/bs_afp/usasiaenergy_050329084140

WASHINGTON (AFP) - Several Asian countries are pushing ahead with their long held objective of establishing a regional oil market for cheaper supplies, despite warnings such an initiative could backfire.

"If you look at both production and consumption, Asia feels shortchanged," Debnath Shaw, an Indian diplomat, said Monday at a conference organized by the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS), a Washington-based think tank.

Most of the world's supplies are controlled by members of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC). The main oil consumers -- North America, Europe and developed Asia -- in turn have formed their own grouping, the International Energy Agency (IEA), to protect their interests.

Being latecomers to the industrialization process, developing countries like India, China and the Southeast Asian economies "find they have no space for themselves" because the so-called oil market "is already divided between the producers and the users," Shaw said.

For example, Asian nations pay an extra 1.50 to 2.00 dollars for every barrel of oil from a refinery in Saudi Arabia compared to North American and European customers, he said.

more...
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54anickel Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-29-05 09:50 AM
Response to Reply #27
31. Drawing the Line on Energy
http://www.nytimes.com/2005/03/29/business/worldbusiness/29joust.html?

NAHA, Japan - Midway between Okinawa and China, the Ramform Victory, a Norwegian seismic ship, is performing routine survey work, trawling with long seismic cables and using sound waves to create three-dimensional images of oil and gas deposits. But nothing is routine when Japan commissions a survey of what is hidden below the contested waters of the East China Sea.

Chinese coast guard ships treat the surveyors as spies, radioing warnings to leave and shadowing the ship for days on end. On one occasion, the Chinese ships nearly collided with the vessel. Japan's trade minister, flying in a Japan coast guard plane, conducted an ostentatious survey, circling over the bright yellow gas production platform that China is building a mile west of waters claimed by Japan.

Confronting the Chinese face to face, the trade minister, Shoichi Nakagawa, later sat in front of a Chinese negotiator, dropped two straws in a glass of orange juice, and, forgoing customary Japanese politeness, complained that China was about to "suck out Japan's resources with a straw." The seismic ship, he said, according to ministry officials, found that two deposits under development by China extend into Japanese economic waters.

In days of sharply higher energy prices, long-dormant border disputes have suddenly come alive for Japan, the world's second-largest energy-consuming nation after the United States. Galling Japan is a realization that large deposits of oil and gas lie on the nation's watery fringes. Long cocooned by these water buffers, Japan is suddenly bumping shoulders over undersea oil and gas resources with China, South Korea and Russia.


more...
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UpInArms Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-29-05 01:43 PM
Response to Reply #27
64. Globalization and the rise of Asia (Part I)
http://cbs.marketwatch.com/news/story.asp?guid=%7BD4A23CE6%2D13A9%2D4518%2D90AD%2DD330D7DD9F35%7D&siteid=mktw

HEALDSBURG, Calif. (MarketWatch) -- The rise of Asia -- specifically China and India -- as the major challengers to American global dominance is no longer a matter of "if" but rather one of "when."

The purpose of this series of articles is to explore the role of the United States in abetting this explosive rise of economic power in Asia through capital exports and outsourcing, to compare the potential future roles of China and India in the global marketplace of the 21st century, and to assess what this might mean for the American investor who takes a long-term view.

There are those in the West who think of all this as the emergence of the long-feared "Yellow Peril" in its most extreme form, an evil force that we have ultimately brought down upon ourselves. That the dual process of "exporting America" and uncontrolled illegal immigration are undermining the very foundation of American prosperity and that, in the end, the only solution lies in our returning to a policy of economic isolation.

The other school of thought is that what we are experiencing today is a process of globalization that is as irreversible as it is inevitable. That we now live in an age when goods, capital, technology and people are free and able to move from continent to continent on a scale and at a speed unimaginable just a couple of decades ago and that it is those who take advantage of these realities who will be the prime producers of wealth in the 21st century.

...more...
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fedsron2us Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-29-05 03:03 PM
Response to Reply #64
66. Far be it from me to question such a distinguished author
Edited on Tue Mar-29-05 03:29 PM by fedsron2us
but I think if you actually look at the chronology Britain was the dominant power in the world before it adopted economic liberalism and free trade. For example, the repeal of the protectionist corn laws in the 19th century did not occur until two decades after the defeat of Napoleon. Indeed, there is more than a little evidence to suggest that free trade actually sowed the initial seeds of the decline of the British Empire by encouraging the growth in the economies of rivals such as Germany and the USA. The naked competition that free trade encourages can lead to the breakdown of international relations as nations engage in an ever more desperate search for markets and resources. The ultimate result may just be war. This is the exact opposite effect to what most of its supporters claim.
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UpInArms Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-29-05 03:11 PM
Response to Reply #66
68. good catch fedsron2us
I went looking for this distingushed author's credentials and found this:

http://www.internetional.se/erdman9812.htm

US ECONOMY: Downwards lurch

DECEMBER 10 1998 Lex

The US current account deficit took another lurch downwards yesterday. It is now running at over $60bn a quarter, or about 2.8 per cent of gross domestic product.

In theory, the need to finance such a massive gap with foreign capital puts upward pressure on US interest rates and downward pressure on the dollar. In fact, the dollar strengthened on the news.

For the past few years, the US has been in the happy position that the world has wanted to buy its assets to take advantage of the country's strong growth and open economy.

How long can this continue? The deficit will grow even larger next year, topping 3 per cent of GDP. The economy is slowing, while political rumblings over impeachment continue.

...more...


