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Obama catches Clinton, McCain on top in N.H.(McClatchy/MSNBC poll)

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maddezmom Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jan-06-08 09:22 AM
Original message
Obama catches Clinton, McCain on top in N.H.(McClatchy/MSNBC poll)
Source: McClatchy


MERRIMACK, N.H. — Riding an Iowa crest, Illinois Sen. Barack Obama has caught New York Sen. Hillary Clinton in the Democratic race for the New Hampshire primary, while Arizona Sen. John McCain maintains a solid lead in the Republican contest, according to a new McClatchy-MSNBC poll.

Obama now leads Clinton by a margin of 33-31 percent, thanks to an apparent surge of support the night after he won the Iowa caucuses. Given the poll's margin of error, the numbers amount to a statistical tie. But that still marks a gain for Obama, who has trailed Clinton in New Hampshire for months.

On the Republican side, McCain led the field by 32-24 percent over former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney. There, it was McCain who got a bounce, not Iowa winner Mike Huckabee, the former governor of Arkansas who still trails in third place and appeared to get no immediate traction from Iowa.

The new poll is hardly a prediction. If anything, it revealed an electorate in New Hampshire still very much up for grabs.

Its three nights of interviews straddled the Iowa results - before, during and after - and could have recorded merely a blip for Obama or the start of a wave. It also came before potentially pivotal debates in New Hampshire Saturday night and Sunday that could swing the Tuesday vote in any direction.



Read more: http://www.centredaily.com/news/politics/story/312537.html
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9119495 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jan-06-08 10:31 AM
Response to Original message
1. I think part of the surprise of Obama in Iowa was
that young voters without landlines showed up for Obama. Will this happen in NH too?
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creeksneakers2 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jan-06-08 02:05 PM
Response to Reply #1
2. I don't see why not
New Hampshire has a ton of independents too. The demographics are very much in Obama's favor.
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IndianaGreen Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jan-06-08 02:08 PM
Response to Reply #1
3. I don't want pollsters to get access to cell phones, but this certainly a factor...
to consider when viewing polls. I wonder if only older voters, the ones that rely exclusively on land lines, are the ones being polled today. How does this skew the results?
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maseman Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jan-06-08 02:22 PM
Response to Reply #3
4. Pollsters have access to cell phones
and they have the legal right to call them. Problem is it is expensive, much more so, to call cell phones and to include into the sample.
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maseman Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jan-06-08 02:24 PM
Response to Reply #1
5. So what happens now?
Huckabee won big in Iowa and let's say McInsane wins big in NH, what is it it for Romney? We all know he will NOT win SC. (OK, so he has Wyoming.) I think if Romney looses NH he's done for. But then what? McInsane or Fuckabee? I think McCain would end up being the nominee and then we will certainly win the POTUS 08.
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surfermaw Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jan-06-08 02:36 PM
Response to Reply #5
6. Unless Edwards stays in and win..he can defeat McCain
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