Washington Post:
Bad news for Indo-US ties
In 1998, when Atal Behari Vajpayee took the helm of the world’s largest democracy, nobody predicted the extent of his success or his alignment with US interests. But if all that was unexpected, so was yesterday’s news. He is said to have been punished for the pro-market reforms that fostered India’s high-tech boom; voters in the villages felt left out and took their revenge at the ballot box. This suggests that even the world’s most successful economic reformers run big political risks.
India will now be governed by a coalition dominated by the Congress Party, the political vehicle of the Gandhi family. Mrs Sonia Gandhi can be expected to pursue her predecessor’s rapprochement with Pakistan; on the economy, they are likely to offer less continuity, though the difference may be partly rhetorical. Mr Vajpayee’s reforms are too entrenched to be rolled back.
The sharpest discontinuity is likely to come in relations with the US and possibly with US allies such as Israel. India has become a leading customer for Israeli weapons technology. With Mr Vajpayee in office, the Bush administration hoped that India might be persuaded to send peacekeepers to Iraq — a remarkable shift from the Cold War, when India proudly led the Non-Aligned Movement and seized every opportunity to tweak American leadership. The Congress-led coalition is expected to swing back to traditional anti-Americanism, sounding off against the US at the UN and perhaps challenging US influence in the Middle East by launching its own peace initiative. All of which would test the Bush administration’s reserves of forbearance and tact. But then again, who knows? India’s democracy excels at defying expert predictions.
http://www.expressindia.com/fullstory.php?newsid=31459