Rangel: Vote recount in Mexico might mitigate mistrust
Enrique Rangel, SPECIAL CONTRIBUTOR
Thursday, July 27, 2006
~snip~
Is López Obrador loco because he demands a full vote recount? That's what his opponents would like everyone to believe. Yet, though the recount would be long and cumbersome, I wouldn't be surprised if the Tribunal agrees with him.
Here's why.
The election was so close that if the seven-member panel declares Calderón the winner without a full recount, he will have a tough time governing.
López Obrador is no Al Gore who, while disagreeing with the U.S. Supreme Court decision to stop a full recount in Florida in the 2000 election, abided by the high court's ruling that, in essence, awarded the White House to George W. Bush. No, López Obrador will raise hell if the tribunal votes against the recount. And, as all of Mexico was reminded on July 16 when an estimated 1 million PRD loyalists protested the election results, he knows how to mobilize the masses.
López Obrador has warned that if there is no full recount, there will be a series of massive acts of civil disobedience, even after Calderón is sworn in. Although I doubt the protests would have a major impact in the long run, the perredistas (as PRD members are called) could make life difficult for Calderón where it matters most — in Congress.
Although, at least for the next three years, Calderón's PAN will control 35 percent of the seats in both chambers of Congress, the PRD will control 30 percent. Through alliances with smaller parties, particularly with the once-mighty Institutional Revolutionary Party, or PRI — which has not forgiven the PAN and President Vicente Fox for ending its 71-year rule in the 2000 election — the perredistas could easily derail Calderon's legislative agenda. That's what the PRI did to Fox until this year when the party was the largest in Congress. That also explains why about 3 million Mexicans have migrated to the United States, mostly illegally, during Fox's tenure.
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http://www.statesman.com/opinion/content/editorial/stories/07/27rangel_edit.html