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Analysis: Is 'Perfect Storm' Brewing for Bush? (PNAC panicking)

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Paragon Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-24-03 12:31 PM
Original message
Analysis: Is 'Perfect Storm' Brewing for Bush? (PNAC panicking)
http://story.news.yahoo.com/news?tmpl=story&cid=584&ncid=584&e=2&u=/nm/20030824/pl_nm/security_bush_dc

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - As the 2004 election nears, President Bush could face an international "perfect storm" -- more attacks in Iraq and Afghanistan, an overextended deployment of U.S. troops eager to come home and blackening clouds over the Middle East, North Korea and Iran.

The confluence of world events will test Bush's foreign policy leadership even as he must concentrate on the U.S. economy and other domestic issues that could determine whether he wins a second term...

More compelling to the White House, perhaps, may be the stance of William Kristol and Robert Kagan, neo-conservatives who helped create the intellectual climate that propelled Bush's decision to overthrow Saddam Hussein.

In The Weekly Standard, which Kristol edits, they warned that the future of U.S. world leadership and security is at stake in Iraq but Bush has "failed to commit resources to the rebuilding of Iraq commensurate with these very high stakes."

There are too few U.S. troops and too little money committed to Iraq and another $60 billion and two army divisions are needed, they said.

"This is the time to bite the bullet and pay the price. Next spring, if disaster looms, it will be harder. And it may be too late," they wrote.





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GCP Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-24-03 12:36 PM
Response to Original message
1. I feel like I'm in Bizarro World
Edited on Sun Aug-24-03 12:45 PM by marshallplan
Wasn't it the neo-cons such as Perle and Wolfowitz who were telling the world that the Iraqis would greet US troops with flowers and parades?

Is there a falling-out among the reptiles here?

The fact that Kristol is attacking Bush is huge IMHO.
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JNelson6563 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-24-03 01:31 PM
Response to Reply #1
16. yes and before this claim
the Iraqis would greet US troops with flowers and parades

We have to remember that Wolfie's stance was:

In his statement of September 16, 1998, Wolfowitz ridiculed Clinton’s policies toward Iraq and said, “Administration officials continue to claim, as Assistant Secretary Martin Indyk did in testimony to the Senate last week, that the only alternative to maintaining the unity of the UN Security Council is to send U.S. forces to Baghdad. This is wrong.”

Wolfowitz then articulated how, with patience and diplomacy, a critical mass could be reached by supporting dissidents in their eventual overthrow of the Ba’athist regime. he key lies not in marching U.S. soldiers to Baghdad, but in helping the Iraqi people to liberate themselves from Saddam,” he said.

He detailed the patient commitment that such a policy would require however, such an action would deliver much stronger international support than American militarism. He said, “Our friends in the Gulf, who fear Saddam but who also fear ineffective American action against him, would see that this is a very different American policy, one that can rid them of the danger that Saddam poses. And Saddam's supporters in the Security Council–in particular France and Russia–would suddenly see a different prospect before them. Instead of lucrative oil production contracts with the Saddam Hussein regime, they would now have to calculate the economic and commercial opportunities that would come from ingratiating themselves with the future government of Iraq.”


http://www.republicons.org/view_article.asp?RP_ARTICLE_ID=717

mmm hmmm. Verrrrry interesting, no? I love the self-righteous crap about France and Russia......like the BFEE and PNACers have never profitted from doing business with their pal Saddam. Oy!!

Julie



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Cocoa Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-24-03 04:03 PM
Response to Reply #16
34. Clinton ended up adopting that policy
isn't what Wolfie is saying there essentially what the Iraqi Liberation Act put into law a couple of months later?
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JNelson6563 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-24-03 08:25 PM
Response to Reply #34
43. that may well be
doesn't that smell like PNAC/BFEE handy-work?

Does to me....

Julie
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berry Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-24-03 04:05 PM
Response to Reply #16
35. Interesting! There's also a link there to the INC website.
http://www.inc.org.uk/English/news/98/oth980916a.htm

The full transcript of PAUL WOLFOWITZ, STATEMENT TO HOUSE NAT'L SECURITY COMMITTEE is at this site (Iraqi National Congress)--along with some other good stuff.

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JNelson6563 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-24-03 08:23 PM
Response to Reply #35
42. good link!
thanks!
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stevedeshazer Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-24-03 11:35 PM
Response to Reply #16
51. Great post
Major hypocrisy and huge disconnect between now and 5 years ago.
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caledesi Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-24-03 01:32 PM
Response to Reply #1
17. Kristol is attacking Bush is huge - Absoultely.
For Kristol to be criticizing is a bad, bad sign.

