'Deal agreed' on Lebanon crisis - Democratic Underground

Eugene

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Wed May-21-08 03:36 AM
Original message

'Deal agreed' on Lebanon crisis

Source: BBC News

Page last updated at 07:49 GMT, Wednesday, 21 May 2008 08:49 UK

'Deal agreed' on Lebanon crisis

A deal seen as key to avoiding civil war in Lebanon
been reached at talks in Qatar, delegates from both
sides say.

The BBC's Jim Muir says it seems the opposition have
won their demand for enough seats in a new cabinet
to give it the power of veto.

Arab states have being mediating between the Western-
backed government and the Hezbollah-led opposition.

The 18-month deadlock has caused paralysis to
Lebanon's deeply divided sectarian politics, and
bloody clashes.

-snip-

Read more: http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/middle_east/7411835.stm

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bahrbearian

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Wed May-21-08 03:47 AM
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1. Sounds a little like Appeasement.

"Marwan Hamadeh MP said the "agreement forbids internal use of weapons ... and calls for dialog ... on the whole subject of arms".

Hezbollah has been refusing to give up any of its military capability, arguing that it is essential in the struggle against Lebanon's southern neighbor Israel."

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Igel

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Wed May-21-08 02:24 PM
Response to Reply #1

3. It is.

It's a marginally face-saving way of losing, but there's no evidence that Saniora wasn't essentially routed.

Long live Hezbistan! Long live Nasrallah! Three cheers for Iran!

Now, the previous system wasn't fair, in any even-handed sense of the word. But the new system won't be, either. The ideologues have their goals, and those are the most important thing; ideologues should never be allowed in power.

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ohio2007

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Wed May-21-08 06:20 AM
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2. Given a disproportionate share to gain the power of veto guarantees status quo

Edited on Wed May-21-08 06:22 AM by ohio2007

Lays the plans for atrophy if unforeseen future events call for serious discussions.

Wonder who they will find as a suitable leader to fill the long overdue vacancy at the top ?

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ohio2007

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Wed May-21-08 02:57 PM
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4. the issue of disarming all Lebanese militia, including Hizbollah, was postponed.

Hizbollah's Lebanon veto power boosts Iran's Middle East influence

Iran's influence across the Middle East was strengthened today when its close ally, Hizbollah, greatly increased its political power in Lebanon by winning a veto over all government decisions.
.....
The concession to the radical Shia group, agreed after a week of crisis talks hosted by Qatar under the auspices of the Arab League, opens the way to an end to a crisis

.....
Crucially, under the deal announced in the Qatari capital of Doha the issue of disarming all Lebanese militia, including Hizbollah, was postponed.

Until armed groups like Hizbollah lose their military might and thereby entrench the Lebanese army as the solitary guarantor of power in the country, the threat of violence and chaos in Lebanon remains a real one.

snip

Saad Hariri, leader of the parliamentary majority, announced in Doha: “We made this agreement, although we are deeply wounded.

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2001235/Hizbollah's-Lebanon-veto-power-boosts-Iran's-Middle-East-influence.html

deeply wounded?
Yeah, well Hariri, get ready for a surge in voter registration ;

Operation in Sadr City Is an Iraqi Success, So Far

snip
American military officials cited reports that Mahdi Army and Iranian-backed commanders were sneaking out of Sadr City and perhaps even Iraq. People close to Mahdi leaders in Sadr City said they knew some who were leaving for Lebanon by way of Iran.

“We have seen a lot of indications that some of the senior leaders within JAM and the special groups are preparing to leave or have already left Sadr City,” Colonel Hort said last week, referring to Jaysh al Mahdi, as the Mahdi Army is known, and the Iranian-backed militias the military refers to as special groups

.

Iran, according to some Western analysts, was also focusing on developments in Lebanon, where it has been supporting the militant group Hezbollah, and seemed interested in an arrangement in which the groups it backed in Sadr City would withdraw to fight another day.

snip
http://www.nytimes.com/2008/05/21/world/middleeast/21sadr.html?_r=2&partner=rssnyt&emc=rss&oref=slogin&oref=slogin

well,
don't let that knee jerk reaction hit you in the chin if observations reports made by UNIFIL start to connect the dots.

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