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Strike on Iran Would Roil Oil Markets, Experts Say

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RamboLiberal Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Oct-26-07 12:31 AM
Original message
Strike on Iran Would Roil Oil Markets, Experts Say
Source: Washington Post

A U.S. military strike against Iran would have dire consequences in petroleum markets, say a variety of oil industry experts, many of whom think the prospect of pandemonium in those markets makes U.S. military action unlikely despite escalating economic sanctions imposed by the Bush administration.

The small amount of excess oil production capacity worldwide would provide an insufficient cushion if armed conflict disrupted supplies, oil experts say, and petroleum prices would skyrocket. Moreover, a wounded or angry Iran could easily retaliate against oil facilities from southern Iraq to the Strait of Hormuz.

Oil prices closed at a record $90.46 a barrel in New York yesterday as the Bush administration tightened U.S. financial sanctions on Iran over its alleged support for terrorism and issued new warnings about Tehran's nuclear program. Tension between Turkey and Kurds in northern Iraq, and fresh doubts about OPEC output levels also helped drive the price of oil up $3.36 a barrel, or 3.8 percent.

Although the Bush administration is not openly threatening a military strike against Iran, the president recently spoke of needing to avoid "World War III," and Vice President Cheney said that the United States would "not stand by" while Iran continued its nuclear program. "We will not allow Iran to have a nuclear weapon," he said.



Read more: http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2007/10/25/AR2007102502840.html?hpid=topnews



Bush, Cheney and the neocons don't give a sh*t!
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bhikkhu Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Oct-26-07 12:58 AM
Response to Original message
1. it hardly takes an expert....n/t
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hvn_nbr_2 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Oct-26-07 01:57 AM
Response to Original message
2. I'm tempted to say...
In other news, the sun rose in the morning today.

But these dimwits in charge are probably either too stupid to realize it or else they're salivating at the profits for Big Oil.
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Trajan Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Oct-26-07 03:07 AM
Response to Reply #2
3. A critical mass will be reached ....
Where profits will evaporate as the rest of the economy sinks into the swamp ....
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truthisfreedom Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Oct-26-07 04:12 AM
Response to Original message
4. BUSH DRAINS AMERICA.
period.
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Algorem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Oct-26-07 04:39 AM
Response to Original message
5. will suck paying $6 a gallon and driving in nuclear winter weather
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Andy Canuck Donating Member (234 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Oct-26-07 07:19 AM
Response to Reply #5
7. Yeah, I hate nuclear winter, it's not just the cold,
but the blisters, lack of hair and organ failure that really gets to me.
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Algorem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-27-07 11:13 AM
Response to Reply #7
9. it's rough on the tires,wind shield wipers,etc.All that other shit can
Edited on Sat Oct-27-07 11:16 AM by Algorem
be relieved with alcohol and a really dark comical outlook.and the occasional game of russian roulette.
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annabanana Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Oct-26-07 05:40 AM
Response to Original message
6. The REAL question is.. "Who would be the winners, who would lose?"
If the oil markets are juggling on a tightrope.. the juggler who set the nets underneath gets all the balls when they fall off.

Who would win in the disruption? (I have my guesses)
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annabanana Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Oct-26-07 07:33 AM
Response to Original message
8. kick. . . .n/t
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robertpaulsen Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-27-07 12:19 PM
Response to Original message
10. Oh, they DO give a sh*t.
About their friends in the oil industry, not the little people.
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tom_paine Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-27-07 12:29 PM
Response to Original message
11. I believe the Bushies consider this a beneficial side-effect
It may kick Exxon-Mobil profits into the stratosphere of being a larger economy than 3/4s of the world's nations, if it isn't already. (on to 4/5ths, then!)
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DrDebug Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-27-07 01:56 PM
Response to Reply #11
13. If you add the 6 oil majors, you are already talking about #8
Edited on Sat Oct-27-07 01:57 PM by DrDebug
And these are the 2006 figures. That is before the oil price surge...


Revenue of the 6 biggest oil companies in Billions (2006 figures)

Exxon-Mobil $377 B
Shell $319 B
BP $274 B
Total $215 B
Chevron $204 B
ConocoPhillips $189 B
---- +
The Oil 6 $1,578 B

So that's 1.6 trillion a year and according to the GDP list, it'll put them between Italy and Canada

GDP list:

7 Italy 1,852,585M
8 Canada 1,269,096M

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_GDP_(nominal)



Maybe we should invite them to the G8... or are they there already?
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wordpix Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-27-07 01:11 PM
Response to Original message
12. as long as BigOil keeps profiteering, BushCo will go for it
If Big Oil were to say, "Whoa, there, stop!" Bushies would have to reconsider. Puppetmasters rule.

Does Saudi Arabia support a strike on Iran? They're Sunni, Iran is Shiia so my guess is yes.
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bemildred Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-27-07 06:08 PM
Response to Original message
14. Damn! No shit! The price of gas might go up? nt
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