Wonder how he feels now? :eyes:

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UpInArms Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-29-05 09:26 AM
Response to Original message
26. Burlington Northern to charge for fuel by the mile
http://cbs.marketwatch.com/news/newsfinder/pulseone.asp?dateid=38440.3861864352-833640606&siteID=mktw&scid=0&doctype=806&property=symb&value=&categories=&

NEW YORK (MarketWatch) - Burlington Northern Santa Fe Corp. (BNI) said Tuesday it would become the first railroad to start adding fuel surcharges based on the number of miles freight travels, replacing a percentage calculation of the total bill. BNSF said the change would be more accurate and direct method of accounting for the rising cost of diesel. The railroad said the charges would be applied to about 75 percent of its freight volume. Shares fell 73 cents to $54.96 Monday.

guess all those containers of cheap imports are going to start costing more :eyes:
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RawMaterials Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-29-05 09:43 AM
Response to Original message
29. Conservatives Splitting on Social Security
President Bush's proposal to add private investment accounts to Social Security is beginning to create controversy within the one group that has most forcefully embraced the idea in theory: the conservative intelligentsia.

Under Bush's approach, personal accounts "are complicated," wrote Alex J. Pollock, a finance expert at the conservative American Enterprise Institute, in a paper he will present at AEI today. "To many people, they are downright confusing and even frightening, and they require diverting a portion of payroll taxes away from the U.S. Treasury."

Conservative Harvard University economist Robert J. Barro broke with the White House in the April 4 issue of Business Week, writing, "Overall the accounts are a bad idea." Tyler Cowen, a free-market economist at George Mason University, has linked his Web log, Marginal Revolution, to Barro's dissent, declaring, "Robert Barro agrees with me on Social Security."

snip..
"There is no good reason to go beyond the minimum standard; that is why I view personal accounts as a mistake -- they enlarge a Social Security program that already promises too much," Barro wrote

Pollock takes a different tack. As personal accounts are envisioned, most people will see them as too risky and complicated. And the government's upfront borrowing costs are simply too high, he said.

snip..

"If the White House doesn't have a plan soon," Hassett said, "it's very unlikely the White House will win."




http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/articles/A8000-2005Mar28.html

They already offer personal savings accounts they are called IRA's leave SS th *uck, alone. IMHO
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UpInArms Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-29-05 09:43 AM
Response to Original message
30. 9:41 EST markets are open
Edited on Tue Mar-29-05 09:44 AM by UpInArms
Dow 10,477.30 -8.35 (-0.08%)
Nasdaq 1,990.64 -1.88 (-0.09%)
S&P 500 1,173.49 -0.79 (-0.07%)

10-Yr Bond 4.599 -0.25 (-0.54%)


NYSE Volume 101,371,000
Nasdaq Volume 115,821,000

(edited for html)
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UpInArms Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-29-05 10:04 AM
Response to Reply #30
34. 10:01 EST numbers and blather
Edited on Tue Mar-29-05 10:08 AM by UpInArms
Dow 10,477.44 -8.21 (-0.08%)
Nasdaq 1,989.69 -2.83 (-0.14%)
S&P 500 1,174.04 -0.24 (-0.02%)

10-Yr Bond 4.599 -0.25 (-0.54%)


NYSE Volume 248,056,000
Nasdaq Volume 244,089,000

10:00AM: Equities remain on the defensive as selling remains widespread across most areas... Technology has been weak across the board, with Semiconductor (-0.6%) failing to take advantage of upbeat analysts comments... Utility, Consumer Staples, Industrials and Health Care have also been influential leaders to the downside... Health care facilities (+4.7%), however, has paced the way to the upside following upside Q1 guidance from HCA Inc (HCA 52.43 +3.56) while Energy has been strong as oil prices have inched higher...

Separately, March Consumer Confidence just checked in at 102.4, down from a revised figure of 104.4 in February... While the data has had little impact on stocks, bonds have extended early morning gains in response, as the 10-year note is now up 12 ticks to yield 4.58%... NYSE Adv/Dec 1099/1501, Nasdaq Adv/Dec 1127/1317

9:40AM: Stocks open on a downbeat note ahead of data that could show consumer confidence slipped in March due to higher energy prices... With an economic calendar full of influential data this week and with inflation concerns officially on the radar following the Fed's policy statement last week, investors have so far been hesitant to buy stocks ahead of today's only economic release... At 10:00 ET, the Conference Board will release March consumer confidence (consensus 103.0)...


(edit: updated blather)
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54anickel Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-29-05 09:54 AM
Response to Original message
32. Deficit Disorders (Bonner of the Daily Reckoning)
http://www.prudentbear.com/archive_comm_article.asp?category=Guest+Commentary&content_idx=41607

The noise on the issue of national accounts is deafening. Every politician, economist, and goofball analyst with access to an editorial page seems to have an opinion. Here we offer an anti-opinion. Our purpose is neither to explain the current account more clearly nor to guess about what will happen to the dollar. No, we set a much lower goal for ourselves; we only want to show that almost all the commentators and policymakers are numbskulls.

We begin by reminding readers that the U.S. trade deficit hit a new record in January, at $58.3 billion, an amount that “exceeded everyone’s worst expectations,” said the New York Times. The deficit reached more than $650 billion last year, requiring 80% of the entire world’s savings to finance it. The world has never seen such a huge red number in international trade and doesn’t know what to make of it. It is a sign of the “decline of the American empire,’ say some of the commentators. Others take as an emblem of America’s strength.

Whence cometh this trade deficit?

It ariseth when Americans buy more from non-Americans than they sell to them. Each day that passes, Americans buy (net) about $2 billion more in foreign imports than they make in overseas sales. That U.S. businesses are more profitable than their Asian counterparts makes no difference. That the American economy is the most dynamic, flexible and delicious confection ever put up on God’s green earth is as irrelevant as tree rings. That foreigners want a piece of America is flattering, but it is also as much a non-sequitur as hemorrhoids.

