Kerry leads Bush 47 to 44 - leads in Florida, Iowa,, Minn, Mich, Ohio,Penn

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/index.htm

Election 2004

Kerry 47% Bush 44% (updated Tuesday)
Congress: Dem 42% GOP 36%
Bush Job Approval: 49%

Minnesota 2004

Presidential Ballot

Bush 47%
Kerry 44%
Other 4%
Not Sure 5%

Overall, Kerry leads Bush 51% to 41% in Iowa and 47% to 44% in Minnesota. The Minnesota result is within the survey’s 4.5 point margin of sampling error. In Missouri, Bush leads 49% to 42%.

The surveys of 500 Likely Voters in each state were conducted March 23, 2004. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Additional survey details are available on-line for Iowa, Minnesota, Missouri, and national results.

Recent reports found that Kerry holds narrow leads over Bush in several battleground states including Michigan (48% to 44%), Ohio (45% to 41%), Pennsylvania (45% to 44%), and Florida (48% to 45%).

Florida 2004 Presidential Ballot

Bush 45%
Kerry 48%
Other 2%
Not Sure 6%

Four years ago, Al Gore held a slight lead over then-Governor Bush in the Rasmussen's first Florida survey (also conducted in March). Bush was ahead of Gore for most of the summer, but neither candidate could establish a lead in the fall.

One surprise in the current Florida data is that 77% of Kerry voters are certain they will vote for him while only 72% of Bush voters say the same. Nationally, Bush voters are more solid in their support than Kerry voters.

A Mason-Dixon poll released Monday shows Bush at 51 percent and Kerry at 43 percent in the state whose recount decided the 2000 election and is expected to be one of the 2004 campaign's top battlegrounds. Six percent were undecided.

http://www.miami.com/mld/miamiherald/news/state/8367884.htm

and others? This poll is not even close which is highly discouraging.
I think Kerry needs to get aggressive with Florida. advertising and appearances.
he might as well bludgeon Jeb over voter felon-gate.

The key item about that poll is a comparison to Nov - the last poll they did - where Bush had near a 30% lead - and that is now 8%

As they themselves say - 8%. with a margin of error or +4% to -4% is a "marginal lead"

Their PR also said that they realize that 2 other polls show Bush behind.

And that the March 30 poll had only 650 responses - about the same as the Rasmussen tracking polls use of 500 responses.

The cute item was the GOP quote that this poll proves that Kerry as a taxer is a message that is working!

i like the results in this one. but the poll is not reliable because they use machines to do polling. this is why the poll moves around so weirdly at times and is differently from many other polls sometimes.

Since then, Bush is ahead in Florida and Pennsylvania (not as much) and Kerry has pulled way ahead in Minn. and Michigan. Kerry doesn't HAVE to win Fla., but he won't win if he loses PA, too. I don't think that will happen.

I do not pay for the Zogby by state

But if Zogby, or someone like Zogby, says Bush ahead in Florida, I buy the result.

I live in Michigan-if Detroit gets out the vote like they did in 2000 and in the Governor's race in 2002, Kerry will win.

I knew Florida was possible, just from the 2000 results. Ohio, on the other hand, I'd written off a long time ago as GOP territory. It's what, the fifth largest state in population? If Kerry can win there, he will win the election.

The press here has been hammering away that improving corporate fuel economy standards equals lost jobs. The poll numbers will reflect reality a bit more once the truth is better known -- "BUSH IS A CROOK!"

Your roving dog, that precinct delegate from a Detroit burb, believes everyone here is not answering polls, hates phone calls, is working 3 part time jobs (like yours truly), and doesn't exist in the targeted demographics in western Michigan that those polls go after.

I helped with a job fair today, and we had over 400 people in 4 hours. There were only 10 outfits offering tidbits of jobs, and saw everyone from college students to retirees coming in loaded with resumes. If that ain'a an indicator, I don't know what is.

Fuck Bush!

P.S. If you have any desire to go into the medical field, DO IT NOW!

About the only thing that could help the Bush boy at this point: a hummer from a zaftig intern (just make sure she's Christian this time)...