Predicted Iraqi Election Outcome - Democratic Underground

ECH1969

(1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore

Tue Dec-13-05 03:49 PM
Original message

Predicted Iraqi Election Outcome

So this is how the Iraqi election on Thursday might turn out. Two opinion polls this week suggest when the votes are counted, the results will look something like:

Shiite Islamic Coalition: 30 to 35 percent

Ayad Allawi (secular nationalist slate): 20 percent

Kurdish parties: 16 percent

Sunni Parties: 16 percent

The game to watch: How will the government be formed? The slates will have to create a two-thirds majority to forge a government...but how will they do it? Watch Allawi try to split the Shiite coalition and break away some of the moderates.

http://onthescene.msnbc.com/baghdad/2005/12/predicted_elect.html

Printer Friendly | Permalink | | Top

BobBoudelangFan69

(171 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore

Tue Dec-13-05 03:50 PM
Response to Original message

1. 181818181

Printer Friendly | Permalink | | Top

earthside

(1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore

Tue Dec-13-05 03:54 PM
Response to Original message

2. The War is Over: Iran Won n/t

Printer Friendly | Permalink | | Top

bluestateguy

(1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore

Tue Dec-13-05 04:00 PM
Response to Original message

3. Our troops died to make Iraq...

Iran Jr.

That's what they died for. Now, if the people of Iraq really truly want that, then we have to accept that decison, but I'll be damned if one drop of American blood should be shed for that outcome.

I would have heartily supported the Iraqis if they elected to overthrow Saddam, even through a bloddy coup, but as he is not a threat to the US, it's their problem, not ours.

Printer Friendly | Permalink | | Top

enigma000

(1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore

Tue Dec-13-05 04:28 PM
Response to Original message

4. two-thirds majority rule still in effect?

I did not know that. Sure it forces compromise and pragmatism but, damn, by the time the horse trading is done, the Iraqis won't be swearing in their new government until April.

I figure a government of:
Allawi's Iraqi National List + Kurdistan Alliance + Sunni parties + Chalabi's National Congress.

Perhaps the SCIRI won't join the government but it may vote to install it. Even if SCIRI does put a coalition together, I doubt Jaafari will remain as PM - he's been less than effective.

Printer Friendly | Permalink | | Top

DU AdBot (1000+ posts)

Thu Apr 25th 2024, 08:59 AM
Response to Original message

Advertisements [?]

Top

Powered by DCForum+ Version 1.1 Copyright 1997-2002 DCScripts.com
Software has been extensively modified by the DU administrators

Important Notices: By participating on this discussion board, visitors agree to abide by the rules outlined on our Rules page. Messages posted on the Democratic Underground Discussion Forums are the opinions of the individuals who post them, and do not necessarily represent the opinions of Democratic Underground, LLC.