Nor does it especially matter why Americans overspend. They have their reasons. But even if they didn’t, the result would be the same. Each day, including weekends, more goes out than comes in. Ships, plying their routes from East to West - that is, leaving North American ports headed for China, Japan and the rest of the Far East - glide across the water. They are lightly charged with lumber, raw materials, tools, and food. Some are empty. As they make their way across the broad Pacific, they cross other ships headed in the opposite direction. These ships leaving the Orient on their way to Seattle or Long Beach ride lower in the water, for they are full up to the gunnels. There are cell phones, TVs, toys, gadgets, trinkets, clothes, and appliances - all the flotsam and jetsam upon which America’s standard of living now rests.

more...
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54anickel Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-29-05 10:24 AM
Response to Original message
38. Health care called bigger threat than Social Security
http://www.kansascity.com/mld/kansascity/business/11253604.htm

Escalating health-care costs pose a greater threat to future living standards for today's children than would any proposed tax increases for Social Security, a think-tank report says.

The Center for Economic and Policy Research said last week that health-care cost growth over the next 10 years would be four times as large as the tax increase that Social Security trustees say is needed to keep Social Security solvent for the next 75 years.

Or, looking at a different projection, the think tank said health-care cost growth would be 10 times as large as the tax increase that the Congressional Budget Office estimates is needed to keep Social Security solvent over the 75-year planning period.

The research organization said the cost of health care would continue to grow faster than per capita gross domestic product growth and faster than real wage growth.

“The loss of wages, net of health-care spending, due to excessive health-care costs over the period from 1980 to 2004 was 12.6 percent,” the report said. “This means that workers on average had 12.6 percent less money in 2004 to spend on nonhealth-care items, than if health-care costs had only risen in step with per capita GDP over this period.”

more...
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ozymandius Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-29-05 10:36 AM
Response to Original message
40. Brazil: “No longer to subordinate to IMF”
Brazil announced Monday that it will not renew the stand-by credit agreement it signed with the IMF in September 2002 because the good shape of the national economy makes it superfluous

Brazil, the IMF's largest debtor, said improved fiscal controls and external accounts, combined with the best economic growth in a decade, had cut its vulnerability to foreign financial shocks and improved its creditworthiness.

Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva, a longtime critic of the IMF before becoming president, said the decision to end support showed his unpopular spending cuts and commitment to orthodox fiscal policy had paid off.

-cut-

Over six years ago, Brazil turned to the IMF just before currency devaluation caused its debt load to spike and raised doubts about the country's ability to pay its foreign debt.
Since then, the country has weathered a series of foreign financial shocks, thanks in part to the support of the IMF.

more...

http://www.falkland-malvinas.com/Detalle.asp?NUM=5351
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RawMaterials Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-29-05 11:04 AM
Response to Reply #40
47. Thats great for Brazil, I commend President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva
For standing up to the IMF,cutting spending and having a good fiscal policy.

Here are some great pictures
http://forum.skyscraperpage.com/showthread.php?s=53a9e7bcec33b02beb1c958538ded36f&threadid=61420&highlight=Brazil
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UpInArms Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-29-05 10:38 AM
Response to Original message
41. 10:34 EST numbers and spinning blather (consumer confidence means nothing)
Dow 10,497.77 +12.12 (+0.12%)
Nasdaq 1,995.76 +3.24 (+0.16%)
S&P 500 1,176.83 +2.55 (+0.22%)
10-Yr Bond 4.591 -0.33 (-0.71%)


NYSE Volume 436,710,000
Nasdaq Volume 410,683,000

10:30AM: Market lifts off its worst levels but shows little signs of wholeheartedly rallying... Meanwhile, March consumer confidence slid for the second consecutive month amid rising gasoline prices; but the widely expected decline of 102.4, which basically matched forecasts, has had little impact on the market as investors prepare for much more influential economic data over the next three days...

However, an upward revision to last month's figure (to 104.4 from 104.0) further signals that the overall index, albeit having little correlation with consumer spending, has been trending slightly higher over the past two years... NYSE Adv/Dec 1440/1402, Nasdaq Adv/Dec 1304/1335
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UpInArms Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-29-05 11:12 AM
Response to Reply #41
48. 11:11 EST numbers and blather
Dow 10,508.56 +22.91 (+0.22%)
Nasdaq 1,998.68 +6.16 (+0.31%)
S&P 500 1,177.61 +3.33 (+0.28%)
10-Yr Bond 4.601 -0.23 (-0.50%)


NYSE Volume 611,826,000
Nasdaq Volume 567,449,000

11:00AM: Major indices climb to their best levels of the morning as oil prices fall to session lows... Crude oil futures ($53.75/bbl -$0.30), which had stabilized around $54/bbl after OPEC agreed to suspend talks on boosting output quotas, have succumbed to further profit taking...NYSE Adv/Dec 1827/1180, Nasdaq Adv/Dec 1571/1170
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UpInArms Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-29-05 12:15 PM
Response to Reply #48
49. 12:14 EST numbers and blather
Dow 10,494.89 +9.24 (+0.09%)
Nasdaq 1,995.60 +3.08 (+0.15%)
S&P 500 1,176.50 +2.22 (+0.19%)
10-Yr Bond 4.603 -0.21 (-0.45%)


NYSE Volume 854,633,000
Nasdaq Volume 755,188,000

12:00PM: Market maintains modest gains midday, despite a slight decline in consumer confidence, amid falling oil prices, upbeat guidance and lower bond yields... While March consumer confidence fell to 102.4 (consensus 103.0) from a revised Feb read of 104.4, investors have discounted the widely expected decline ahead of this week's more influential economic data... Modest profit taking in crude oil futures ($53.75/bbl -$0.30) has improved sentiment while upbeat guidance from HCA Inc (HCA 63.35 +3.25) and Monsanto (MON 52.56 +3.69) has provided a modest boost to stocks heading into earnings season...

Declining bond yields have also acted as a contributing factor, as the 10-year note is up 11 ticks yielding 4.59% ahead of 2-year auction results... News that former American International Group (AIG 58.98 +1.96) CEO Maurice "Hank" Greenberg will step down as chairman has helped Financial (+0.6%) gain ground while Telecom Services (+0.6%) has been strong following MCI Inc.'s (MCIP 23.81 +0.87) decision to accept Verizon's (VZ 35.42 +0.70) sweetened $7.6 bln bid...

