WSJ: Battlegrounds States (Zogby) Poll - NOVEMBER 1, 2004

Battlegrounds States Poll - NOVEMBER 1, 2004

Overview
Interactive version: http://online.wsj.com/public/resources/documents/info-battleground04-frameset.html

As the presidential campaigns raced through the final weekend before Election Day, Sen. John Kerry gained ground in polls conducted in 16 battleground states by Zogby Interactive and Reuters/Zogby.

Sen. Kerry now leads in nine states, including the coveted Florida and Pennsylvania, two members of the trio that will likely be key for the winning candidate on Tuesday. The third crucial state, Ohio, is in President Bush's column. Sen. Kerry's lead in Florida is narrow -- only one percentage point -- but he leads by five percentage points in Pennsylvania, while Mr. Bush has a four-point lead in the Buckeye State. The margins in all three states, as well as in 11 others, are within the margin of error.

Pennsylvania was tied in last week's results, while Mr. Bush led in Florida. Voters in Michigan and Minnesota also returned to the Kerry column in the most recent poll.

The latest poll was conducted by telephone Oct. 28-31 and online Oct. 25-30. Presuming that all the states are won by the current leading candidates and that the other 34 states -- and the District of Columbia -- go as they did in the 2000 election, which isn't guaranteed, Mr. Kerry would get 286 electoral votes and Mr. Bush would get 247. This analysis doesn't include New Mexico, which shows up as a tie in the latest poll, but the state's five electoral votes wouldn't sway the final result of the election in this scenario.


(snip)

http://www.zogby.com/news/ReadNews.dbm?ID=830

Bush is leading by FOUR in OH. That really makes me feel better.

even when the majority of other polls had a small lead for Kerry. I just think he's wrong on that one.

Are the majority of them braindead?

Kerry gets ALL of OH's Electorals but loses POPULAR???????

That is all.

They plan to get most dems vote on provisional ballots (just won the right to challenge for no reason) - so polls are just to cover. Ohioans are fine, Blackwell&co - another story.

Thanks for posting the poll!



Undergroundrailroad :hi:

Ohio, if you go for Kerry on Tuesday, I promise to suspend all Ohio jokes. (at least thru the end of the year)