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Scurrilous Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Aug-26-09 10:54 AM
Original message
Tropical Storm Danny forms in the Atlantic
Source: Associated Press

<snip>

"Tropical Storm Danny has formed in the open Atlantic off the Bahamas, and forecasters say it could get stronger as it moves toward the U.S.

The storm has top winds of 45 mph and is moving to the west-northwest at 18 mph. As of 11 a.m. EDT Wednesday, the storm's center was about 445 miles (715 kilometers) east of Nassau, Bahamas and about 775 miles (1,250 kilometers) south of Cape Hatteras, N.C.

The current forecast has the storm on a path to clip the U.S. East Coast over the weekend, but a storm's track can be difficult to predict days in advance. People in the Bahamas and the southeastern U.S. are advised to monitor the storm."

Read more: http://www.google.com/hostednews/ap/article/ALeqM5gVWjsPEiqe1tEu2mhBIRaxxGi8owD9AAKVD00
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Purveyor Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Aug-26-09 10:56 AM
Response to Original message
1. Tropical Storm Danny Forms In The Atlantic (heads-up U.S. East Coast)
Source: Associated Press

MIAMI — Tropical Storm Danny has formed in the open Atlantic off the Bahamas, and forecasters say it could get stronger as it moves toward the U.S.

The storm has top winds of 45 mph and is moving to the west-northwest at 18 mph. As of 11 a.m. EDT Wednesday, the storm's center was about 445 miles (715 kilometers) east of Nassau, Bahamas and about 775 miles (1,250 kilometers) south of Cape Hatteras, N.C.

The current forecast has the storm on a path to clip the U.S. East Coast over the weekend, but a storm's track can be difficult to predict days in advance. People in the Bahamas and the southeastern U.S. are advised to monitor the storm.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT05/refresh/AL0509W5_NL_sm2+gif/143059W5_NL_sm.gif

Read more: http://www.google.com/hostednews/ap/article/ALeqM5gVWjsPEiqe1tEu2mhBIRaxxGi8owD9AAKVD00
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fascisthunter Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Aug-26-09 11:05 AM
Response to Reply #1
2. Looks like it may go right over Bahstan...
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Voice for Peace Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Aug-26-09 11:35 AM
Response to Reply #2
3. I just moved to the cape
now suddenly all the hurricanes are heading north, wtf
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Posteritatis Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Aug-26-09 01:01 PM
Response to Reply #1
6. Two in a row aimed for Nova Scotia? Argh. (nt)
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brooklynite Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Aug-26-09 01:06 PM
Response to Reply #6
8. Clearly God's wrath for Socialized Health Care in Canada...
btw - looks like its also coming after Pat Robertson's operation in Newport News...
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appleannie1 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Aug-26-09 01:01 PM
Response to Reply #1
7. The discussion at NOAA is unsure of what path Danny will take
SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT THE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER EAST OF
THE BAHAMAS HAS DEVELOPED A WELL-DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION...
WITH REPORTS FROM A NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATING THE
SYSTEM WAS BEST DEVELOPED BELOW 12000 FT. QUIKSCAT DATA AND A FEW
OBSERVATIONS FROM THE STEPPED FREQUENCY MICROWAVE RADIOMETER SHOW
TROPICAL STORM-FORCE WINDS OCCURRING NORTH AND NORTHEAST OF THE
CENTER...WHICH IS THE BASIS FOR THE INITIAL INTENSITY OF 40 KT.
THE STORM HAS BEEN TANGLED UP WITH AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW FOR THE PAST
24 HR...AND THE STRUCTURE AS MUCH RESEMBLES A SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE
AS A TROPICAL CYCLONE. HOWEVER...CYCLONE PHASE ANALYSES FROM
FLORIDA STATE UNIVERSITY SUGGEST THAT DANNY IS MARGINALLY MORE
TROPICAL THAN SUBTROPICAL...HENCE THE DESIGNATION OF TROPICAL
STORM.

THE INITIAL MOTION IS A SOMEWHAT UNCERTAIN 295/16. DANNY IS ON THE
NORTH SIDE OF A MID/UPPER-LEVEL LOW CENTERED OVER HISPANIOLA AND
SOUTHWEST OF A MID/UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE CENTER EAST OF BERMUDA.
THIS PATTERN SHOULD STEER DANNY GENERALLY NORTHWESTWARD WITH
DECELERATION FOR THE NEXT 24-36 HR. AFTER THAT...THE LARGE SCALE
MODELS AGREE THAT A MID/UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH SHOULD DEVELOP OVER THE
GREAT LAKES...WITH A MID/UPPER-LEVEL LOW OVER THE GULF COAST STATES
MOVING EASTWARD OR NORTHEASTWARD. THIS EVOLUTION SHOULD CAUSE
DANNY TO TURN NORTHWARD AND THEN RECURVE INTO THE WESTERLIES.
WHILE THE MODELS AGREE ON THE SCENARIO...THERE IS ENOUGH SPREAD IN
THE TRACK GUIDANCE TO MAKE IT UNCERTAIN WHAT LAND AREA DANNY MAY
AFFECT. THE NAM AND THE CANADIAN MODELS FORECAST DANNY TO MAKE
LANDFALL IN EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA IN ABOUT 72 HR AND MOVE UP THE
U. S. EASTERN SEABOARD...WHILE THE GFS...HWRF... AND GFDL SHOW A
MORE EASTERLY TRACK THAT KEEPS DANNY OFFSHORE UNTIL IT REACHES THE
CANADIAN MARITIMES. THE FORECAST SPLITS THE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN
THESE EXTREMES AND IS A LITTLE TO THE LEFT OF THE MODEL CONSENSUS.
THE FORECAST TRACK IS ROUGHLY PARALLEL TO THE U. S. EAST COAST...AND
ANY DEVIATION FROM THE TRACK COULD MAKE A LARGE DIFFERENCE IN WHAT
AREAS GET IMPACTED BY DANNY. THEREFORE...IT IS IMPORTANT NOT TO
FOCUS TOO MUCH ON THE EXACT FORECAST TRACK.

THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS PROBLEMATIC. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS
UPPER-LEVEL LOWS NORTH AND SOUTH OF DANNY CONNECTED BY A CYCLONIC
SHEAR AXIS. THIS IS NOT A IDEAL PATTERN FOR STRENGTHENING...AND
THE LARGE-SCALE MODELS SUGGEST IT MAY TAKE 24-36 HR FOR THE
ENVIRONMENT TO BECOME MORE FAVORABLE. BASED ON THIS AND THE
CURRENT ORGANIZATION OF THE STORM...THE INTENSITY FORECAST CALLS
FOR SLOW STRENGTHENING FOR THE FIRST 36 HR. IT THEN SHOWS A FASTER
STRENGTHENING FROM 36-48 HR AS CONDITIONS BECOME MORE FAVORABLE.
AFTER 48 HR...STRONG UPPER-LEVEL SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS ASSOCIATED
WITH THE EASTERN U. S. TROUGHS ARE EXPECTED TO CAUSE INCREASED
SHEAR AND THE BEGINNING OF EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION. THE INTENSITY
FORECAST THUS CALLS FOR DANNY TO REACH 65 KT IN 72 HR...THEN BECOME
EXTRATROPICAL BY 96 HR. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS IN BEST
AGREEMENT WITH THE SHIPS AND LGEM MODELS. HOWEVER...IT IS WEAKER
THAN THE FORECASTS OF THE GFDL AND HWRF.

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soleft Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Aug-26-09 12:17 PM
Response to Original message
4. It seems the weather gods do not want me to boogie board!
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Deja Q Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Aug-26-09 12:20 PM
Response to Original message
5. Danny... Partridge?


Trust me, you don't want to know what's behind black hat #1, but here's the link:
http://perezhilton.com/2008-02-18-quote-of-the-day-164
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juno jones Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Aug-26-09 01:26 PM
Response to Reply #5
10. Thanks a lot....


I'll be bleaching my memory all day.
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alfredo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Aug-26-09 02:04 PM
Response to Reply #10
13. What's behind the hat? It's no big thing. He could have covered it with a thimble.
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Algorem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Aug-26-09 01:22 PM
Response to Original message
9. like "Danny Boy",the Irish-American funeral song?
Edited on Wed Aug-26-09 01:34 PM by Algorem
interesting timing


http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Danny_Boy

...The song is widely considered an Irish anthem, although Weatherly was an Englishman and was living in America at the time he composed the lyrics. Nonetheless, "Danny Boy" is considered by many Irish Americans and Irish Canadians to be their unofficial signature song.


Controversy
"Danny Boy" enjoys some popularity as a funeral song for Irish Americans. However, because it is not liturgical, its suitability for funerals is sometimes contested.<2>


Lyrics
Oh Danny boy, the pipes, the pipes are calling
From glen to glen, and down the mountain side
The summer's gone, and all the roses falling
'Tis you, 'tis you must go and I must bide.
But come ye back when summer's in the meadow
Or when the valley's hushed and white with snow
'Tis I'll be here in sunshine or in shadow
Oh Danny boy, oh Danny boy, I love you so.

And when you come, and all the flowers are dying
If I am dead, as dead I well may be
You'll come and find the place where I am lying
And kneel and say an "Ave" there for me.
And I shall hear, tho' soft you tread above me
And all my grave will warmer, sweeter be
For you will bend and tell me that you love me
And I shall sleep in peace until you come to me.


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Posteritatis Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Aug-26-09 01:44 PM
Response to Reply #9
11. I've always wondered why they don't give these storms names like Loki or Grrarargh or something. nt
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Algorem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Aug-26-09 02:03 PM
Response to Reply #11
12. Norse God(s)? More like it.
I had to google it,though i thought i remembered Loki was a Norse God,but I also thought there was a famous dog named Loki(?).but then i googled Grrarargh and got-

Democratic Underground - Latest Breaking News
I've always wondered why they don't give these storms names like Loki or Grrarargh or something. nt, Posteritatis, Aug-26-09 02:44 PM, #11 ...
www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az... - Similar
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JeanGrey Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Aug-26-09 02:11 PM
Response to Original message
14. Another "fish" storm that will curve out.
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