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Rate of new HIV infections worse (40% higher) than thought, U.S. officials say

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Newsjock Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Aug-02-08 12:58 PM
Original message
Rate of new HIV infections worse (40% higher) than thought, U.S. officials say
Edited on Sat Aug-02-08 01:08 PM by Newsjock
Source: Associated Press

The number of Americans infected by the virus that causes AIDS each year is much higher than the government previously estimated, U.S. health officials said Saturday, acknowledging that they had understated the level of the epidemic.

The United States is now thought to have had roughly 56,300 new HIV infections in 2006, a dramatic increase from the 40,000-a-year estimate used for the last dozen years. The new figure is because of a better blood test and new statistical methods, and not a worsening of the epidemic, officials said.

... The revised figure from the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and the methodology behind it were to be presented Sunday, the opening day of an international AIDS conference in Mexico City.

Read more: http://www.cbc.ca/world/story/2008/08/02/aids-statistics.html



Much longer story from Reuters here:
http://www.reuters.com/article/newsOne/idUSN0241418020080802?sp=true
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azurnoir Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Aug-02-08 01:09 PM
Response to Original message
1. Gosh I guess those
little silver rings don't work as well they thought.
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Warpy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Aug-02-08 01:35 PM
Response to Original message
2. So much for "abstinence only" education
No matter how much they preach, people are going to fuck.

It's going to be a real hoot to see them act surprised about this.

Unfortunately, it is not a hoot to the people who have gotten infected through the ignorance of prevention these sanctimonious cretins have been pushing for so many critical years.

We have to get these people out of our government. All of them. Forever.

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Ian David Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Aug-02-08 02:19 PM
Response to Original message
3. What we need is a really, REALLY big PURITY BALL for all of us! n/t
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pinto Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Aug-02-08 02:28 PM
Response to Original message
4. A number of factors at play here, I think. For a long time # of new infections annually
Edited on Sat Aug-02-08 02:29 PM by pinto
was a "guesstimate" extrapolated from # of AIDS cases. Better data gathering and analysis has been instituted since '96. It's probably been at that incidence level for a while.

People working in prevention have been frustrated with the static 40,000 (now 56,000?) barrier, despite some innovative work (abstinence only stuff aside.) And with the estimate that 25% of Americans infected don't know it and don't test. They find out, sadly, when something happens and they go to an ER or their doc. It's an Oh shit moment, for many. They've been infected for a while at that point.

There are fewer "boots on the ground' than in the early days of the epidemic, especially among communities of color, monolingual Spanish speaking communities, transient communities. It's changing, but it's a catch up game at this point. Level funding or funding cuts have hampered new programs, new approaches. "AIDS fatigue" may be a part of this as well, especially after the advent of multi-drug cocktails in '96.

It'll be interesting to hear what the CDC has to say in its full report tomorrow.

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Sailing Donating Member (196 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Aug-02-08 04:21 PM
Response to Original message
5. After reading the Reuters story, something is BS here
"More than 28,000 of the new infections are among men who have sex with men, the new estimates show. Close to 17,000 are among heterosexuals -- and 15,000 of these are women."

So only 2,000 of them were heterosexual men???

