Mercosur's version... They're predicting that the left wing coalition could finally in 2004, make it to the presidency in the first round.
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...The long debated bill that began in 2001 and was jointly drafted by all parties in Parliament, but later only approved by the ruling coalition, was recalled appealing to the referendum mechanism contemplated in the Uruguayan Constitution with the valid signatures of 10% of the electorate.
The year long signature collection mechanism however rapidly turned the referendum into a confidence vote for the government when it coincided with one of the worst financial crises in Uruguay’s history following the collapse of neighbouring Argentina’s economy.
Several banks failed, foreign currency deposits were frozen, the economy contracted over 10% in 2002 after four years of recession, unemployment rocketed, emigration to Europe and United States ballooned and the general mood of the country turned particularly sour.
Eclectic President Jorge Batlle’s (“route-less George”) support plummeted to a mere 14% and ongoing scandals related to the banking crisis confirmed that a majority of Uruguayans didn’t even bother to read the 18 articles of the bill and were determined to punish the government for repeated failings.
http://www.falkland-malvinas.com/Detalle.asp?NUM=2961