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kick-ass-bob Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-01-10 08:55 AM
Original message
Nearly 1 million have cast ballots in N.C.
Source: Raleigh News and Observer

RALEIGH -- About 950,000 voters have cast ballots in North Carolina, according to data released Sunday that show an early Republican surge in voting has been matched at the polls among registered Democrats.

An Associated Press analysis of the state's voter database shows more than 15 percent of North Carolina's registered voters have made their selections. Early voting ended Saturday, and mail-in absentee ballots continue to arrive ahead of the election Tuesday.

About 46 percent of ballots cast have come from registered Democrats, while 36 percent are from registered Republicans. The advantage for Democrats has steadily widened since the first days of early voting began about two weeks ago, when Republicans were trailing by just a few percentage points.



Read more: http://www.newsobserver.com/2010/11/01/773212/nearly-1-million-have-cast-ballots.html



46-36. Good stuff. It was split even about a week ago. Now we have surged.
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Oceansaway Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-01-10 08:59 AM
Response to Original message
1. K&R...n/t
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Life Long Dem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-01-10 09:36 AM
Response to Original message
2. No enthusiasm for Democrats here.
The media is so full of shit.
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kick-ass-bob Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-01-10 09:41 AM
Response to Reply #2
3. I love how the Repubes were
crowing earlier in the week about their GOTV and how this was a great sign for them and now in this article, they say 'oh, early voting doesn't really matter that much'

LOL
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loudsue Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-01-10 10:08 AM
Response to Reply #3
9. This is just trying to re-energize the repukes. That's what the N & O is all about.
They're trying to put the fear of Pelosi/Reid into all the republicans. Those corporate money commercials are running at full speed on tv on behalf of repukes everywhere.
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kick-ass-bob Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-01-10 10:39 AM
Response to Reply #9
13. What's hilarious is that the baggers think the N&O is still
run by the Yellow Dog dems of the 70s and think it is the most liberally biased paper in the country outside of the NYT.

Too bad they don't realize that it was sold about 15 years ago...
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Mosaic Donating Member (851 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-01-10 09:45 AM
Response to Original message
4. Just say no
To gridlock. Do your civic duty and vote Democratic.
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mikekohr Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-01-10 10:07 AM
Response to Reply #4
8. VOTE EARLY AND OFTEN
but always vote Democratic
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Shining Jack Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-01-10 03:10 PM
Response to Reply #8
47. I can vote more than once?
:P
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madmax Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-01-10 09:47 AM
Response to Original message
5. Add 2 tomorrow :) nt
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nc4bo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-01-10 10:35 AM
Response to Reply #5
12. I picked the same time. Have a happy voting day! nt
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barbtries Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-01-10 11:50 AM
Response to Reply #12
25. will be at the polls
in raleigh by 6:45 am tomorrow. i may even open 'em.
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madmax Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-01-10 04:41 PM
Response to Reply #12
52. mwah - love the hat ;)
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G_j Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-01-10 09:59 AM
Response to Original message
6. I'm one of them nt
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CRK7376 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-01-10 10:07 AM
Response to Original message
7. Mailed in my
Absentee ballot about a month ago. Military vote, go DEMS!
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JoePhilly Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-01-10 10:08 AM
Response to Original message
10. Voted straight D here in NC on Friday ... nt.
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Hissyspit Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-01-10 11:43 AM
Response to Reply #10
22. I did the same the very first day.
Am concerned how early voting affects the exit polls, but then I've never been exit polled at all.
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druidity33 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-01-10 06:21 PM
Response to Reply #22
53. exit polling not being done anymore?
Someone said that in another thread and i've been looking for confirmation since...

Any idea whether they are still being done and by whom?

:shrug:


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bowens43 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-01-10 10:23 AM
Response to Original message
11. I voted last week and was able to get in and out quickly
my son voted Saturday, the last day of early voting here in NC, he had to wait in line for over 2 hours.

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melm00se Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-01-10 10:49 AM
Response to Original message
14. 46 - 36
that is good news...if the southern democrats actually voted for democratic candidates.

