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steven johnson Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-08-09 02:40 PM
Original message
US banker sees 10% jobless rate
Edited on Wed Apr-08-09 03:21 PM by steven johnson
Source: BBC

A top US central banker has said that the unemployment rate in the country could jump above 10% this year.

Richard Fisher, a member of the Federal Reserve's interest-rate setting committee, said the central bank would use "every tool" to fix the economy.

The jobless rate rose to 8.5% in March, while 5.1 million jobs have been lost since the US recession began in December 2007.
A US unemployment rate of 10% would be the highest since June 1983.

'Mess'
The total number of unemployed people stood at 13.2 million in March, according to figures from the Department of Labor last week.

"I expect the unemployment rate to continue rising to a level that could surpass 10 percent by year-end," he added.



Read more: http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/business/7989298.stm





Federal Reserve policy-makers agreed at their March 17-18 meeting that "substantial additional purchases" of a range of longer-term assets was appropriate to deal with a steep drop in economic activity across all sectors, minutes of the meeting showed on Wednesday.

"Credit conditions remained very tight, and financial markets remained fragile and unsettled, with pressures on financial institutions generally intensifying this year," the central bank said in the minutes.

The Fed said staff for the Federal Open Market Committee lowered projections for U.S. real gross domestic product in the second half of 2009 and 2010, but the minutes did not offer any revised figures.
Reflecting steep job losses across nearly all sectors and contracting industrial production, the Fed said the revisions showed real GDP flattening out gradually over the second half of 2009 and then expanding "slowly next year as the stresses in financial markets ease, the effects of fiscal stimulus take hold, inventory adjustments are worked through and the correction in housing activity comes to an end."

At the conclusion of the March 17-18 meeting, the Fed announced plans to buy up to $300 billion of longer-term U.S. Treasury securities and an additional $850 billion of agency mortgage debt to ease a deepening U.S. recession.