Follow through in Software (+0.4%) and strength in Networking (+0.3%) following the MCI-VZ news has helped Technology join other influential economic sectors like Health Care, Consumer Staples and Energy to the upside... A 2.5% sell off in Steel, however, has added pressure to Materials (-0.2%) while Utility, Drug, and Transportation have also been weak...
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ozymandius Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-29-05 12:41 PM
Response to Reply #49
53. 12:39 numbers and more blather
Edited on Tue Mar-29-05 12:41 PM by ozymandius
Dow
10,492.97
+7.32
(+0.07%)

Nasdaq
1,992.22
-0.30
(-0.02%)


S&P 500
1,175.54
+1.26
(+0.11%)

10-Yr Bond
4.597
-0.27
(-0.58%)

NYSE Volume
943,799,000

Nasdaq Volume
826,313,000

12:35PM: Sellers show some resolve, as the indices now struggle to gain traction above the flat line... Providing some modest support for blue chips, however, has been a recent surge in shares Hewlett-Packard (HPQ 20.35 +0.56), which has finally selected a new CEO... Reports suggest that current NCR Corp (NCR 35.76 -2.14) chief executive Mark Hurd will succeed former HPQ chairman and CEO Carly Fiorina... HPQ shares had traded higher earlier amid speculation that it could become the next buyout target following yesterday's surprising SunGuard Data Systems (SDS 34.47 +0.11) deal... NYSE Adv/Dec 1748/1412, Nasdaq Adv/Dec 1448/1476
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UpInArms Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-29-05 10:57 AM
Response to Original message
45. Live From Kennett Square, It's John Snow!
(does that headline remind anyone else of SNL comedy?)

http://www.forbes.com/home/retirement/2005/03/29/cx_da_0329topnews.html

NEW YORK - One of the many features of the wave of financial scandals early in this decade was the chief financial officer acting as star salesman--instead of making sure the numbers were right, folks like Scott Sullivan and Andrew Fastow broke the traditional mold, won awards and became darlings of Wall Street for making the numbers look pretty.

Andy Fastow, meet John Snow.

Snow, the U.S. secretary of the Treasury, is, by many accounts, no longer a player in crafting economic policy. But he is selling it. Currently, Snow is in the middle of the "60 Stops in 60 Days" tour in which he and other Bush Administration officials are "crisscross the nation to take the President's message of strengthening Social Security to the American people."

Snow, to be sure, isn't the only one on what they call "the blitz." President George W. Bush, Vice President Dick Cheney and other Cabinet members have made stops. But Snow has been the most frequent traveler, and he is still going a week after the president has quietly started to downplay or at least revise his plan.

Last week, Snow's press office announced he had participated in the 60th event of the 60-day tour in Kennett Square, Pa. Since then, he has moved on to Wilmington, Del. and Portland, Ore. The tour is supported by an entity called the Social Security Information Center. While the SSIC is part of the Treasury Department, it has been given a new name and apparently employs a separate staff. "We hired some new staff to help out, and we named them the SSIC," says Treasury Department spokesman Robert Nichols.

While no one is suggesting that Snow is cooking the books, there is a serious question as to whether Snow has stopped making policy and is no longer the watchdog of America's finances. He has been left simply to sell the plan, which is rapidly being revised with him out of town.

...more...
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jswordy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-29-05 12:16 PM
Response to Original message
50. Looks like SOMEONE ELSE has a model like mine: "Increasingly vulnerable"
As the Fed raises interest rates quarter point by quarter point, the financial environment may seem to be changing little, but in reality it is becoming increasingly at risk of singularities, financial tornadoes that appear from a clear sky and produce economic devastation.

Conventional economics deals primarily with equations that are linear or exponential. Relationships between the different components of the economy are held to be linear, economic growth is held to be exponential, with the economy increasing in size each year by a constant or even an increasing rate, depending on productivity growth, which is supposed to be constant in the short run albeit possibly increasing in the long run. Linear and exponential equations have the great virtue of being relatively easy for economists to solve; they also tend to behave in smooth ways, so that if an economy behaves in one way in one year it will behave in a similar way in the following year; change is always gradual, and there are no point "singularities" at which sudden changes occur.

It's an attractive if somewhat sterile picture, no doubt useful when teaching economics to the less academically gifted students. It allows simple folk such as the George W. Bush economic team to make confident predictions of continued economic progress, halving of the Federal budget deficit within five years etc., without more than the usual barrage of politically motivated criticism. However, it doesn't bear a great deal of resemblance to reality, and nor should we expect it to.


http://www.insightmag.com/news/2005/03/28/Commentary/The-Bears.Lair.Beware.Of.Singularities-904440.shtml
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UpInArms Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-29-05 12:24 PM
Response to Reply #50
51. wonder if the Moonies are reading DU
now?

Insight Magazine:

http://www.globalpolicy.org/ngos/analysis/1101moon.htm

excerpt:

5. Media and Cultural Properties

In the mid-1970s, Moon founded News World, a New York City newspaper. Then in May 1982, during the early period of Ronald Reagan’s US presidency, he founded the Washington Times, a conservative daily that is the second most important newspaper in the US capital. (35) The paper has always been highly ideological and it has fueled the prejudices of conservative members of Congress and their counterparts in conservative think-tanks and the executive branch. More than any other institution in Washington, it promotes hostility towards the United Nations.

The Washington Times regularly warns its readers that the UN wants to set up a standing army, that it is planning a global tax, that its membership overflows with dictatorships and “America-haters,” that it tramples on religion and the family and that it fosters sexual license and depravity. (36) The paper described a recent UN conference as a “left-wing hootnanny” and a recent article on the UN was entitled “Biting the Hand that Feeds It.” (37) The paper builds its UN news stories on quotes from Senator Jesse Helms, Senator Trent Lott, and other conservatives hostile towards the UN and multilateral cooperation.