Early voters, in my mind, are the more dedicated voters...it's the ones that haven't voted yet who are the key. which side of the aisle will be more motivated to get their asses in gear and go cast their votes.
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EC Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-01-10 10:50 AM
Response to Original message
15. That still leaves
18% that could be going either way...
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flakey_foont Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-01-10 11:14 AM
Response to Original message
16. cast mine on Saturday
very good turnout and appeared overwhelming Dem....although it was in Orange County, a progressive bastion
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kick-ass-bob Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-01-10 11:19 AM
Response to Reply #16
17. I'm registered Indy and was canvassed
by a Republican asking me to consider voting conservative. He wasn't tea bagger type.

I said "I'd see what I could do" not wanting to get into it at my house. He said "the big ones we want are Burr and Price out."
(which I always find funny that they don't give a rats ass about the (Wake) County Commissioners which actually determines where most of your money is spent)
I said, "yeeeah, we'll see." He got the message.

I'm not changing his mind, so I'm not arguing on my front porch with him.
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Iliyah Donating Member (828 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-01-10 11:33 AM
Response to Reply #17
19. BUT BUT
thats voter fraud I tell you!

So the corporate medial is trying to put fear into the hearts of the repug voters, huh? How original.
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AlbertCat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-01-10 11:31 AM
Response to Original message
18. A Totally Unscientific Numbers Game....again...
Edited on Mon Nov-01-10 11:42 AM by AlbertCat
I did this earlier but I'll post it again, because I find it interesting.

At the NC Board of Elections site it lists at the top the number of registered voters


Dem 2,765,495 Repug 1,956,423 Libert 9,247 Unaffil 1,462,220

Libertaians are often conservative, not always, but let's give the Repugs the benefit of the doubt and add all the Libertarian votes to the Repugs

Dem 2,765,495 Repug + Libert 1,965,670

Repuga are short of Dems still. So let's assume 1/2 of the Unaffiliated go Repug too.

Dem 2,765,495 Repug + Libert + 1/2 Unaffil 2,696,780

Still shy of Dems and I haven't even added the other 1/2 Unaffiliated to the Dems!

So let's assume more Unaffiliateds wll be conservative than not and add 2/5ths to the Dems and 3/5ths to the Repugs.

Dem + 2/5ths 3,350,383 Repug + Libert + 3/5ths 2,843,002

STILL shy! Let's try 3/4ths of Unaffiliated going conservative.

Dem +1/4 3,131,050 Repug + Libert + 3/4ths 3,062,335

So, even with all the Libertarians and 3/4ths of the Unaffiliateds the Repugs are STILL shy by

68,715!!!!!!


This of course an unscientific game. I made up voting habits for both sides... not all Dems will vote Dem (fools!) and who knows how Libertarians and Unaffiliateds will vote. But even so.... it seems fishy to me that NC would go red!

NC is so purple skitzoid!

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Spiderzumbie Donating Member (78 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-01-10 11:37 AM
Response to Original message
20. State Was already red as a babboon's ass, no stopping that.
Wow, that last statement was really pessimistic.
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kick-ass-bob Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-01-10 11:45 AM
Response to Reply #20
23. You obviously don't know anything about NC politics then.
The State houses have been Democratically controlled since the 19th century and have had I think 2 Republican governors in that time.

The US House of Representatives since going to 13 districts has been an average of 7-6 by party.

Outside Jesse Helms, the senate seat has switched parties every election.

The only thing "Red as a baboon's ass" about this state has been presidential elections, which again, was reversed last time.
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Alcibiades Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-01-10 11:53 AM
Response to Reply #20
27. We're not a Republican state
Unless you somehow consider a state that went for President Obama, has a Democratic governor and both houses of the state legislature controlled by Democrats somehow to be a Republican state.

This has always been a Democratic state. The only thing that's been Republican has been the tendency to vote Republican in presidential races, which has changed. In no small part this has been due to folks moving from other states: our number one source of inmigration is New York, and we have gotten lots of folks from New England, two.

This isn't Jesse Helms' North Carolina any more. Please don't insult the hardworking Democrats who have worked to keep North Carolina blue by accusing us of being Republican.
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kick-ass-bob Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-01-10 11:56 AM
Response to Reply #27
28. And here is the list of NC Senators throughout history:
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AlbertCat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-01-10 12:02 PM
Response to Reply #27
30. This isn't Jesse Helms' North Carolina any more.
And even "defund the NEA" Helms voted for a STATE SUPPORTED SCHOOL OF THE ARTS in the '60's. (I know... I went there. Have a BFA in Costume Design)