BULLSHIT. This Dr. Kevin Fenton must be another Bush appointee. It's obvious what he is trying to imply here.
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Zuiderelle Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Aug-02-08 04:33 PM
Response to Reply #5
7. Why would that be surprising? Heterosexual men are not as at risk as women or gay men.
It's a simple fact. It's people who have sex with men who are most at risk.
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Lorien Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Aug-02-08 06:07 PM
Response to Reply #5
12. Those 2,000 guys infected 15,000 women?
of course, that's not how it works, but I would think that it would be closer to 50/ 50 among the heterosexuals.
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alcibiades_mystery Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-03-08 07:40 AM
Response to Reply #12
19. That's not what it says at all
And yes, men have less probability of contracting HIV from vaginal intercourse than do women. It's simple biology. But there is no necessary connection between the 2,000 number and the 15,000 number.
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napoleon_in_rags Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Aug-02-08 11:26 PM
Response to Reply #5
14. The penis doesn't absorb much fluid into the bloodstream during intercourse.
While a woman, or recipient of anal sex, takes a great deal of fluid into the body and keeps it there from ejaculation. Its just simple probability. Also check out the fact that circumcised men get it less, possibly because thicker skin on penis head or more exposure of the virus to air.
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girl gone mad Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-03-08 12:35 AM
Response to Reply #5
15. Some of those men probably lied..
about their possible means of transmission. The risk of F to M transmission is extremely low. I knew a couple of IV users who claimed to have contracted the virus from heterosexual encounters because they did not want to deal with the added stigma.
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Imagevision Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Aug-02-08 04:21 PM
Response to Original message
6. After 9-11 I don't believe anything the "officials" say...
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kimmerspixelated Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Aug-02-08 05:08 PM
Response to Reply #6
9. Exactly, and I'm
particularly suspect of any official word about viruses, because the vaccine industry makes an enormous amount of moolah, when they get the fear tactic in place, so that they can prep us for the new mandatory HIV vaccine they'll probably come up with!
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whistle Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Aug-02-08 04:34 PM
Response to Original message
8. Does this mean under Bush's watch from 2001 to the present some 450,000 new HIV cases
...have ocurred?
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aquart Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Aug-02-08 05:42 PM
Response to Original message
10. Because they've been pushing the idiocy of "manageable disease."
I've heard it compared to diabetes which also kills Americans.

But people have lost their terror of being infected by it. Hope that new breakthrough is up and running faster than we can produce blase idiots.
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Fly by night Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Aug-02-08 05:43 PM
Response to Original message
11. As someone who did HIV seroprevalence research in the 80s (in TN and at CDC),
Edited on Sat Aug-02-08 05:43 PM by Fly by night
... I would recommend not believing anything coming out now from CDC. As hard (and painful) as it is to believe, CDC has been as intellectually corrupted as every other federal agency now covered with the monkey-shit that the Chimpster slings.

BTW, the CDC estimate for the total number of HIV infections in the US has remained basically unchanged since 1987 (which shows how wrong their initial estimates were back then).

Having said that (and in the words of a great HIV prevention poster from that same time period),
"If you can't keep it zipped, ... keep it covered."
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brentspeak Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Aug-02-08 07:19 PM
Response to Original message
13. A lot of people who apparently have little regard for their own (or other's) health and future
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flashl Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-03-08 06:37 AM
Response to Reply #13
17. What about folks in jails or prisons who did not have a 'right' to be free from disease or rape? nt
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alcibiades_mystery Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-03-08 07:41 AM
Response to Reply #17
20. Don't bring that up...the DU Punishment Brigade PROMOTES prison rape
for all manner of offenders.
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xchrom Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-03-08 01:16 AM
Response to Original message
16. get a CURE -- a VACCINE already.
it's DOABLE -- get it done.

as long as human beings fuck -- this virus is going to reek havoc.

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flashl Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-03-08 07:16 AM
Response to Original message
18. The U.S. nor CDC when called upon will address the epidemic emerging from jails and prisons
There is no doubt that the U.S. IS the prison capital.

Many individuals contract life-threatening contagious diseases while in jail or prison who do not have "access" to healthcare.

It is widely known that the diseases in prisons are spreading to outside communities and becoming epidemics affecting the general population. No one cares about correctional healthcare, but the diseases within correctional institutions emerge in communities from prison administrators, staff, guards, and inmates.

Healthcare in the U.S. is the modern holocaust operating in plain view that is widely accepted as just an "access" problem.
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crimsonblue Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-03-08 08:45 PM
Response to Original message
21. Big Brother at LAST
You see, it's actually GOOD that we have more HIV cases, NOT bad. Telling everything as a positive--- fucking unbelievable.
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