The Washington Times runs at a large loss, currently estimated at $50-100 million per year. (38) In 1992, at the tenth anniversary celebration of the paper, Moon said that he had “invested” “close to $1 billion” in the paper in the first 12 years. (39) Moon has said he wanted to make the newspaper "an instrument to save America and the world." (40)

In mid-1996, Moon launched a conservative weekly newspaper for the Spanish-speaking market in Latin America called Tiempos del Mundo. This big and very expensive multi-country venture is estimated to have cost hundreds of millions of dollars for the start-up and annual losses. (41) The paper’s web site proclaims that it seeks to “strengthen the family” and it announces that the paper is printed and distributed in 15 Latin countries as well as the United States and Canada, joining a “hemispheric” section of 64 pages to a national edition. (42) According to a Latin American source, the paper has not yet found a significant readership. (43) The Moon organization controls Tiempos del Mundothrough its media arm, News World Communications (named after the defunct New York paper). News World also owns the Washington Times and a daily newspaper in Uruguay, Ultimas Noticias.(44)

In May 2000, News World Communications acquired control of the US news wire service United Press International, better known as UPI.(45) News World also controls Insight Magazine, The World and I, and Middle East Times (Cyprus). (46) The Moon organization also controls a monthly publication, Our Canada, and daily newspapers in Japan (Sekai Nippo) and Korea (Segye Ilbo), as well as video production facilities in New York, Washington and Tokyo and the Paragon House publisher. (47) Universal One television station in Tokyo is a Moon property as well. (48) And Moon owns a controlling interest in the cable Nostalgia Channel. (49)

...more...
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jswordy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-29-05 12:49 PM
Response to Reply #51
54. Ah yes, I forgot that being widely read is a HINDERANCE on DU.
Edited on Tue Mar-29-05 01:07 PM by jswordy
I apologize, I should drink only the Kool-Aid offered by the "approved sources." LOL -- whattacrock.
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jswordy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-29-05 12:53 PM
Response to Reply #54
55. Maybe this will be an "approved source" for those with closed minds.
Presuming that a tougher Fed means higher interest rates, traders have aggressively bought dollars. However, this conclusion ignores the facts that higher interest rates will ultimately: 1) precipitate a severe recession, 2) exacerbate both the current account and budget deficits, 3) collapse the housing, stock, and bond market bubbles, 4) cause millions to lose their jobs, 5) bankrupt millions of consumers, and thousands of companies and hedge funds, 6) result in capital flight out of the United States 7) and not even raise high enough to exceed the rate of inflation, leaving real yields negative. Therefore, higher interest rates will actually weaken, rather than strengthen, the dollar. Currency traders betting on the reverse be warned.<\i>

http://www.howestreet.com/story.php?ArticleId=1062
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UpInArms Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-29-05 12:57 PM
Response to Reply #55
56. sorry about my "closed mind"
sometimes the facts seem to get in my way :D

wasn't "dissing" your news report - just doing my "organizational fact check".

:hi:
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jswordy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-29-05 01:15 PM
Response to Reply #56
59. You should have "fact checked" the disclaimer at the bottom of the column
Edited on Tue Mar-29-05 01:17 PM by jswordy
(The Bear's Lair is a weekly column that is intended to appear each Monday, an appropriately gloomy day of the week. Its rationale is that, in the long '90s boom, the proportion of "sell" recommendations put out by Wall Street houses declined from 9 percent of all research reports to 1 percent and has only modestly rebounded since. Accordingly, investors have an excess of positive information and very little negative information. The column thus takes the ursine view of life and the market, in the hope that it may be usefully different from what investors see elsewhere.)

It fits my model to a T. Still predicting major slowdown and possible cataclysmic event third quarter, 2005. And Moon doesn't own me.

Further, a check of ownership and political contributions/party affiliation of nearly every media source on DU will indicate Republican owners. That does NOT transfer directly to content in the vast majority of cases. To believe it does is just that -- a belief, not a fact.
:D
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UpInArms Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-29-05 01:19 PM
Response to Reply #59
60. sorry that I offended you jswordy
sometimes I come off (I am assuming this based on your posts) as brusque and rude and unaccepting.

If you have read many of my posts or follow-ups, I usually include information regarding the subject or the source.

Just my way of being, not meaning to poke sticks in your cage (and that is something I truly hate to have happen to me and don't intend to do to others)

:)
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jswordy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-29-05 01:04 PM
Response to Reply #50
57. KKR in advanced talks to buy GMAC.
The potential breakup of General Motors was mentioned in the earlier piece deemed unacceptable to DUers due to its source. Further information follows.

CAUTION TO CLOSE MINDED READERS: This CNN/Money article is sourced from "The New York Post."

NEW YORK (CNN/Money) - Kohlberg Kravis Roberts & Co. is in advanced talks to buy a majority stake in the commercial mortgage business at General Motors' finance arm, GMAC, for at least $1 billion, according to a published report.

The New York Post reported Tuesday that as part of the negotiations, KKR is also expected to assist GMAC in refinancing some $3 billion to $4 billion.

GM, the world's leading auto manufacturer, has been hit with losses at its core automotive operations but has been helped by strong results from GMAC. The commercial mortgage business is only a small part of GMAC's line of business, which also includes auto finance and home mortgages.

GM reached an agreement last year to sell the commercial mortgage unit to Deutsche Bank AG, the Post reported, but the sale fell through. GM is now under pressure to sell the unit in an attempt to shrink its $300 billion in debt and avoid the risk of a credit downgrade. Earlier this month, the company warned of an unexpected steep loss in the first quarter.



http://money.cnn.com/2005/03/29/news/fortune500/gmac_kkr/
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UpInArms Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-29-05 01:13 PM
Response to Reply #57
58. info on KKR
http://www.kkr.com/about/who_we_are.html

KKR, founded in 1976, is one of the world’s oldest and most experienced private equity firms. KKR specializes in management buyouts, and has established itself as the largest and most active participant in the industry. KKR’s investing activities are made on behalf of itself and its investors. These institutional investors include state and corporate pension funds, banks, insurance companies, other financial institutions, and university endowments.