Even Helms is skitzoid. The whole state is!
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AlbertCat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-01-10 12:25 PM
Response to Reply #20
32. Wow, that last statement was really pessimistic.
And untrue.... so don't sweat it.
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Tunkamerica Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-01-10 02:18 PM
Response to Reply #20
42. NC went for Obama and has a democratic governor.
check your facts
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jmowreader Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-01-10 03:34 PM
Response to Reply #20
48. NC is a very weird state
It's one of the few, if not the ONLY, state in which voting "straight ticket" won't put a vote for president in the system. People there very often vote Republican for the president, then Democratic for every downticket race.
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No Elephants Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-01-10 11:40 AM
Response to Original message
21. EGMA (Enthusiasm Gap, My Ass)
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barbtries Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-01-10 11:49 AM
Response to Original message
24. aha!
how sweet would it be if marshall won??
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kick-ass-bob Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-01-10 11:50 AM
Response to Reply #24
26. I would soil myself with excitement.
Seriously.

:P
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NewJeffCT Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-01-10 12:30 PM
Response to Reply #26
35. That would be a huge stunner
I think she had closed the gap in recent weeks to just under double digits...but, a win would be almost inconceivable.
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AlbertCat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-01-10 12:18 PM
Response to Reply #24
31. if marshall won??
Edited on Mon Nov-01-10 12:19 PM by AlbertCat
I didn't think she was the best candidate for Dems... but the Party has just abandoned her! Meanwhile, it's wall to wall Burr ads (boy are they lousy too... vague and inaccurate) for weeks now during the local news. Marshall had one ad? maybe? I've seen twice. She got zero help from the National Dems or White House.

Why?

This should have been an easy win. Burr is as useless a Dole was! He also single handedly put a hold on something in the Senate... what was it?...

Here is what he did (from NCDP.org)


Burr used an arcane procedural tactic to cancel a meeting of the Senate Armed Services Committee in which U.S. generals had flown in from South Korea and Hawaii to testify about the Pentagon’s needs for the upcoming year. Burr initially refused to provide an explanation for his actions, then later released a statement acknowledging that he was acting on behalf of the Republican leadership and not on behalf of his constituents in North Carolina.

Is that not a winning issue for Marshall? Burr wastes our military's time and money....doing the party's bidding and NOT his constituency's!!!! Another Libby Dole just collecting money and perks from NC but not working for the people of NC.

She should win.... but alas I doubt she will. She could with a little of that big money....and some endorsements from the Dem party.
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kick-ass-bob Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-01-10 12:26 PM
Response to Reply #31
33. The party was NEVER THERE for her.
They supported their boy Cal Cunningham who just gave me the heebie-jeebies and then left her there twisting in the wind.

Even worse, 2 weeks after the primary, she was polling at a draw with Burr - but no support ever came.

That's why all my money went to her instead of the DCCC. Sorry boys, if you aren't going to support her, I have to.
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dhpgetsit Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-01-10 12:01 PM
Response to Original message
29. Not counting chickens yet but
High turnout usually favors Democrats.
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Politicub Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-01-10 12:27 PM
Response to Original message
34. My mom voted in NC on Thursday -- dems all the way
She rocks :)
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chapel hill dem Donating Member (212 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-01-10 12:58 PM
Response to Original message
36. Many Jesse helms supporters are registered D
When Jesse Helms was active, he encouraged his supporters to register as Democrats in order to be able to vote in the Democratic primary. Back then, I am not sure there was an "Independent" category.

Jesse then asked all of the "Jesse-crats" to vote for the weakest Democrat to give him the greatest advantage in the election.

I have tried to parse the numbers in the last few elections based on registration and have found a large margin of error that I blame on residual Jesse-crats.

FWIW

Born in NC, lived here 43 years.
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Cognitive_Resonance Donating Member (733 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-01-10 01:55 PM
Response to Reply #36
40. Thankfully that demographic shrinks a little more every year. nt
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kick-ass-bob Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-01-10 02:03 PM
Response to Reply #36
41. That hasn't helped as much lately.
A nearly bygone era now. The flip-flopping of the seats every election shows that the Jessecrats don't really impact any more.

There was an independent category for the second half or so of his tenure that could vote in Dem primaries but not Rep ones. Now, as you know, it's both.