http://www.reuters.com/article/newsOne/idUSTRE5377PR20090408


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bluestateguy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-08-09 02:47 PM
Response to Original message
1. It's time for the government to consider a mandatory freeze on all layoffs
nt
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Mr. Hyde Donating Member (314 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-08-09 03:04 PM
Response to Reply #1
2. it's time for the government to keep it's hands off of the economy.
nt
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La Lioness Priyanka Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-08-09 03:05 PM
Response to Reply #2
3. yeah. cos deregulation worked so well the last time around. nt
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Mr. Hyde Donating Member (314 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-08-09 03:10 PM
Response to Reply #3
4. Are you better off than you were four years ago?
And before you start, I voted straight ticket democrat in 2006 and 2008.
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La Lioness Priyanka Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-08-09 03:22 PM
Response to Reply #4
7. how is my personal well being related to regulation vs deregulation?
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Betty Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-08-09 03:35 PM
Response to Reply #4
8. Personally I am way worse off
and I do blame the deregulation for at least some of the shitstorm we are suffering through.
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La Lioness Priyanka Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-08-09 03:37 PM
Response to Reply #8
9. as do most economists. nt
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Mr. Hyde Donating Member (314 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-08-09 05:48 PM
Response to Reply #8
12. I'm actually better off now than I ever was but my situation is somewhat atypical
most all of the people I know are worse off today than they were 4 years ago though. Their houses are worth 20% less, many are unemployed or have spouses who are unemployed or both, their 401Ks and IRAs are worth 30%-40% less than they were 4 years ago, etc. Foreclosure notices are still way more common than they were four years ago too.
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sythe200 Donating Member (32 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-08-09 04:10 PM
Response to Reply #3
11. The government needs to get rid of the central bank. The central bank creates bubbles by inflating
the currency and sets us up for the bust. Get rid of the federal reserve and we can have some restoration of sanity to the economy. All that predatory lending wouldn't have happened if the Fed hadn't printed so much money and made interest rates so low.
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Mr. Hyde Donating Member (314 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-08-09 05:51 PM
Response to Reply #11
13. and replace it with what?
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aquart Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Apr-09-09 04:56 AM
Response to Reply #2
18. Honey, you're lost.
So very, very lost.
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twitomy Donating Member (756 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-08-09 04:01 PM
Response to Reply #1
10. Yeah that'll work...
until the paychecks bounce..:eyes:
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fujiyama Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Apr-09-09 07:27 PM
Response to Reply #1
23. How the hell can the government do that?
If companies aren't making money, they can't make payroll, hence no one is getting paid.
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Dappleganger Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Apr-11-09 05:13 PM
Response to Reply #1
26. Because going out of business is SO much better for employees!
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riverdeep Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Apr-12-09 03:08 AM
Response to Reply #1
28. The government declaring a freeze isn't going to change the fundamental
situation-not enough jobs. All that will happen (if you could even enforce something like that) is American companies won't be able to compete with those in nations that are allowed to use measures like layoffs to compete, sinking them permanently.
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mainegreen Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-08-09 03:11 PM
Response to Original message
5. It's already over 10%. n/t
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Mr. Hyde Donating Member (314 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-08-09 03:20 PM
Response to Reply #5
6. U6 tells the whole story: 15.6% unemployment+underemployment in march 2009
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DollyM Donating Member (837 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-08-09 07:16 PM
Response to Reply #6
14. It's already close to 13 percent here . . .
Edited on Wed Apr-08-09 07:16 PM by DollyM
Our county is close to 13 percent and my husband and I are both part of that group. Too many people for too few job openings. It is just brutal out there. My husband has had many interviews but we are at the point of just not looking anymore because we can't afford to spend gas on driving to interviews out of the area. Thank God for family that has been willing to help out until things get better.
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Mr. Hyde Donating Member (314 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-08-09 10:33 PM
Response to Reply #14
17. U1 is over 10% in my neck of the woods too. Ohio is/was very dependent on the auto industry.
Now cap and trade is going to come along and really fuck us up.
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cabluedem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Apr-09-09 07:47 AM
Response to Reply #14
19. Until things get better when? And how will they get better with no jobs? n/t
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DollyM Donating Member (837 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Apr-09-09 06:07 PM
Response to Reply #19
22. hope is the only thing we have left . . .
My parents weathered the great depression and survived. We come from sturdy stock and have good friends and neighbors who are willing to share what they have and pull together. I know this mess didn't happen overnight (it took 8years!) so it won't be resolved overnight. We just have to dig in our heels and hang on.
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cabluedem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Apr-11-09 01:35 AM
Response to Reply #22
24. It took more then eight years. I'd go back to Reagan or even Nixon...
..Under Nixon real wages started stagnating and falling in 1972 for the first time since before WW II.

When Ronnie Reagan came in with all of his deregulation, trickle-down, anti-union, and the big GOP government take-over, then demise of the working class was well on it's way.

What we are seeing now is just the last straw that broke the camels' back of the working class, at long last, IMO.

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madrchsod Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-08-09 08:56 PM
Response to Original message
15. the average in my part of northern illinois is over 10%...
with several counties over 15%. my county is over 10.4% and climbing every month.
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DollyM Donating Member (837 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Apr-09-09 06:04 PM
Response to Reply #15
21. we are in southern Illinois and it is really bad here too . . .
Unemployment in our county is close to 13 percent and rising, some parts are even worse.
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goforit Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-08-09 09:03 PM
Response to Original message
16. Obama???? Where are ya bud????...This is growing outa control!!!
Being overseas is a good thing now ain't it?

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sarcasmo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Apr-09-09 09:29 AM
Response to Original message
20. These people need a reality check it's already 12 percent here in Michigan.
Closer to 20 percent in reality.
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FreeStateDemocrat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Apr-11-09 04:18 PM
Response to Original message
25. 9.9% official rate of unemployment in my county (Maryland) last month.
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Mari333 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Apr-11-09 05:18 PM
Response to Original message
27. what planet does he live on?
he needs to visit Michigan. his pants would explode.
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riverdeep Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Apr-12-09 03:14 AM
Response to Original message
29. Hah. Ten percent. It's over ten percent.
All this does is show they fudge the numbers. They don't count you anymore if you can't find work after two years. This doesn't count people who are underemployed. Including those realities would bring it closer to 15%, and in parts of the country, higher than that.

There was a time when one job could support an entire family, and if you wanted to work, the jobs were available, and then came the Republicans and the corporations.
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