KKR is managed as one firm, with investment teams located in New York, Menlo Park and London, supported by an organization in which process, communication and collaboration are priorities. KKR has 60 professionals dedicated to sourcing, analyzing, executing and managing investments, including 14 Members, 10 Directors and 36 Associates and other executives. The 14 Members have an average of 16 years with the Firm. Together, they have considerable expertise in the evaluation and oversight of companies in a variety of industries, through various economic and business cycles. Since its founding, KKR has completed more than 120 transactions involving in excess of $136 billion of total financing.

As a recognized leader and innovator in the private equity world, KKR has, through its 29-year history, accomplished numerous industry-wide firsts and achievements, including:
The first billion-dollar buyout transaction
(Wometco Enterprises, 1984)

Two of the largest buyout transactions ever
(RJR Nabisco, 1989, $31.4B; Beatrice, 1986, $8.7B)

The first buyout of a public company by tender offer
(Malone & Hyde, 1984)

The largest leveraged buyout ever in France
(Legrand, 2002, €4.94B)

Two of the largest Canadian buyouts
(Shoppers Drug Mart, 2000, C$2.5B; Yellow Pages Group, 2002, C$3.1B)

The development of the leveraged build-up model
(PRIMEDIA, 1989; KSL, 1993)

The pioneering use of private equity in highly complex and regulated industries such as banking, insurance, utilities, and heathcare

...more...


http://www.hoovers.com/kkr/--ID__40268--/free-co-factsheet.xhtml

The barbarians at the gate are now knocking politely. The master of the 1980s buyout universe, Kohlberg Kravis Roberts (popularly known as KKR) has shed its hostile takeover image for a kinder, gentler, buy-and-build strategy. In short, KKR assembles funds from institutional and wealthy investors to buy low and sell high. An active investor, the firm supervises or installs new management and revamps strategy and corporate structure, selling underperforming units or adding new ones. KKR profits from fund and company management fees as well as its direct interests. Cousins Henry Kravis and George Roberts are the senior partners in KKR, which is part of a group buying Toys "R" Us.

...more...


(should I change my sig line to reflect my "closed mind"?)
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UpInArms Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-29-05 01:22 PM
Response to Original message
61. 1:20 EST numbers and blather (turning red)
Dow 10,455.43 -30.22 (-0.29%)
Nasdaq 1,985.63 -6.89 (-0.35%)
S&P 500 1,171.30 -2.98 (-0.25%)

10-Yr Bond 4.596 -0.28 (-0.61%)


NYSE Volume 1,135,397,000
Nasdaq Volume 958,613,000

1:00PM: More of the same, as stocks continue to trade around the unchanged mark, but market internals have slipped... Advancers on the NYSE hold a slim 16 to 15 advantage over decliners while declining issues on the Nasdaq hold a 15 to 13 margin over advancing issues... The ratio of up to down volumes also suggests a rather lackluster sentiment at both the Big Board and the Composite, as investors remain hesitant to own equities ahead of the rest of this week's potentially market-moving economic reports...NYSE Adv/Dec 1653/1537, Nasdaq Adv/Dec 1375/1572
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UpInArms Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-29-05 02:08 PM
Response to Reply #61
65. 2:06 EST numbers and blather (really red now)
Dow 10,424.03 -61.62 (-0.59%)
Nasdaq 1,979.03 -13.49 (-0.68%)
S&P 500 1,168.30 -5.98 (-0.51%)

10-Yr Bond 45.93 -0.31 (-0.67%)


NYSE Volume 1,355,916,000
Nasdaq Volume 1,128,233,000

2:00PM: Indices continue to languish near their lows of the session as oil prices spike to their highs of the day... While the recent 0.6% rise in the commodity ($54.40/bbl +$0.35) has not been substantial by any means, it has been enough of an inflationary deterrent to keep buyers on the sidelines heading into all of the uncertainty surrounding top-tier economic reports over the next few days... NYSE Adv/Dec 1348/1877, Nasdaq Adv/Dec 1088/1912

1:30PM: Renewed wave of selling interest knocks the indices to their worst levels of the day... Broad-based profit taking in the Materials sector (-1.0%), in particular Steel (-4.7%) and Diversified Metals & Mining (-2.7%), as well as selling pressure in Oil Services (-1.5%), appears to have weakened an already deteriorating sentiment... Meanwhile, the Dow and S&P have found modest support above key technical levels of 10440 and 1168, respectively, but the Nasdaq continues to test last week's low and initial support near the 1985 mark... NYSE Adv/Dec 1452/1755, Nasdaq Adv/Dec 1193/1767
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nolabels Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-29-05 03:11 PM
Response to Reply #65
67. More red, more red, more red, yea more red!!!
Red is good isn't it? :popcorn::sarcasm::woohoo::sarcasm: :rofl:

Really with all the negatives it is surprising that isn't lower :shrug:
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RawMaterials Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-29-05 03:12 PM
Response to Reply #65
69. 3:10 Market Update and Blather
Dow 10431.19 -54.46 (-0.52%)
Nasdaq 1978.37 -14.15 (-0.71%)
S&P 500 1168.81 -5.47 (-0.47%)


10-Yr Bond 4.589% -0.35

NYSE Volume 1,701,815,000
Nasdaq Volume 1,407,347,000


3:00PM: Bearish bias remains firmly intact as buying interest remains scarce across the board... Minimizing losses on the Dow, however, have been strong performances from HPQ (+7.9%) and AIG (+2.5%), following major management changes at both... Investors have also taken note of strength in VZ (+1.3%); but losses in excess of 1.0% from 10 other components, such as AA, CAT, DIS and PFE to name a few, have pushed the blue chip index to a two-month low over the last 30 minutes... NYSE Adv/Dec 1130/2132, Nasdaq Adv/Dec 892/2154