Also, bye-bye military vote - you aint't getting them this time *.
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AP Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-24-03 08:56 PM
Response to Reply #17
47. It's not an attack. It's a bribe. More money for Kristol's friends
in the form of taxpayer funded 'rebuilding', and Kristol will go back to promoting bush.

it's all about making that dollar, and when it's about making that dollar for your rich friends, the Republicans win.
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sendero Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-24-03 12:37 PM
Response to Original message
2. great!
>>>>In The Weekly Standard, which Kristol edits, they warned that the future of U.S. world leadership and security is at stake in Iraq but Bush has "failed to commit resources to the rebuilding of Iraq commensurate with these very high stakes."

Great, now form a circular firing squad and fire. Bush* was a moron for going along with your stupid plan, but we'll never forget - it *was* YOUR stupid plan, Kristol, Perle, et al.
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alfredo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-24-03 03:16 PM
Response to Reply #2
24. Can you say,
"covering your own ass"?

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diplomats Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-24-03 05:08 PM
Response to Reply #24
40. Exactly
Kristol was one of the leading voices pushing for this ill-advised war, and now he blames Bush for not handling it right? Don't make me laugh.
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AntiCoup2K4 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-24-03 12:39 PM
Response to Original message
3. Why aren't every last one of these PNAC bastards in prison for treason??
Time to bite the bullet and pay the price?? No, FUCK YOU. It's the time for you treasonous PNAC bastards and the goddamned oil companies to put YOUR asses and YOUR money on the line, and stop this theft from the American people (and the Iraqi people for that matter)
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Old and In the Way Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-24-03 12:41 PM
Response to Original message
4. Perhaps we should send two divisions of Neo-Con's in.
Let Kristol and Wolfe lead the charge.

I won't hold my breath.
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dw Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-24-03 09:23 PM
Response to Reply #4
49. I'm afraid two divisions of Neo-Cons...
would cost way more'n $60 billion. That only comes out to a million and a half per Neo-Con.

You expect them to fight for such a pittance?

By God, it'd cost at least ten million just to feed one of 'em at a prayer breakfast.
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UrbScotty Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-24-03 12:42 PM
Response to Original message
5. Oh no! Too few troops and too little money?
Time to raise that bottom tax bracket to 20%! Also time to eliminate the EPA and cut funding to Social Security and Medicare to save money!

And, of course, time to reinstate the draft!
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LittleApple81 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-24-03 12:48 PM
Response to Reply #5
6. Sorry to say but this would be the "logical solutions" for PNAC,
Rove... and therefore Bush and Republicans.
I am sure that according to them Americans (lower income) must shoulder the cost of making American "great".
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oneighty Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-24-03 12:51 PM
Response to Original message
7. Kristol
Kistrol the man with the plastic face and the

mouth that shit would not melt in. A self centered

very perfect little man, one with all the answers

to questions he does not understand.

Someday he will (Understand).

180
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Junkdrawer Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-24-03 12:58 PM
Response to Original message
8. Biden on MTP: "They treat Iraq as if it were some kind of prize...
they don't wish to share". It was lost in the middle of the "let's fix Iraq with more troops" nonsense, but it's further proof a split in the hawk community. I see at least four hawk factions:

1.) The ones who believe we need to control the Middle East to fight terrorism. (The irony of our presence causing the terrorism seems lost with these folks).

2.) The ones that are simply out for the oil and reconstruction revenues. (There are the true looters)

3.) The ones who would do just about anything to help Likud's vision of Israeli security. (I suspect Lieberman is in this camp, which is why I oppose him.)

4.) The ones who view controlling the ME oil as a strategic asset in a long term game of global hegemony. (The old Kissinger Realpolitik gang)

Now, they all could agree on invading Iraq, but what to do after we invade is splitting them up.

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PartyPooper Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-24-03 04:00 PM
Response to Reply #8
33. Coincidence? I posted a similar remark at DU on August 20, 2003.
"These Bu$h neo-cons won't give an inch to the UN!............
After all, this is their 'game'...and, they want to take home the 'prize'."

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_mesg&forum=102&topic_id=75793&mesg_id=75793

So, when I heard Sen. Biden's comments this morning, I nearly fell out of my chair!

Also, recently, a subject line from one of my DU posts appeared (verbatim) in a televised news crawler a few days after my original posting. Hmmm.

Coincidence or not, I've read that other posters have experienced or seen the same thing...material from DU reaching the "mainstream" press a few days after debuting at DU. (And, certainly, I don't consider myself one of the many scholars or political experts we have on this board, either!)

But, I am convinced reporters, producers, and politicians (and their staff) regularly visit DU. So, in the very least, it's something for all us to keep in mind.

