Zogby.com Bush (247) Kerry (264) ...up for grabs (27)...

Electoral Votes:

Bush 247 Kerry 264
Tie Florida (27)

Here's how we got there..
http://www.zogby.com/news/ReadNews.dbm?ID=923

Final National/Battleground States Poll and Prediction
Available: Tuesday November 2nd at 5:30 PM

I'm bankin' on it.

will get us there. I have been doing GOTV with this demo since August and I think they are coming through.

If you see them tomorrow just walking down the street, talk, ask, prod, cajole, convince:

All you can see is a sea of people, some white and some black
Don't matter what color, all that matters is we gathered together
To celebrate for the same cause, no matter the weather
If it rains let it rain, yea the wetter the better
They ain't gonna stop us, they can't, we're stronger now more then ever,
They tell us no we say yea, they tell us stop we say go,
Rebel with a rebel yell, raise hell we gonna let em know
Stomp, push up, mush, fuck Bush

and let me tell you, Cincy is going to go blue I believe.

thing everyday without supervison.

Plus I could be totally partisan on my own.

You should try my GWB is a PAB flyers tomorrow.

Go to http://somnamblst.tripod.com to download high resolution TIF or PDF files to print and distribute in the inner city (not the suburbs). Hand them out and or attach them to utility poles, bus stops, phone booths, etc. Guerilla marketers needed to create MAXIMUM BUZZ!

I am a poll worker floater for Hardin County and had to be back home tonight so I can be on call tommorrow. went down to see a freind and to go into the belly of the beast to fight W on the day he was visiting :D cincy. I had lot's of fun, did lit drops at UC and got kicked out of a dorm, I told them ok, I will leave, can I have my student ID back, and the RA's wanted to have me arrested and told me I was handing out the wrong polling place maps and I was spreading lies. LOL, best day ever, it was great.

on edit.

I should thank the RA that was kind enough to sneak us in, she took one for the team when we got busted. (She got chewed, let's put it that way)


Thanks Danielle. (her name)

I think OH has a really good chance of going blue.

Oh, that big bad Texas state should be taken to the woodshed and flogged for misleading all those little red states.

This thread says Zogby makes it a toss-up and it's all down to Florida -- again.



But another thread on a WSJ/Zogby poll says the battleground states are going to Kerry, including Florida, but leaving New Mexico as a toss-up.

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=102x951413

It comes down to 27 electoral votes, all of which Florida just happens to have, and which is governed by the brother of one of the candidates? Equestrian doodie--we won't get fooled again!

:headbang:
rocknation

Seriously --

I'm assuming the raw data comes from Zogby's surveys and then he just manipulates it depending on who the customer is, either Reuters or WSJ or whatever. And I'm not enough of an expert on polling to know whether or not the Zogby state polls are then compiled to form the national poll or if they rely on totally independent surveys.

But you'd think, based on what Zogby himself said on the Daily Show last week, that he'd be concerned about the "accuracy" of his polls. I understand the concept of CYA and hedging one's bets, but how can one vouch for one's "accuracy" if one calls it for boosh one minute and for Kerry the next, BASED ON THE SAME DATA? And true, I suppose the various customers can put their own spin on it and thus let Zogby off the hook, but then why would he want his name associated with someone who could essentially screw his reputation all to hell?

I know, I know, I know, this is too much thinking for this most stressful of all nights, but I can't help it.

And worst of all, I have too much work to do to go to bed any time soon. . . . .


No rest of the wicked, and the righteous don't need it

it all comes down to the state that can't get its act together when it comes to the electoral process.


ah well. it will make it all that sweeter when we snag FL right from under Jebby's nose.

or just let them steal the election again?

Zogby's smoking crack again. I'm getting up early in the AM to help with MoveOn people. I'm dispatch tomorrow! Yay me!

on Tuesday :D

We've thoroughly outclassed the pubs in terms of our ground game there, and they're not ready for whate we're going to bring to the booths tomorrow. This is a near-election polling jitter.

If anything, I was more worried about PA. But this poll is encouraging on that front.

Nevada will go to Kerry this time around.

Porter will lose to Ghallager - Kerry coat-tails.

Ohio is tending Kerry.

I expect to see a lot LESS red!