2:30PM: Selling remains the name of the game as a widespread negative tone continues to weigh on the proceedings... Treasurys, however, have remained strong amid a decline in consumer confidence and weakness in Asian markets... Last night, disappointing government reports in Japan raised concerns about an economic slowdown... A flight to quality among market participants has lifted bonds to their best levels of the day, as the 10-year note is now up 14 ticks to yield 4.58%... NYSE Adv/Dec 1199/2033, Nasdaq Adv/Dec 974/2037
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UpInArms Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-29-05 03:14 PM
Response to Original message
70. 3:12 EST numbers and blather (still red)
Dow 10,426.54 -59.11 (-0.56%)
Nasdaq 1,977.74 -14.78 (-0.74%)
S&P 500 1,168.11 -6.17 (-0.53%)

10-Yr Bond 4.589 -0.35 (-0.76%)


NYSE Volume 1,713,575,000
Nasdaq Volume 1,416,271,000

3:00PM: Bearish bias remains firmly intact as buying interest remains scarce across the board... Minimizing losses on the Dow, however, have been strong performances from HPQ (+7.9%) and AIG (+2.5%), following major management changes at both... Investors have also taken note of strength in VZ (+1.3%); but losses in excess of 1.0% from 10 other components, such as AA, CAT, DIS and PFE to name a few, have pushed the blue chip index to a two-month low over the last 30 minutes... NYSE Adv/Dec 1130/2132, Nasdaq Adv/Dec 892/2154

2:30PM: Selling remains the name of the game as a widespread negative tone continues to weigh on the proceedings... Treasurys, however, have remained strong amid a decline in consumer confidence and weakness in Asian markets... Last night, disappointing government reports in Japan raised concerns about an economic slowdown... A flight to quality among market participants has lifted bonds to their best levels of the day, as the 10-year note is now up 14 ticks to yield 4.58%... NYSE Adv/Dec 1199/2033, Nasdaq Adv/Dec 974/2037
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UpInArms Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-29-05 03:37 PM
Response to Reply #70
73. 3:36 EST numbers
Dow 10,414.20 -71.45 (-0.68%)
Nasdaq 1,974.28 -18.24 (-0.92%)
S&P 500 1,166.50 -7.78 (-0.66%)

10-Yr Bond 4.591 -0.33 (-0.71%)


NYSE Volume 1,881,374,000
Nasdaq Volume 1,540,455,000

Will the fairies come out and play today?

Will it end up under 10,400?

Stayed tuned to the bell rings for these and more answers :evilgrin:
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nolabels Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-29-05 03:57 PM
Response to Reply #73
75. I can't wait, all this good news in just one day?
:crazy:
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UpInArms Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-29-05 04:02 PM
Response to Reply #75
76. here are the numbers from 3:56 EST
Dow 10,398.38 -87.27 (-0.83%)
Nasdaq 1,969.10 -23.42 (-1.18%)
S&P 500 1,163.87 -10.41 (-0.89%)
10-Yr Bond 4.591 -0.33 (-0.71%)

NYSE Volume 2,076,739,000
Nasdaq Volume 1,706,907,00

but it is up above 10,400 at close :shrug:
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UpInArms Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-29-05 04:06 PM
Response to Reply #76
77. Dow dips below 10,400 for first time in 2 months
http://cbs.marketwatch.com/news/newsfinder/pulseone.asp?dateid=38440.666617419-833651249&siteID=mktw&scid=0&doctype=806&

NEW YORK (MarketWatch) -- The Dow industrials ($INDU) were last down 81 points to 10,404, bouncing slightly from its intraday low of 10,396.24. That was the first peek below 10,400 since Jan. 28. The last close below that level was Jan. 24, when the Dow closed at 10,368. The Dow has now lost 5.3 percent since reaching a 3 1/2-year high of 10,984 in intraday trading on Mar. 7.

Nasdaq now down 10% from its Jan. 3 high

http://cbs.marketwatch.com/news/newsfinder/pulseone.asp?dateid=38440.6634175926-833651178&siteID=mktw&scid=0&doctype=806&

NEW YORK (MarketWatch) -- The Nasdaq Composite ($COMPQ) was last down 23 points at 1,970. The index has now pulled back 10 percent since reaching a 3 1/2-year high of 2,191 in intraday trading on Jan. 3. It has also retraced 50 percent of the rally off the Aug. 13, 2004 intraday low of 1,750 to the Jan. 3 high.
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nolabels Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-29-05 04:23 PM
Response to Reply #76
79. That's some pretty big volume isn't it?
Could only imagine what was going on there.

I am just kind of wondering if the republicans are starting to run out of stories to tell. The joke they thought was funny about Dem's having no answers to fix S.S. sounds more like projection to me.

What seems to be really going on is that they had no plan on helping or working with America's businesses, just a lot of plans on how to get more graft and kickbacks from it.
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UpInArms Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-29-05 03:22 PM
Response to Original message
71. Crude, products close higher ahead of supply data
http://cbs.marketwatch.com/news/newsfinder/pulseone.asp?dateid=38440.6291749421-833650061&siteID=mktw&scid=0&doctype=806&property=symb&value=&categories=&

DALLAS (MarketWatch) -- Crude and its products closed higher Tuesday on the New York Mercantile Exchange, as OPEC's decision not to boost output outweighed expectations of a rise in U.S. crude supplies. May crude closed up 18 cents at $54.23 a barrel, May gasoline was up 0.03 cent to close at $1.573 a gallon, and May heating oil added 0.87 cent to close at $1.5563 a gallon.

disappointed because OPEC is not going to boost output for the third time in 10 days? sheesh!
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UpInArms Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-29-05 03:32 PM
Response to Original message
72. Hollinger Inc. Commences Action Against Ravelston And Black Entities And C
Hollinger Inc. Commences Action Against Ravelston And Black Entities And Certain Former Directors

http://home.businesswire.com/portal/site/google/index.jsp?ndmViewId=news_view&newsId=20050329005852&newsLang=en

TORONTO--(BUSINESS WIRE)--March 29, 2005--Hollinger Inc. (TSX:HLG.C)(TSX:HLG.PR.B) announced today that it has issued a Statement of Claim in the Ontario Superior Court of Justice to commence a legal action against The Ravelston Corporation Limited, Ravelston Management Inc., Moffatt Management Inc. and Black-Amiel Management Inc. as well as former directors and officers Conrad M. Black, F. David Radler, Jack A. Boultbee and Peter Y. Atkinson.