:-)
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Cocoa Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-24-03 04:09 PM
Response to Reply #33
36. admit it PartyPooper
you are Joe Biden. I knew it all along. :-)
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PartyPooper Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-24-03 04:24 PM
Response to Reply #36
38. I'll never tell.
;)
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RMJ Donating Member (681 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Aug-25-03 03:10 AM
Response to Reply #33
52. Walt Starr's word...
"Enronomics" made it all the way to the cover of Newsweek.
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UTUSN Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-24-03 12:59 PM
Response to Original message
9. PNAC Panicking
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susu369 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-24-03 01:03 PM
Response to Original message
10. world events will test Bush's foreign policy leadership
now that is a funny!

Whistle Ass has had plenty of tests and failed them all.
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jody Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-24-03 01:09 PM
Response to Reply #10
12. Sorry, AWOL passed all his tests, remember it's "AWOL in Wonderland"
where "Up is Down" and "Failing is Passing". :puke:
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jody Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-24-03 01:06 PM
Response to Original message
11. Leading indicators show AWOL's puppet masters will have problems getting
AWOL another term, unless a major catastrophe occurs on US soil that dwarfs 9-11.

Perhaps the two part question is (1) will AWOL's handlers go all out and stage another attack on America and (2) will Americans be fooled a second time? :shrug:
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VolcanoJen Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-24-03 01:11 PM
Response to Original message
13. I'm digging this "Perfect Storm" catchphrase
FatFace Russert used it today, as did Bob Schieffer while interviewing Wes Clark.

Finally... a new media buzzword that works to our advantage!!
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SpiralHawk Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-24-03 01:18 PM
Response to Reply #13
14. Me, too VJen, and when the American people finally find out
how Bush* and his minions failed them on 9/11, it will be the final element of the Perfect Storm.

Bush's failures on 9/11 are so shameful, they surpass his disgusting AWOL military record.
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tlcandie Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-24-03 04:00 PM
Response to Reply #13
32. And do we ever have a tsunami to back up the Perfect Storm!
n/t
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aquart Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-24-03 01:25 PM
Response to Original message
15. Uh, WHO is supposed to pay this price?
Let's see all these PNAC millionaires get together and tell Bush to rescind their tax cut, because rebuilding Iraq and America's reputation in the world is so much more important than buying an election or a new yacht.

No? Well, how about a War Tax which will popularly be called Bush's Big Mistake Tax? How about that? This tax will expire as soon as America pulls out of Iraq.

Nothing so permanent as a temporary tax, is there, PNAC?
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Raenelle Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-24-03 02:12 PM
Response to Original message
18. Oh yes, let's get back to the good old days of 1970--
mission creep and stagflation. As they say in N.A., insanity is doing the same thing over and over and expecting different results. Or is that stupidity?

Either way, Hot Dam.
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realFedUp Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-24-03 02:24 PM
Response to Original message
19. blame it on Mars.
fasten your seatbelts...it's gonna be a bumpy week.
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lebkuchen Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-24-03 02:41 PM
Response to Original message
20. There are too few troops because Rummy is forcing privatization
on our military by keeping their deployment numbers low. He is a despicable tyrant. This plan is backfiring on him, however, though the consequences have hurt our troops more.
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jamesinca Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-24-03 02:55 PM
Response to Reply #20
21. Rummy has been saying from Central America troop levels are fine
Gen. Myers said today on MTP that the troop level was fine. He stated that other people that have said otherwise did not currently understand the situation. He held the company line like the good soldier.
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lindashaw Donating Member (921 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-24-03 03:22 PM
Response to Reply #21
25. Yes, he did, but...
We have all seen this man many times. He's usually very cool under pressure. But today, I saw him struggling. He was sometimes hesitant, and several times he paused to qualify his answer before giving it. My instincts say, he wasn't sure he could hold the company line.
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jody Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-24-03 03:00 PM
Response to Reply #20
22. Rummy is using privatization to put more personnel in combat units
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opihimoimoi Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-24-03 03:08 PM
Response to Reply #22
23. Just as much the Bush hates those guys, they hate him more.
Edited on Sun Aug-24-03 03:11 PM by opihimoimoi
They even willing to die, endure pain and suffering, to get at the Bush. Since Bush is not there, they do what they can to make Bush look stupid/inept which is not too hard to do. Bush feels the American public will back him up with a re election.

Smart money are looking for the best odds.

It ain't on the Shrub
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alfredo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-24-03 03:27 PM
Response to Reply #20
26. Privatizing our support is a terrible idea.
Private companies are not going to put their people in harm's way.