Born and raised, 37 years ;)
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Blue Owl Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-01-10 01:26 PM
Response to Original message
37. Karl's frantically tweaking the mighty Wurlitzer
It's gonna take a lot to steal this one, motherfucker.
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DLine Donating Member (167 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-01-10 01:31 PM
Response to Original message
38. Another D will cast a ballot tomorrow morning...
Glad to see Democrats turning up to the polls here.
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slay Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-01-10 01:31 PM
Response to Original message
39. I'm in NC
if we even have a CHANCE to get rid of Richard Burr we need to go try. And Elaine Marshall running against him seems pretty good too.
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IScreamSundays Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-01-10 02:40 PM
Response to Original message
43. How is it after all of these years watching elections and returns...
exit polls and MSM reports that we don't get that the voting is fixed. No one is replaced without swearing their honor to the agenda; no incumbent is granted re-election without their solemn promise to the PTB.

They are now trying to tell us that California is going to reject Prop 19. Give me a FB. No way California doesn't pass 19 without Diebold tabulators. Oh, I guess everyone here forgot about all that vote manipulation. We still believe that our vote really counts.

Now I am ignorant when it comes to voting systems in other states, but I KNOW what is going on in my state.
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beltanefauve Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-01-10 02:49 PM
Response to Reply #43
45. Re: Prop 19
Edited on Mon Nov-01-10 02:49 PM by beltanefauve
We don't have Diebold tabulators in CA. Our Secretary of Stae Debra Bowen (let's re-elect her, Cali!) de-certified the machines and we vote on paper now!
That said, I think the word on Prop 19 flailing in the polls is BS.
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IScreamSundays Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-01-10 03:08 PM
Response to Reply #45
46. We vote with paper ballots that are counted by
DIEBOLD tabulators!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! I have seen them in my precinct for years.
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IScreamSundays Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-01-10 07:30 PM
Response to Reply #45
54. BS. we sure do.
Do your homework. We have a long way to go for real elections anywhere in this country. Just because the paper ballots are available for recount means nothing. Especially for federal elections where their court challenges were deemed moot because the house had already certified the election. This happened right here in California circa 2008

snip>
New CA SoS report confirms findings of 'Humboldt Transparency Project,' discovers even more egregious failures in widely-used Diebold voting counting system
One of the citizens who designed the software, responsible for the startling discoveries, offers his thoughts...
Guest Blogged by Mitch Trachtenberg of the Humboldt County Election Transparency Project

California Secretary of State Debra Bowen has released a remarkable 13-page report of her office's investigation into how the Diebold/Premier GEMS software silently dropped all votes contained on 197 ballots from the Humboldt County, California, November 2008 general election.

The report shows that this version of GEMS not only deleted a batch of ballots without any request by --- or alert to --- the elections staff, but also failed to note the deletion in the system's audit log. The report also points to other startling deficiencies with Diebold/Premier's software: "Key audit trail logs in GEMS version 1.18.19 do not record important operator interventions such as deletion of decks of ballots, assign inaccurate date and time stamps to events that are recorded, and can be deleted by the operator."

snip>

http://www.bradblog.com/?p=6962
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Duval Donating Member (377 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-01-10 02:44 PM
Response to Original message
44. I have some more phone banking for Move On
this afternoon, then voting DEMOCRATIC all the way tomorrow. But, I'm a tad nervous.:crazy: :silly: :dem:
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BAPhill Donating Member (168 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-01-10 03:39 PM
Response to Original message
49. Guess that makes me one in a million..
Voted on the second or third day
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SocialistLez Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-01-10 03:58 PM
Response to Original message
50. Only a little over 15 percent? Damn...
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AC_Mem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-01-10 04:05 PM
Response to Original message
51. When we GOTV, Dems WIN
I have dollar bets all over the place. We will keep the House and the Senate.

DESIRE
ASK
BELIEVE
RECEIVE


Peace, Luv and Vote!
Annette
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madmax Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-10 12:54 AM
Response to Original message
55. I'm going to vote early from now on
I'm a little paranoid about that since 2000 but, I should realize that if they're going to fuck with it - they fuck with it either way.
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defendandprotect Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-10 03:04 PM
Response to Reply #55
56. EARLY or LATE was the guidance in 2008 .... presuming that it creates
some confusion among Repugs about how much they have to steal --

Remember those 18,000 votes in Saratoga in '08 where no one voted for President?

Wasn't that it --

When they have to do steals in a rush, odd things begin to happen!!


:evilgrin:

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