The Claims:

Claims made are for monetary damages from all defendants jointly and severally in the amount of $550 million as well as reimbursement of certain amounts owing to Hollinger by the Ravelston defendants in the amount of approximately $86 million plus accrued interest and costs.

The monetary damages include management fees and non-competition payments misappropriated to Ravelston and the individual defendants during a period since 1998, as well as reimbursement of fees and costs including those related to the current inspection by Ernst & Young Inc. and the now withdrawn going private transaction. Other bases of the claims include diversion of corporate opportunities, breach of fiduciary duties and oppression.

...more...


I feel a certain sadness that Richard Perle was not named in that suit :(
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RawMaterials Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-29-05 04:11 PM
Response to Original message
78. Closing Numbers and Blather
Edited on Tue Mar-29-05 04:38 PM by RawMaterials

Dow 10405.70 -79.95 (-0.76%)
Nasdaq 1973.88 -18.64 (-0.94%)
S&P 500 1165.36 -8.92 (-0.76%)


10-Yr Bond 4.591% -0.33

NYSE Volume 2,177,888,000
Nasdaq Volume 1,775,076,000



Close: The market opened slightly lower ahead of consumer confidence data but closed sharply lower amid worries related to even more influential economic data... While March consumer confidence fell to 102.4 (consensus 103.0), the decline was widely anticipated as gasoline prices have continued to climb... More notably, was the fact that a slew of more significant economic releases - with particular interest being placed on Thursday's Personal Income and Spending figures and Friday's non-farm payrolls data - were forthcoming...

Such uncertainty underpinned a sense of nervousness among market participants, amid ongoing inflation fears and higher oil prices, as all 10 economic sectors closed in negative territory... Even though crude oil futures only inched up 0.3%, to close at $54.23/bbl (+$0.18), the modest move higher was enough of an inflationary deterrent to erase modest intraday gains and keep buyers on the sidelines for good... Upbeat guidance from HCA Inc (HCA 52.00 +3.13) and Monsanto (MON 60.86 +0.76), coupled with steady oil prices early on and strength in Treasurys, prompted modest intraday buying interest...

And news that Hewlett-Packard (HPQ 20.35 +0.56) selected current NCR Corp (NCR 35.76 -2.14) chief executive Mark Hurd as its new CEO and that former American International Group (AIG 58.98 +1.96) CEO Maurice "Hank" Greenberg will step down as chairman, provided a boost to blue chips... But gains were short-lived as investors' reluctance to own equities ahead of upcoming data mounted and a bearish bias remained firmly intact... Treasurys, however, held onto early gains amid a decline in consumer confidence and weakness in Asian markets after disappointing government reports in Japan raised concerns about an economic slowdown...

The flight to quality lifted bonds to their best levels of the day, as the 10-year note finished up 13 ticks to yield 4.58%... Losses in excess of 1.0% were felt in Materials, Energy, Utility and Industrials while Consumer Discretionary and Consumer Staples were also influential economic sectors to the downside...

However, the upbeat news from AIG, HPQ and HCA helped minimize losses in Financial (-0.4%), Information Technology (-0.6%) and Health Care (-0.3%), respectively, while news that MCI Inc. (MCIP 23.68 +0.74) accepted a sweetened $7.6 bln offer from Verizon Communications (VZ 34.79 +0.07) also prevented further deterioration in Telecom Services (-0.5%)... Meanwhile, the dollar was mixed following consumer confidence data, as the greenback weakened against the euro (1.2921) but traded higher against the yen (107.52)...DJTA -1.8, DJUA -1.4, DOT -0.9, Nasdaq 100 -0.6, Russell 2000 -1.8, SOX -1.3, S&P Midcap 400 -1.1, XOI -0.9, NYSE Adv/Dec 1001/2295, Nasdaq Adv/Dec 793/2305

3:30PM : Indices continue to chalk up widespread losses ahead of Micron's quarterly earnings... Micron Technology (MU 52.55 -0.38), the only notable earnings report to hit the wires tonight, is expected to report Q2 (Feb) EPS of $0.14... Tomorrow, Best Buy (BBY 10.08 -0.09) will be the only S&P component reporting quarterly results, but investors will focus most of their attention on economic data for the remainder of the week... At 8:30 ET, investors will get a final read on Q4 GDP (consensus 4.0%) and chain deflator (consensus 2.1%)...NYSE Adv/Dec 1106/2172, Nasdaq Adv/Dec 904/2169

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ozymandius Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-29-05 04:40 PM
Response to Reply #78
80. Yikes! I step out for a couple of hours -and- just look at this mess.
When I get home, I am going to call my Repukelickin' Senators and demand that Social Security needs to enjoy the same kind of success as the Dow.

Ahem.

If the past two weeks are not enough to blow a hole in Bush's SS broadside...
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RawMaterials Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-29-05 04:47 PM
Response to Reply #80
81. Its almost funny the slow slide that no one is
talking about. I mean we are on the verge of going under 10400, I thought that 10600 was supposed to be the resistance.
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ozymandius Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-29-05 04:52 PM
Response to Reply #81
82. 10600 was the break point for the Dow.
I'll bet this get a mention in tomorrow's WrapUp.
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