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U.S. Is Looking Past Musharraf in Case He Falls

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robertpaulsen Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-15-07 12:48 PM
Original message
U.S. Is Looking Past Musharraf in Case He Falls
Source: New York Times

WASHINGTON, Nov. 14 — Almost two weeks into Pakistan’s political crisis, Bush administration officials are losing faith that the Pakistani president, Gen. Pervez Musharraf, can survive in office and have begun discussing what might come next, according to senior administration officials.

In meetings on Wednesday, officials at the White House, State Department and the Pentagon huddled to decide what message Deputy Secretary of State John D. Negroponte would deliver to General Musharraf — and perhaps more important, to Pakistan’s generals — when he arrives in Islamabad on Friday.

Administration officials say they still hope that Mr. Negroponte can salvage the fractured arranged marriage between General Musharraf and former Prime Minister Benazir Bhutto. But in Pakistan, foreign diplomats and aides to both leaders said the chances of a deal between the leaders were evaporating 11 days after General Musharraf declared de facto martial law.

Several senior administration officials said that with each day that passed, more administration officials were coming around to the belief that General Musharraf’s days in power were numbered and that the United States should begin considering contingency plans, including reaching out to Pakistan’s generals.

Read more: http://www.nytimes.com/2007/11/15/washington/15policy.html?_r=2&ei=5088&en=418af5268b8b40c2&ex=1352782800&oref=slogin&partner=rssnyt&emc=rss&pagewanted=print&oref=slogin



Out of the frying pan and into the fire?
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seemslikeadream Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-15-07 12:49 PM
Response to Original message
1. Condi??
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robertpaulsen Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-15-07 12:54 PM
Response to Reply #1
2. At the behest of her husb... I mean, the Pretzeldent?
I mean, it's not like they've got friends in ISI who can help out, right?
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MidwestTransplant Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-15-07 01:07 PM
Response to Original message
3. Good, only about 2 years too late. They lacked a Pakistan policy. They had a Mushy policy only.
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robertpaulsen Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-15-07 02:37 PM
Response to Reply #3
4. I get scared whenever "they" try to push their agenda on other countries.
That's what I meant by my frying pan into fire remark. Great track record they've got with regime change.
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Supersedeas Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-15-07 02:57 PM
Response to Original message
5. Paging the self-described Sovietologist -- Dr. Condi...is there a competent doctor in the State Dept
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Sam Ervin jret Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-15-07 03:02 PM
Response to Reply #5
6. What will they pull out of their "bag of dirty tricks" to mess thing up more this time?
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Hand Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-15-07 03:07 PM
Response to Original message
7. Musharraf=Ngo Dinh Diem with nukes. nt
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Javaman Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-15-07 03:36 PM
Response to Original message
8. This is all about nukes, oil and money...
Edited on Thu Nov-15-07 03:37 PM by Javaman
mr. marshall law is upsetting the "finally crafted" neocon plan for taking over the universe. His body will be thrown under the bus soon enough. No doubt they are already cutting deals with bhutto.

gotta have that pipeline. Remember that?

crazies getting their hands on nukes, a shut down of the oil pipeline project and no one making money off pakistan.

The people in Pakistan have spoken and are tired of this asshole, plain and simple.

I only wish the sheep in this country would wake the fuck up as well and give moron* a shit scared freight of his own. But alas, we will just keep eating our grass while the wolf continues to gnaw away our legs from under us.
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robertpaulsen Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-15-07 05:38 PM
Response to Reply #8
9. Should n't be too hard to cut a deal after buying off their military.
Sounds like that's what's happening:


U.S. Aid to Musharraf is Largely Untraceable Cash Transfers
By Spencer Ackerman - November 7, 2007, 5:05PM

After Pervez Musharraf declared martial law this weekend, Condoleezza Rice vowed to review U.S. assistance to Pakistan, one of the largest foreign recipients of American aid. Musharraf, of course, has been a crucial American ally since the start of the Afghanistan war in 2001, and the U.S. has rewarded him ever since with over $10 billion in civilian and (mostly) military largesse. But, perhaps unsure whether Musharraf's days might in fact be numbered, Rice contended that the explosion of money to Islamabad over the past seven years was "not to Musharraf, but to a Pakistan you could argue was making significant strides on a number of fronts."

In fact, however, a considerable amount of the money the U.S. gives to Pakistan is administered not through U.S. agencies or joint U.S.-Pakistani programs. Instead, the U.S. gives Musharraf's government about $200 million annually and his military $100 million monthly in the form of direct cash transfers. Once that money leaves the U.S. Treasury, Musharraf can do with it whatever he wants. He needs only promise in a secret annual meeting that he'll use it to invest in the Pakistani people. And whatever happens as the result of Rice's review, few Pakistan watchers expect the cash transfers to end.

About $10.58 billion has gone to Pakistan since 9/11. That puts Pakistan in an elite category of U.S. foreign-aid recipients: only Israel, Egypt and Jordan get more or comparable U.S. funding. (That's only in the unclassified budget: the covert-operations budget surely includes millions more, according to knowledgeable observers.) While Israel and Egypt get more money, Pakistan and Jordan are the only countries that get U.S. cash from four major funding streams: development assistance, security assistance, "budget support" and Coalition Support Funds. Pakistan, however, gets most of its U.S. assistance from Coalition Support Funds and from budget support. And it's those two funding streams that have minimal accountability at best.

The "budget support" package is the lion's share of U.S. economic assistance to Pakistan -- and it's not spent in conjunction with any U.S. agency. "It's a cash transfer," says Lisa Curtis, a South Asia analyst at the Heritage Foundation who used to work on the South Asia desk at the State Department and for Sen. Richard Lugar (R-ID). "That goes directly to the Pakistani treasury." It totalled around $200 million each year until earlier this year, when Rep. John Tierney (D-MA) plucked $75 million of out of it and put it in an education fund for USAID to administer. In theory, budget support is supposed to free up the treasuries of the four countries that receive it for investing in their national infrastructure. But in practice, recipients can do with it whatever they like. "The notion is it gives them greater flexibility on how to use the money," explains Craig Cohen, vice president of the Center for Strategic and International Studies. "The trade-off is accountability."


http://www.tpmmuckraker.com/archives/004658.php
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Javaman Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-15-07 06:32 PM
Response to Reply #9
10. So all Musharraf needs to is cough up some bogus receipts yearly and he's golden.
nice work if you can get it, huh? LOL
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ellisonz Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-16-07 11:55 PM
Response to Original message
11. Fire burns.
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