Logistics is so important. Napoleon said an army travels on its stomach. that mean more than full bellies. It also means everything from toilet paper to replacement tracks for tanks. Ike was probably one reason we were so effective in WWII. He made sure our soldiers were well supplied all the time. From what I have been reading, that is not what is happening in Iraq.

Our troops are not being supported properly. You cannot expect a private company to take the risks needed to keep an army supplied.
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ewagner Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-24-03 03:45 PM
Response to Reply #26
29. True
Remember Patton said the most effective weapon he had at his disposal was the "duece-and-a-half" or 2-1/2 ton truck which moved supplies to the front to keep his tanks supplied and maintained.
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WillyT Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-24-03 03:55 PM
Response to Reply #20
30. BTW - Where Is Rummy Lately ???
Is he co-habitating with Unca DICK in the Naval Observatory Bunker???

:shrug:
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dusty64 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-24-03 03:28 PM
Response to Original message
27. WHAT foreign policy
leadership, thats my question. If it doesn't benefit chimp's donors it isn't considered.
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catmandu57 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-24-03 03:35 PM
Response to Original message
28. One large concentrated attack
on american facilties supply depots, motor pools, barracks, with lots of dead and wounded and this buttmunch* and all of his buddies are crispy critters.
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WillyT Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-24-03 03:59 PM
Response to Original message
31. Don't Forget To Vote This Story Up The Ladder !!!
Here's where it is right now:

You have given the news article Analysis: Is 'Perfect Storm' Brewing for Bush? a rating of 5. Its current average rating is 4.14 with 228 vote(s).

:kick:
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shirlden Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-24-03 04:12 PM
Response to Original message
37. Shrub is trying to serve too many masters.
The Iraqi end objective is different for the PNACers who have an ideological agenda and the BFEE (military-industrial) that has a $$$$$ agenda. Then throw in crazy-arrogant Rummy who is taking this opportunity to reinvent the military in his image and then, of course, we have the Rover whose agenda is to get the Shrub elected. He didn't get him elected in 2000, so I am sure his pride is hurt. Then we have cave-dweller Chaney whose agenda is to make sure Halliburton empties our Treasury.

Then we have a pRez who can barely speak English trying to front for all these thugs. Who is in charge??? Obviously no one person is calling the shots. So the many headed snake is going to start biting itself.

PNAC is pissed because we are messing up their dream for Iraq.
The Money crowd is pissed because they can't get into the ME to start privatizing.

Rove is pissed cause the numbers are getting close to free-fall.

And Chaney.......who knows what the mystery prez is thinking.
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oasis Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-24-03 09:00 PM
Response to Reply #37
48. Interesting analysis. And a dandy one.
:thumbsup:
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monobrau Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-24-03 04:36 PM
Response to Original message
39. When the useful idiot is no longer useful
He will be cast aside like a used kleenex.
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remfan Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-24-03 05:10 PM
Response to Original message
41. Watch for the shift in policy because it's coming
Kristol didn't just "say" this without letting them know beforehand.
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peacetalksforall Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-24-03 08:49 PM
Response to Original message
44. Kristol is just a PR person - a perfect one
He pretends that he is criticizing the enthroned one, but he is simply forewarning us that we/they will be sending more. Kristol goes before Rummy, don't ya know! Pretty soon you'll see Ludeen and some of the others (please, oh please don't send us Adelman). It's time to hire soldiers of war and bring our young kids home - let them have a chance to live - let the big gamblers go in there - the macho men - the Arnold men.

We don't want any more sitting duck youngsters dying for the oil rigs.

Here is the $64 mil question - did PNAC including Cheney and Kristol really believe that everyone would fall down in adoration at our democracy trick? Could they have possibly have believed their own brown propoganda?
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peacetalksforall Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-24-03 08:52 PM
Response to Reply #44
45. Instead of Arnold running for Gov
and Ventura becoming a TV host - why not send them over to pump up some soldiers of war or will all their egos clash?

Why not divert everyone from war, including the terrorists - why not put Arnold, Ventura, the soldiers of war into a stadium and butt heads with the terrorists? Show em who's who.
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peacetalksforall Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-24-03 08:55 PM
Response to Reply #45
46. It's all about ruling
Some think it's all about drugs ruling.
Others think it's all about Islam ruling.
Others think it's all about oil democracy ruling.
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Dover Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-24-03 11:25 PM
Response to Original message
50. I hope Reuters has the Bush/Cheney/Rummy Crime Family for lunch.......
Bushco has declared war on the press, and I hope they get it.
The press have endured the murder of their own by these criminals...and I can't imagine they will simply sit on their hands or back away in fear.
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stickdog Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Aug-25-03 07:15 AM
Response to Original message
53. Al least it's not hard to tell which group neoCONs has the greater
artistry.
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